The U.S. Economy

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Chicago Fed estimates September unemployment rate at 4.1%
The Chicago Fed estimates the U.S. unemployment rate for September at 4.10%, a slight decrease from August’s 4.14%. This improvement is attributed to better hiring prospects for unemployed workers and

01/10/2026 12:41 UTC #Chicago Fed #Unemployment rate #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Kashkari: Economy keeps surprising me with its resilience
Kashkari: Economy keeps surprising me with its resilience

01/10/2026 11:35 UTC #Minneapolis Fed #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. planned layoffs plunged in September, marking the lowest level for the month since 2022.
U.S. employers announced 43,281 job cuts in September, an 18% decrease from the previous month and the lowest September total since 2022, according to the Challenger Gray report. Year-to-date layoffs

01/10/2026 09:33 UTC #Layoffs #Technology Industry #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
The U.S. goods trade deficit unexpectedly widened to $132.6 billion in August, reaching its highest level since early 2025.
The U.S. goods trade deficit expanded by 11.5% month-over-month in August to $132.6 billion, the largest monthly deficit since early 2025, significantly exceeding market expectations of $115 billion,

30/09/2026 15:14 UTC #Trade Deficit #The U.S. Economy #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US August inflation breadth cooled, with the share of the PCE basket with a six-month annualized inflation rate above 3% falling to 44%.
US August inflation breadth shows signs of cooling. While the revised core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) has slowed, 51% of the PCE basket goods still saw an annualized increase of 3% or mor

30/09/2026 14:08 UTC #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US Sept. MNI Chicago Report Business Index at 58.8, Est. 51.0
US Sept. MNI Chicago Report Business Index at 58.8, Est. 51.0

30/09/2026 13:47 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Macroeconomics #Macro
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: U.S. August core goods rose 0.03% month-over-month, housing rose 0.19% month-over-month, and core services (excluding housing) rose 0.36% month-over-month, the third highest monthly increase in over two years.
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: U.S. August core goods rose 0.03% month-over-month, housing rose 0.19% month-over-month, and core services (excluding housing) rose 0.36% month-over-month, the

30/09/2026 13:05 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve
According to Fed source Nick Timiraos: U.S. core goods inflation has fallen from its March peak of 2.5% to approximately 2% in August.
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos' analysis, U.S. core goods inflation, calculated on a 12-month basis, has fallen from its March peak of 2.5% to approximately 2% in August. He points out that th

30/09/2026 13:00 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
U.S. personal income rose 0.2% month-over-month in August, disposable personal income increased 0.3%, and personal consumption expenditures rose 0.9%.
Data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) shows that U.S. personal income increased by $66.6 billion (0.2%) in August month-over-month, disposable personal income (DPI) increas

30/09/2026 12:44 UTC #Personal Consumption Expenditures #BEA #The U.S. Economy #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US Core PCE Price Index QoQ 3.3%, expected 3.6%, prior 4.4%, below expectations
Core PCE Price Index QoQ: 3.3%, expected 3.6%, prior 4.4%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US PCE Price Index quarter-on-quarter 5%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.6%, below expectations
PCE Price Index QoQ: 5%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.6%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US PCE Price Index MoM 0.3%, expected 0.4%, prior 0.2%, below expectations
PCE Price Index MoM: 0.3%, expected 0.4%, prior 0.2%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #PCE index #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US PCE Price Index YoY 3.4%, expected 3.7%, prior 3.7%, below expectations
PCE Price Index YoY: 3.4%, expected 3.7%, prior 3.7%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve
US Q2 final GDP annualized QoQ 2.2%, expected 1.5%, prior 1.5%, above expectations
US Q2 final GDP annualized QoQ 2.2%, expected 1.5%, prior 1.5%, above expectations

30/09/2026 12:30 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro
JPMorgan Chase Institute: More Americans Tapping Investments for Spending
A new analysis by the JPMorgan Chase Institute found that more Americans are transferring money from investment accounts to checking accounts to cover spending. In the three months ending April 2026,

30/09/2026 12:20 UTC #Family Finance #The U.S. Economy #Stock Market #JPMorgan Chase #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rates hit 7.3%, highest since Nov 2023; applications down over 10% YoY
U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rates hit 7.3%, highest since Nov 2023; applications down over 10% YoY

30/09/2026 11:02 UTC #Mortgage #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: The U.S. August PCE data will be released on Wednesday, with core PCE expected to increase by 0.27%. The introduction of a new methodology has led to increased uncertainty in the year-over-year data.
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: The U.S. August PCE data will be released on Wednesday, with core PCE expected to increase by 0.27%. The introduction of a new methodology has led to increased

30/09/2026 10:45 UTC #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
U.S. Homeowners Hold Record Equity But Are Not Utilizing It
U.S. homeowners possess more housing wealth than ever before, with a collective $11.5 trillion in "tappable" home equity in the second quarter, according to Cotality. The total equity for borrowers wi

29/09/2026 15:34 UTC #Real Estate #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US August JOLTs Job Openings 7.08M, expected 7.23M, prior 7.27M, below expectations
US August JOLTs Job Openings 7.08M, expected 7.23M, prior 7.27M, below expectations

29/09/2026 14:02 UTC #JOLTs Job Openings #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro
US September consumer confidence index was 81.9, expected 89.0.
US September consumer confidence index was 81.9, expected 89.0.

