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Interest rate hike
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos: August jobs data clears the way for a September Fed rate hike, but inflation data remains key.
The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that while August inflation data may still dominate the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates or hold steady in September, strong August emplo
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September have sharply increased.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve ra
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August Jobs Report Favors a Fed Rate Hike, Says New Century Advisors Chief Economist Sahm
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, commented on the US employment report for August, stating that it favors Federal Reserve officials who want to start hiking rates.
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Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
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Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being seen as a "canary in the coal mine" for market risk.
Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumps 1.7% to 25,650, led by tech rebound, as Fed Waller's dovish remarks ease rate hike fears
The benchmark Hang Seng Index rose 437 points, or 1.7 percent, to close at 25,650 on Friday, with the tech index gaining 2.3 percent. This surge followed Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller's
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Emerging Market Stocks and Currencies Rise as Fed Hike Bets Ease
MSCI’s emerging market stock index jumped as much as 1.1%, while a similar currency gauge rose 0.2%. Investors pared bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month, sending the dollar lower,
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Bianco Research: The Federal Reserve's September meeting vote is finely balanced, with the "maintain" camp leading 6-5 after Christopher Waller shifted to favoring holding rates steady. Jerome Powell's vote becomes crucial.
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, analyzed that the voting landscape is highly contested ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting. Following recent remarks from Fed Governor Wall
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RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
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The Japanese Yen continued to strengthen against the US Dollar on Friday morning, moving into the 155 range, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes.
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, moving beyond 157 yen from the previous day, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hike
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South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
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The Nikkei 225 rose 0.5% to 64,530.98 in early trading, led by technology and financial stocks.
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike receded. SoftBank Group surged 6.5%, Fujitsu gained 3.1%, and Nomura Holdings advanced 1.9%. The
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U.S. 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.71%, a new high in over a year. The Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller stated that a rate hike in September might not be necessary.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the U.S. rose to 6.71% this week, up from 6.66% last week, reaching its highest level since July 2025, according to data released by Fred
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The USD/JPY fell 2.1% to 155.40 on Thursday, nearing the 155 mark. CME stated that if it breaks below 155, option selling pressure could accelerate the yen's gains.
The USD/JPY exchange rate plummeted on Thursday, hitting a more than one-month low of 155.34 during intraday trading, marking a 2.1% single-day decline. It is currently trading at 155.40. The Chicago
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US major stock indexes rose over 1% during the trading session, with the Nasdaq Composite up 1.35%. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.75%. The Federal Reserve's Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
At midday Eastern Time on September 3, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,572 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.20% to 53,699 points, and the S&P 500 Index rose 1.01% to 7,744 p
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Bitcoin surged past $80,000 on Thursday, liquidating over $415 million in short positions, after Federal Reserve Governor Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated in an interview on Thursday that he would be inclined to support maintaining the benchmark interest rate at its current level if upcoming inflation data continue
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Wall Street Analysis: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September has risen to over 60%, and its interest rate decision may impact Micron Technology's stock price more than its earnings report.
Wall Street currently anticipates a more than 60% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its September 16, 2026 meeting, up from 41.4% a week ago. This shift follows hawkish rema
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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Nuveen's Tony Rodriguez Explains 'Fairly Neutral' Stance on Duration
Tony Rodriguez, head of fixed income strategy at Nuveen, detailed how his firm's position on duration would change with a series of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller: If August inflation data continues to move towards 2%, I would favor holding interest rates steady; if the data is too hot, I would consider a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that while there has been no fundamental change in his monetary policy stance since July, his inclination has shifted from concern and a bias towards
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HSBC raises its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026.
HSBC has raised its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026. The bank stated that this move is due
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The Bank of Japan's data showed no intervention in the yen's sharp rise on Wednesday, while the Finance Minister reiterated that he would prevent the yen from depreciating.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) account data released on Thursday showed that speculation of market intervention following Wednesday's more than 1 yen drop in USD/JPY was unfounded, as the gap between its current
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MarketWatch Analysis: Fed Rate Hike This Month May Only Cause Temporary Stock Market Weakness
MarketWatch analysts suggest that the stock market's reaction to a potential Federal Reserve interest rate hike in mid-September might be less severe than anticipated, leading to only temporary weakne
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Driven by rebounding oil prices and a rate hike by the Bank of England, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading around $79,600.
Driven by rising oil prices and the Bank of England's rate hike, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading near $79,600. Early Thursday morning Eastern Time, Bitcoin fluctuated in a narr
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike to 4%, marking its first rate increase in over three years. This widely anticipated move represents the central bank's first rate rise
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GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
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Bank of Japan September Meeting Minutes: Voted 7-2 to Raise Rates to Around 1.25% at the Time
According to the minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting held on September 17–18, 2026, released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on November 5, the board decided by a 7-2 majority to raise the policy rate b
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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