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Interest rate hike
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Treasuries Rise as Oil Retreats From Highest Levels in Weeks, Prompting Traders to Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
Treasuries rose as benchmark oil prices retreated from the highest levels in weeks, prompting traders to trim wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes over the coming year.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as December.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise its core inflation forecast for fiscal year 2027, according to Reuters. The BOJ is expected to keep policy unchanged in October and could hike rates again as early as
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Ares Warns of Australian Private Credit Stress From Rising Rates Amid Struggling Real Estate Market
Peter Graf, partner and head of Asia direct lending at Ares Management Corp., warned that elevated interest rates, including Australia's central bank raising rates four times to 4.6% this year, threat
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Bank Indonesia faces mounting pressure to hike rates after MSCI downgrade threat
Bank Indonesia is under increasing pressure to raise interest rates on Wednesday, as global index provider MSCI warned it may downgrade the country's stock market from emerging-market to standalone st
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Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold maintained its decline as energy prices fueled inflation concerns and impacted the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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New Zealand Q3 inflation seen easing to 3.8%, but Q4 acceleration is forecast to drive more rate hikes
New Zealand's third-quarter consumer price index is expected to rise 3.8% year-on-year, down from 4.1% in Q2 and slightly below the Reserve Bank's September projection. However, economists anticipate
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Economists, Traders See Growing Bets for Bank of Canada Hike Next Week
More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week, after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.
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Bitcoin hovers around $82,000, testing key support amid rising oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5%, and an AI stock sell-off.
Bitcoin hovered near $82,000 on Monday, up about 1% for the day, following weekend attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and Russian crude facilities, which pushed Brent crude prices close to $10
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Bank of America Still Expects Fed Rate Hike on October 28
Bank of America maintains its forecast for a Fed rate hike on October 28, despite markets pricing in only a 20% probability. The bank warns that persistent inflation and strong economic activity could
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Indian Rupee gains 2% last week, best since March, as bond market falls for nine consecutive weeks and rate hike expectations rise.
The Indian Rupee rose 2% last week, closing at 94.96, its largest weekly gain since March, driven by the central bank's currency stabilization measures. However, the Indian 10-year government bond yie
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Economists Warn: Market Severely Underestimating Uncertainty of Federal Reserve Rate Hike in October
According to Wallstreetcn, despite the futures market currently assigning only a 17% probability to a Federal Reserve rate hike in October, several economists believe the Federal Open Market Committee
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Indonesian Stocks Plunge Over 5% to Six-Year Low Amid MSCI Downgrade Fears
Indonesia's benchmark stock index plunged over 5% on Monday to its lowest level in six years, driven by intensifying concerns over a potential MSCI downgrade. MSCI proposed reclassifying Indonesia fro
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Gold Rises to Around $4,180 as Traders Pare Fed Rate-Hike Bets After Warsh Speech
Gold opened the week higher, trading around $4,180 an ounce, as traders pared bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month. Following remarks by Chair Kevin Warsh, the probability of
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Analysts: Bitcoin unlikely to break $100,000 by year-end due to rising rates and Iran conflict
Analysts believe Bitcoin may extend its rebound but is unlikely to break above US$100,000 before the end of the year, citing rising interest rates and the Iran conflict as continuing headwinds for cry
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Tokyo's new real estate purchase regulations, requiring nationality disclosure, coupled with the central bank's interest rate hike to a 31-year high, have analysts concerned about suppressed foreign investment.
According to analysts, new regulations implemented in Tokyo, Japan, since October 5, requiring all property buyers to declare their nationality, have sparked investor concerns and could curb foreign i
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Australian home prices tumble as tax rules, rate hikes bite
Australian home prices tumble as tax rules, rate hikes bite
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IMF Warns Bank of Japan May Need to Accelerate Rate Hikes If Inflation Exceeds Expectations
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has uncharacteristically endorsed Japan's monetary policy normalization, with Krishna Srinivasan, Director of the Asia and Pacific Department, stating during the
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ECB President Lagarde: The global economy shows resilience, but growth risks are skewed to the downside, and inflation risks are skewed to the upside.
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Annual Meetings that the global economy has shown surprising resilience in the face of high unce
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New York Fed: October Service Price Hikes Fastest Since 2022, Business Activity Index Falls to Lowest Since March
The New York Fed's October Business Leaders Survey, released Friday, showed that service sector selling price increases accelerated to their fastest pace since 2022, input cost growth remained strong,
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh expressed optimism about the resilience of the U.S. economy and surprise at the performance of the global economy.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh on Friday expressed optimism about the resilience of the U.S. economy and surprise at how well the global economy has performed despite energy shocks and tight monetary
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CNBC Analysis: Market widely expects the Federal Reserve to pause rate hikes in October, but Chairman Warsh may take unexpected action.
CNBC analysis indicates that despite traders widely betting on the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes at its October 28 meeting, new Chairman Kevin Warsh's refusal to follow traditional commu
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BOJ Governor Ueda Signals Further Rate Hikes as Inflation Nears Target
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed that the BOJ will continue raising interest rates as underlying inflation approaches its 2% target. Ueda added that economic conditions remain broadly in l
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BofA raises its September core PCE month-over-month forecast to 0.32%, reiterating its expectation of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October.
Bank of America Securities, in an October 15 report, stated that given the higher-than-expected September inflation data, it has raised its forecast for the Federal Reserve's "favorite" inflation gaug
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to give a clear signal on interest rate hikes, leading traders to lower their bets on a hike this month to 15%, and the DXY fell by 0.1%.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, speaking at an IMF event in Bangkok on Thursday, made no forward-looking statements regarding the path of monetary policy, only reiterating the Federal Reserve's commit
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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The U.S. Treasury announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will be raised to 5.51% for the next six months, marking the highest fixed rate since 2006.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will increase to 5.51% for the next six months, the highest fixed rate since 2006. The new rate will be effective from
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve's policy direction is clear, and a gradual approach is a good choice.
Richmond Fed President Barkin said in an interview with SiriusXM that the Federal Reserve signaled gradual rate hikes at its September meeting, which he believes is reasonable when the Fed is not sign
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Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Cent
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Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
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Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
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The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
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ECB Officials Expect 25 Basis Point Rate Hike on December 17, Followed by Pause in Tightening
ECB policymakers expect a 25-basis-point rate hike on December 17, which would lift the deposit rate from 2.50% to 2.75%, according to three sources cited by Reuters. The hike is considered nearly cer
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ECB policymakers reportedly see a December rate hike followed by a pause, sources say.
ECB policymakers reportedly see a December rate hike followed by a pause, sources say.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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