Kalshi
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Kalshi traders now see an 84% chance the Fed holds rates steady on October 28, against just 16% for a 25-basis-point hike.
Kalshi traders now see an 84% chance the Fed holds rates steady on October 28, against just 16% for a 25-basis-point hike.
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NFL files amicus brief urging Supreme Court to hear New Jersey's case, arguing Kalshi's sports contracts are gambling, not CFTC-regulated swaps
NFL files amicus brief urging Supreme Court to hear New Jersey's case, arguing Kalshi's sports contracts are gambling, not CFTC-regulated swaps
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Kalshi Submits Perpetual Oil Contract Proposal to CFTC
Kalshi Submits Perpetual Oil Contract Proposal to CFTC
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Kalshi's 15-min gold markets surpassed Ether in September, weeks after launch
Kalshi's 15-minute gold markets recorded 542 million contracts and an estimated $5 million in fees in September, surpassing Ether's 318 million contracts and $2.6 million in the same period. Bitcoin r
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Kalshi Launches US 500 Perpetual Future With No Expiration
Kalshi has launched a US 500 perpetual future with no expiration, offering up to 15.3 times maximum leverage on launch day. The contract uses daily funding payments and futures-account collateral.
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Coinbase Launches 15-Minute And Hourly Up-Or-Down Crypto Price Contracts
Coinbase on Tuesday added short-dated up-or-down contracts on bitcoin, ether and eight other tokens to its prediction markets. Kalshi lists the contracts and already runs the same 15-minute markets on
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Kalshi launches election contract transparency features ahead of midterms, including low-volume market indicators and prediction accuracy metrics.
Kalshi has launched several transparency features for its election contracts ahead of the midterm elections, including flagging low-liquidity markets with less than $10,000 in trading volume, a Brier
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CNBC: Prediction market portfolio contracts are driving up trading volume, accounting for over 50% of Kalshi's notional trading volume last month, but less than 13% of actual trade counts.
CNBC: Prediction market portfolio contracts are driving up trading volume, accounting for over 50% of Kalshi's notional trading volume last month, but less than 13% of actual trade counts.
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Trump Teases “Midterm Surprise” Amid Democratic Lead in Power Index
Trump Teases “Midterm Surprise” Amid Democratic Lead in Power Index President Trump stated that Republicans are “flipping races all over the place,” citing surging rally enthusiasm and hinting at a “M
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House Democrat Don Davis introduces bill to ban federal candidates from trading on own election prediction markets
The "No Betting on Your Own Race Act" seeks to formalize existing platform rules, imposing a fine of $10,000 or three times the net financial gain for violations. This follows his Republican opponent
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NEXTPredict Conference to Explore Prediction Market Development, Two CFTC Directors to Attend
The NEXTPredict conference will be held in New York from October 22-23, aiming to bring prediction markets to a wider audience. Two directors from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC),
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Gen-Z-founded Alcedine Technologies emerges as top-10 prediction market trader, begins raising capital
Alcedine Technologies, founded in 2024 by Zack Chroman and Tanner Hoke, has quickly become a top-10 trader across U.S. regulated prediction exchanges like Kalshi. These upstart Gen-Z trading firms are
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Kalshi and Coinbase Win Partial Ruling in Illinois, State Licensing Rules May Conflict with Federal Derivatives Law
U.S. derivatives exchange Kalshi and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase achieved a partial victory in an Illinois ruling, where a judge found that the state's licensing rules may conflict with federal d
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Kalshi raised the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes in October to 85% after a weak jobs report.
Kalshi has raised the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes in October to 85% following a weak jobs report. This comes after the US added only 29,000 jobs in September, signif
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Kalshi Launches Fully Regulated Dogecoin Perpetual Contracts in US
Kalshi has officially launched fully regulated Dogecoin (DOGE) perpetual contract trading in the United States, offering retail investors a legal avenue to trade perpetual contracts on the meme token
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Anthropic is reportedly targeting a major IPO before Thanksgiving, with Kalshi traders pricing a 71% chance of an IPO announcement by December 1st.
Anthropic is reportedly targeting a major IPO before Thanksgiving, with Kalshi traders pricing a 71% chance of an IPO announcement by December 1st, rising to 76% by January 1st.
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CBS News partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction-market data into its 2026 midterm coverage, joining CNN, Fox News, and NBC News
CBS News partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction-market data into its 2026 midterm coverage, joining CNN, Fox News, and NBC News
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has prematurely terminated its volume incentive program and launched a new rewards program.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has terminated its Volume Incentive Program nearly a year ahead of schedule. The program, originally set to conclude on October 1, 2027, will now end no earlier than
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Kalshi traders have increased the probability of Anthropic's IPO this year, following reports that its prospectus warned of AI model dangers.
According to CNBC, traders on Kalshi have increased the probability of AI company Anthropic announcing an initial public offering (IPO) this year. This follows reports that Anthropic warned investors
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CFTC Investigating Former Congressman Adam Kinzinger Over Kalshi Bets on His Own Pardon
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reportedly investigating former Republican Representative Adam Kinzinger for placing bets on prediction market platform Kalshi regarding his own pres
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Kalshi to end liquidity incentive program amid wash trading allegations
Kalshi to end liquidity incentive program amid wash trading allegations. Its monthly volume reached $52.98 billion in September as of Sept. 29, marking an all-time high, even as September data remains
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Prediction market Kalshi seeks $1 billion in funding at a $40 billion valuation, with Sequoia and Tiger Global reportedly in talks.
