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Interest rate hike
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FOMC members will be highly focused on Wednesday's July month-over-month inflation change to assess the feasibility of achieving the 2% inflation target without further policy tightening; the new Federal Reserve Chair has previously expressed disinterest in such high-frequency data-driven frameworks.
X platform commentator Nick Timiraos noted that more Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members have indicated they will closely monitor the next few price level readings to determin
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Analysis indicates that the market currently anticipates a 53% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September, and recommends FDRR, a dividend fund designed to navigate a rising rate environment.
According to Yahoo Finance analysis, the market currently anticipates a 53% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its September meeting (Polymarket data), while futures markets
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The Motley Fool Analyst Predicts Gold Will Rebound to Over $5,000 Per Ounce Before Year-End
Analyst David Jagielski believes gold will return to its record highs, citing concerns about the stock market, potential interest rate hikes by the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, ongoing U.S.-Iran deal ch
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MarketWatch analysis: Fed's rate hike decision hinges on July CPI report
According to MarketWatch analysis, the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision will largely depend on the July consumer-price index (CPI) report, which is due out Wednesday. While a surprisi
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Silver futures opened 1% higher on Tuesday at $65.94/ounce, breaking above $65 for the first time since June, influenced by employment data and the situation in Iran.
Silver September futures reached $65.45 at 8:00 AM ET on Tuesday. The surge was primarily driven by last week's employment report, which reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in Septem
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid calls inflation his primary concern, advocates for tighter policy; US 30-year fixed mortgage rate rises to 6.69%
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated in an August 4 speech that inflation is his primary concern, deeming it "too high" and requiring "tighter policy" to bring it back to the Feder
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HSBC said Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, prompting markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
HSBC states that Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, driving markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. The bank anticipates another set of soft in
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Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai said the central bank may need to further raise interest rates as inflation remains above target and economic growth is strong.
Ryoo Sangdai, the outgoing Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Korea, stated on Tuesday that the central bank will likely need to further raise interest rates as economic growth continues to transmi
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MUFG Bank warns dollar at risk of falling due to Fed's unclear rate path amid Middle East energy shock, despite DXY rising 0.1% to 99.895
MUFG Bank’s Derek Halpenny stated that the dollar is at risk of falling given the lack of confidence in how the Federal Reserve will respond to the energy-price shock driven by the Middle East conflic
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could raise interest rates using two nontraditional methods: removing forward guidance and deleveraging the Fed's balance sheet.
The Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and policymakers have two methods to influence interest rates without adjusting the federal funds target rate. First, Warsh has already removed forward-looking gu
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BOK Senior Deputy Governor says central bank should continue raising interest rates after July hike, citing strong growth and persistent inflation
Bank of Korea (BOK) Senior Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai stated on Tuesday that the central bank should keep raising interest rates following its first hike in over three years. He noted that strong g
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Yen joint intervention effect fades, exchange rate returns to 159.28, market focus shifts to Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike timing
The Japanese Yen, after rebounding from a near 40-year low of 164 against the US dollar to 155, has weakened again and is currently trading at 159.28. The market generally believes that the impact of
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Cleveland Fed President Hamack: Inflation will not fall back on its own; current interest rates are not restrictive enough, and multiple rate hikes may be needed.
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hamack said on Monday that multiple interest rate hikes may be needed to bring inflation down to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but she did not want to preju
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Cleveland Fed's Hammack: More than one interest rate hike will be needed to bring down inflation
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack stated on Monday that she anticipates multiple interest rate hikes will be required to rein in what she describes as broadening inflation. Hammack, who
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Goldman Sachs co-head of global banking and markets Ashok Varadhan advised investors to stay invested, expecting the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates this year, oil prices to fall below $70/barrel, and the economy to benefit from AI.
Goldman Sachs co-head of global banking and markets Ashok Varadhan advised investors to stay invested, expecting the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates this year, oil prices to fall below $70
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Kalshi traders price July CPI at 3.3% ahead of Wednesday's release; September Fed hike odds fall to 46% from 67% after weak payrolls
Kalshi traders price July CPI at 3.3% ahead of Wednesday's release; September Fed hike odds fall to 46% from 67% after weak payrolls
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The U.S. investment-grade bond market saw 19 issuers on Monday, the highest number in seven months.
The issuers include utility companies, overseas banks, and Tyson Foods, which chose to raise funds this week ahead of the release of the US inflation report. This follows last Friday's weaker-than-exp
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has maintained interest rates unchanged for two consecutive meetings since taking office in 2026, and analysts believe his cautious approach may lead the Federal Reserve to postpone interest rate hikes.
Since taking office in May this year, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has opted to maintain interest rates at two consecutive Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. Warsh has adopted a cauti
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State Street Investment Management President and CEO Yie-Hsin Hung says the Federal Reserve should not raise interest rates this year.
Hung added that gold and private markets are anchoring many portfolios, noting the US economy is in good shape.
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) July meeting summary of opinions showed strong internal calls for accelerating interest rate hikes, with market expectations for a September hike exceeding 60%.
The "Summary of Opinions" from the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s Monetary Policy Meeting on July 30-31, released on August 10, revealed intense early calls for interest rate hikes within the committee, includ
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Yen weakens 0.7% against dollar as intervention impact fades
The yen fell 0.7% against the dollar as the effect of Japan's recent currency intervention diminished. Goldman Sachs reported that Japanese investors continued to buy foreign bonds at a strong pace in
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Silver (SI=F) September futures rose to $64.03/ounce by 8:34 a.m. ET on Monday, having opened up 0.5% at $63.80/ounce.
Silver prices have continued to rally since Friday's weak jobs report, leading many investors to reduce expectations of a rate increase next month. However, two key inflation reports later this week w
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Fed September Rate Hike of 25 Basis Points Looks 'Virtually Certain' Amid 3.8% CPI and Rising Treasury Yields
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recently hit 3.8%, marking the sharpest increase in three years and significantly exceeding the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Concurrently, 30-year Treasury yields have r
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KYODO: BOJ's September Rate Hike Signal Led US to Join Intervention
KYODO: BOJ's September Rate Hike Signal Led US to Join Intervention
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Driven by rebounding oil prices and a rate hike by the Bank of England, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading around $79,600.
Driven by rising oil prices and the Bank of England's rate hike, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading near $79,600. Early Thursday morning Eastern Time, Bitcoin fluctuated in a narr
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike to 4%, marking its first rate increase in over three years. This widely anticipated move represents the central bank's first rate rise
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GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
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Bank of Japan September Meeting Minutes: Voted 7-2 to Raise Rates to Around 1.25% at the Time
According to the minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting held on September 17–18, 2026, released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on November 5, the board decided by a 7-2 majority to raise the policy rate b
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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