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Interest rate hike
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82% Chance of Fed Rate Hike by Mid-September
There is now an 82% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by mid-September.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the possibility of a rate hike remains.
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the possibility of a rate hike has not been completely ruled out.
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U.S. Bond Market Sends Signal to the Fed: "Hawkish" Rhetoric Alone Is Not Enough; Market Expects Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation
The U.S. Treasury market is sending a clear signal to Federal Reserve Chair Wash that strong anti-inflation rhetoric alone is not enough to reassure investors, as the market strongly anticipates inter
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Bitcoin ETFs End Inflow Streak Amid Fed Rate Concerns
US-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced heavy outflows late last week, ending their recent streak of inflows. This development highlights the fragility of Bitcoin's recent recovery,
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Analyst: Oil Prices Approach the 100-Yuan Mark Again; Alarm Bells Ring Once More as Global Central Banks Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Central banks around the world are grappling with how to respond to oil prices returning to around $100 per barrel. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) ma
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Morgan Stanley: The Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley strategists said in a report that recent data suggests the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising rates at its July meeting and is likely to keep rates unchanged for the r
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Analysis: The Fed Could Raise Rates as Early as Next Week; U.S. Treasury Yields Rise to Year-to-Date Highs
Svmuu News: As the threat of an escalation of the war in Iran pushed up oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels of the year, with the market anticipating that the Federal Reserve
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"The Fed's Voice": The July Policy Meeting Has Become One of the Most Unpredictable in Recent Years
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote in a post on July 23 (local time) that the Fed’s July policy meeting will be one of the most difficult to predict in recent years.Risi
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Head of Research at Grayscale: If the Fed Stops Raising Interest Rates, Bitcoin's Price May Have Already Bottomed Out
Svmuu News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, wrote that there are currently two main views on when the Bitcoin bear market will end: one follows the “four-year cycle,” and the other views Bi
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Analysis: The U.S. Treasury yield curve may invert
Svmuu News: The yield spread between 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months, according to Capital Economics, which noted that escalating tensions in
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The President of the Cleveland Fed Hints at the Need for Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation; Markets See a 65% Probability of a Rate Hike in September
Svmuu News: Hamack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, recently hinted that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb persistently high inflation. Currently, interest
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Analysis: Expectations of interest rate hikes, combined with a shift in capital flows, have led tech giants to lead the decline in the broader U.S. stock market.
Svmuu News: On Friday, the three major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with tech stocks falling across the board.the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time closin
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair: If Inflation Doesn't Ease in the Short Term, We May Need to Reconsider Our Policy Stance
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that if inflation does not cool down soon, interest rate hikes should be considered, but the current monetary policy is sound. In remarks prepar
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Fed's Logan: Interest Rates Should Be Raised to Combat Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the Fed should raise interest rates to combat high inflation. June inflation data showed that price increases were slowing, but not enough to con
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The Bank of Korea said it will maintain its stance on raising interest rates going forward
Svmuu News: The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Korea stated on the 28th that it will continue to maintain a stance of raising interest rates in the future, while comprehensively considering
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South Korea's Central Bank Raises Interest Rates for the First Time in Three and a Half Years
Svmuu News: The Bank of Korea raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, marking its first rate hike since January 2023 and in line with market expectations. (Jin Shi)
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There is an 88.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 88.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Director of the White House National Economic Council: Data Shows the Federal Reserve Has No Reason to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that the data shows the Federal Reserve has no reason to raise interest rates; he believes Warsh will guide the Feder
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Analyst: If Oil Prices Stabilize, the U.S. Tech Sector May Benefit
Svmuu News: Patrick Munnelly of Tickmill Group noted in a report that the U.S. technology sector could benefit if oil prices stabilize and investors scale back their expectations for Federal Reserve i
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Source: The Bank of Korea is highly likely to raise interest rates this week, which could mark the start of a tightening cycle
Svmuu News: According to BigGo Finance, financial industry sources have revealed that the market widely expects the Bank of Korea to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this Thursda
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CICC: We maintain our baseline forecast that the Fed will not raise interest rates this year, but the threshold for a rate hike has already been lowered.
Svmuu News CICC: According to a research report, the U.S. CPI for June fell 0.4% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis, while the year-over-year increase slowed to 3.5%; core CPI showed zero
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June CPI data support the market view that the likelihood of a Fed rate hike is overestimated
Svmuu News: Tony Welch of SignatureFD said the market has overestimated the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike. Following weak CPI inflation data in June, the futures market has priced in a low
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Traders have pushed back their expectations for a Fed rate hike to October
Svmuu News: According to market reports, traders have pushed back expectations for a Fed rate hike to October.
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CPI Data Comes in Below Expectations; Odds of a Fed Rate Hike in July Drop to 20%
Svmuu News: As consumer price data came in below expectations, traders pulled back on their bets on a Fed rate hike, driving U.S. Treasury prices sharply higher. The yield on the two-year Treasury not
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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