Prediction market platform Kalshi is in advanced talks with existing and new investors, including Tiger Global and Dragoneer, to raise approximately $1 billion. This funding round is expected to close
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Prediction market traders believe U.S. non-farm payrolls in September will exceed economists' expectations, with the Kalshi platform showing a 60% chance of exceeding 90,000.
Prediction market traders anticipate another strong U.S. September jobs report. On the prediction market platform Kalshi, traders see a 60% chance that U.S. non-farm payrolls for September will exceed
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Kalshi's American Power Index shows Democrats hit new 2026 high, leading at +3.8 with 36 days until midterms
Kalshi's American Power Index shows Democrats hit new 2026 high, leading at +3.8 with 36 days until midterms
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Kalshi and Polymarket Secure Media Deals Ahead of Midterm Elections
Prediction market operators Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket have struck business partnerships with several media companies, including CNN, CBS News, Dow Jones, and CNBC, ahead of the midterm elections. The
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Kalshi's Senate contracts face settlement risk, with the same election potentially yielding different outcomes.
Prediction market Kalshi's Senate market showed on October 28 that its Senate control contract and Democratic seat count contract could yield different outcomes for the same election event due to diff
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Senators Warren and Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Trading Safeguards
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Katie Britt have pressed prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket for information on their election trading safeguards. The senators have set a November 3 deadli
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CFTC Chairman Calls Utah Lawsuit Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi "Blatant Overreach"
The Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stated that Utah's lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi is a "blatant overreach." This follows a federal lawsuit that
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Event prediction platform Kalshi completes $1 billion funding round, reaching a valuation of $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion.
Event prediction platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion, with non-sports revenue run rate exceeding $1 billion. This funding comes as the company
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Prediction-market platform Kalshi reaches $40 billion valuation after $1 billion funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia
Prediction-market platform Kalshi has reached a $40 billion valuation after raising $1 billion in a funding round co-led by Wellington and Sequoia. Additional investors include Andreessen Horowitz, Mo
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, bringing its post-money valuation to $40 billion, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $40 billion post-money, a significant increase from $5 billion a year ago. The round was co-led by Se
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has completed a Series G funding round of $1 billion, reaching a post-money valuation of $40 billion, led by Sequoia and Wellington Management.
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi and its two co-founders, Tarek Mansour (CEO) and Luana Lopes Lara (COO), alleging illegal promotion of gambling. This follows
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Utah Files Criminal Charges Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi and Its Co-Founders
Utah has filed criminal charges, including 13 felonies and one misdemeanor, against prediction market platform Kalshi and its co-founders. This action comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commi
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Phantom launches CFTC-regulated prediction markets for US users via Kalshi
Crypto wallet Phantom has launched prediction markets for its US users, powered by Kalshi. The new integration offers event contracts that are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CF
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Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
Phantom Widens US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets, Excluding Michigan, Nevada, and Washington
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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the company is seeking additional measures to protect customers, after a study showed customers lost money betting on the prediction market platform.
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Democratic win in midterms could increase scrutiny of prediction markets and CFTC, raising questions about Trump Jr.'s advisory role
A Democratic-controlled House after the midterms could intensify scrutiny of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, as well as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Lawmakers may fo
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Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
Kalshi Inc., a leading U.S. prediction market operator, announced new restrictions for users aged 18 to 20, including a monthly deposit limit of $2,500.
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CFTC files complaint against Utah over prediction market enforcement
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a federal complaint against Utah, seeking to block the state's enforcement actions against prediction markets. The lawsuit specifically t
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A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance of winning control of both the House and the Senate.
A week before the midterm elections, prediction markets show Democrats are favored to control both chambers of the U.S. Congress. Prediction platform Kalshi data indicates Democrats have a 63% chance
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S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets
S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) has partnered with Kalshi to create new financial indices powered by Kalshi’s prediction markets, potentially bringing prediction markets closer to mainstream finance.
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Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to a growing list of Wall Street firms expanding their involvement in prediction markets.
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has reached an agreement with S&P Dow Jones Indices to incorporate S&P Dow Jones gauges into its financial event contracts. This partnership adds S&P Dow Jones to
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin price bets drive record $2.7 billion weekly trading volume on crypto prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket
Weekly notional trading volume for crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record $2.7 billion last week, Bloomberg reported, citing Dune Analytics data. This surge was primarily d
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Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks.
Bank of America analyst Shaun Kelley states prediction markets are disrupting the sports betting industry, with platforms like Kalshi challenging traditional sportsbooks such as DraftKings and FanDuel
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Phantom launches Kalshi prediction markets for US users
Phantom has rolled out Kalshi prediction markets to its US users, stating it is “confident and comfortable” amidst ongoing state lawsuits. Users will fund trades with CASH stablecoins, with market res
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
Kalshi
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