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Interest rate hike
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Traders Have Significantly Reduced Their Bets on a Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Following the release of U.S. inflation data for June, U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply, and traders significantly scaled back their bets on a Fed rate hike.
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Bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month have been scaled back
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month have been scaled back. The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell 10 basis points on the day to 4.18%. (
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $63,400
Svmuu News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June fell 0.4% month-over-month, compared with economists’ expectations of a 0.1% decline; in May, it rose 0.5%; year-over-year, it rose 3.5%, compa
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Before the CPI data is released, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 63.1%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch,” the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through July is 63.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Analyst: U.S. CPI may post a month-over-month decline, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike
Svmuu News: Analyst Matthew Weller said that whether inflation has peaked is the market’s top concern ahead of the June CPI report.For the first time in three months, the Strait of Hormuz was partiall
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HSBC: South Korea's Central Bank Expected to Raise Rates by 25 Basis Points This Week as a Precautionary Measure
Svmuu News: Jin Choi, an economist at HSBC, said the market widely expects the Bank of Korea to implement a preemptive 25-basis-point rate hike this week. Although there have been recent localized con
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The Bank of Korea is expected to raise interest rates this week for the first time in more than three years.
Svmuu News: Economists expect the Bank of Korea to raise interest rates on Thursday for the first time in more than three years, with another hike expected before the end of the year. South Korea’s in
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Coinbase Institutional: Bitcoin. fell only about 2% despite multiple negative factors, which may suggest the market is bottoming out.
Svmuu News Coinbase Institutional posted on X, stating that while the nonfarm payrolls data came in below expectations, the escalation of the Middle East conflict has brought inflation back into the m
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The market now estimates that the probability of a Fed rate hike in July has risen to 50 percent
Svmuu News: Market expectations indicate that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month has risen to 50%. U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the probability
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Waller Sets the Tone for Tuesday’s CPI Report: High Inflation Will Support Near-Term Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller said Monday that if future data indicate inflation remains well above the 2% target, the Fed may need to raise interest rates “in the near term.” He said cu
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The market has almost fully priced in expectations of a Fed rate hike in September
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that expectations of at least one interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve by September have been almost fully priced in, and two rate hikes by the end of March n
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Fed Chair Warsh May Face the Decision of Whether to Reverse Last Year's Rate Cuts
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote that last month, Warsh presided over his first meeting as Fed Chair, during which the Fed unanimously decided to keep interest rates u
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Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit a 17-month high, as the market anticipates a 39-basis-point rate hike by December
Svmuu News: The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes hit a 17-month high of 4.2393%, while federal funds rate futures indicate that the market expects a 39-basis-point rate hike by December.
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Strategist: Federal Reserve—A rate hike in July is unlikely
Svmuu News: Investors are increasingly concerned that the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision could be a 25-basis-point rate hike, possibly as early as this month, but Phil Orlando, chief market st
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.9%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.1%. Federal Reserve The prob
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SMBC Nikko Securities: Bank of Japan (BOJ)s Expected to Raise Interest Rates in October
Svmuu News: SMBC Nikko Securities economist Yoshimasa Maruyama stated that, given the results of Thursday’s meeting of branch governors of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may still be
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Barclays: Federal Reserves May Remain Unchanged Until the End of 2027
Svmuu News: According to Barclays’ baseline forecast, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2027. However, Barclays’ strategists still believe the risks are tilted
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Bank of Korea Governor: Interest Rates Need to Be Raised at the Appropriate Time
Svmuu News: Shin Hyun-song, governor of the Bank of Korea, said interest rates need to be raised at the appropriate time.
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South Korean Think Tank: Chip Boom Offsets Manufacturing Slump; South Korean Economy Remains on Track for Recovery
Svmuu News: A South Korean government-affiliated think tank said Wednesday that the South Korean economy remains on a recovery track, with the boom in the chip industry offsetting the slowdown in the
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Expectations for Interest Rate Hikes Are Cooling; Technical Analysis Will Fully Take Over Market Trends
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, pointed out during a live online broadcast titled “Interest Rate Hike Expectations Cool: Technical Analysis Takes Over the Trend” that global fina
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.3%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.7%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 77%
Svmuu News: Data shows that, according to Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25
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BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve—The likelihood of action in July has decreased
Svmuu News: Isabelle Mateos i Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, said, “If the July nonfarm payrolls figure is very strong—nearing or exceeding 130,000—then I think the July meeting will be full of
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Allianz Analyst: Federal Reserve May Have to Raise Interest Rates in September
Svmuu News: Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz, said, “The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was actually weak, but I still believe inflation will peak above 3.7%, and that artificial intelligence, f
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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