29/09/2026 14:02 UTC #Consumer Confidence Index #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. 'Funflation' is on the rise, with consumer spending on hobbies up 7.9% year-on-year in August 2026, despite airfare prices increasing 26.5%
The Bank of America's latest analysis suggested that "funflation" — the increased cost of fun — may be rising, but consumers aren't cutting back. The 7.9% growth in hobby spending was double the growt

27/09/2026 05:51 UTC #Bank of America #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Financial Times Analysis: US Housing Crisis Puts Private Equity in Midterm Election Spotlight, Institutional Investors Blamed for Driving Up Costs
Financial Times Analysis: US Housing Crisis Puts Private Equity in Midterm Election Spotlight, Institutional Investors Blamed for Driving Up Costs

27/09/2026 04:17 UTC #US Housing #Private equity #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Durable Goods Orders MoM 0%, expected -0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
Durable Goods Orders MoM: 0%, expected -0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-25 12:30 UTC

25/09/2026 12:36 UTC #Durable Goods Orders #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Borrowing Costs Are Soaring, But They’re Not Slowing a Robust U.S. Economy.
Borrowing Costs Are Soaring, But They’re Not Slowing a Robust U.S. Economy.

25/09/2026 09:55 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int

30/10/2026 16:43 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate hike #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala

30/10/2026 15:57 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
Fed insider Nick Timiraos: US private sector compensation growth slowed to 3.1% in Q3, the lowest since Q1 2021.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos cited Employment Cost Index data, stating that U.S. wage growth has slowed slightly over the past year. Private sector compensation (excluding incentive-based occ

30/10/2026 12:54 UTC #Remuneration #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis points to 4.586%.
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis point

30/10/2026 12:39 UTC #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #U.S. Treasuries #Macro
Donald Trump reposted a tweet from Mark Levin, reiterating his optimistic assessment of the U.S. economy, citing falling gasoline and food prices, economic growth, and rising consumer confidence.
Donald Trump reposted a tweet from conservative radio host Mark Levin, reiterating his optimistic assessment of the U.S. economy. The tweet highlighted falling gasoline prices, flat or decreasing food

30/10/2026 10:51 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. economy grew by 3.4%, a new historical high, with equipment investment surging 21% and core inflation remaining low.
Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, stating that the U.S. economy is "booming" at a rate of 3.4%, with "significant increases" in consumer spending and business investment, and a "21% explosion" in n

29/10/2026 19:12 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Q3 GDP Grows 3.4%, Strongest in a Year; Private Investment Hits Nearly 15-Year High
The White House announced that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, marking its strongest pace in a year. Private investment in plants and equipment surged

29/10/2026 16:46 UTC #Consumption #GDP #Investment #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding expectations, while the core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above expectations.
U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, above market expectations of 3.2% and the previous quarter's 2.2%. Meanwhile, the Q3 core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above the ex

29/10/2026 12:57 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #digital currency
US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, beating forecasts, with AI spending fueling growth.
US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, beating forecasts, with AI spending fueling growth.

29/10/2026 12:41 UTC #The U.S. Economy #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis: U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, higher than Q2's 2.2%.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026 (July, August, and September), according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic A

29/10/2026 12:38 UTC #BEA #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Q3 GDP initial estimate rose 3.4%, exceeding expectations; the market anticipates September PCE inflation year-on-year to accelerate to 3.7%.
U.S. Q3 GDP grew at an annualized 3.4% in its initial estimate, exceeding market expectations. Meanwhile, according to Dow Jones consensus, the market anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month increase in t

29/10/2026 12:36 UTC #GDP #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth exceeded expectations at 3.4%, while inflation accelerated, with Q3 core PCE rising to 2.5%.
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding market expectations of 3.2% and accelerating from Q2's 2.2%. Meanwhile, inflation data also showed signs of acceleration, with the Q3 core PCE price i

29/10/2026 12:35 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations

29/10/2026 12:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Foreign Exchange
EPA projects Trump's methane policy rollback would minimally impact 2027 crude prices, lowering them by 11 cents a barrel
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) projects that U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed rollback of methane emissions rules would lower U.S. crude prices by 11 cents a barrel in 2027, or 0.14%.

29/10/2026 04:05 UTC #U.S. Environmental Protection Agency #The U.S. Economy #Policy #Commodities #Crude oil #Macro
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent anticipates strong Q3 GDP data.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent anticipates strong Q3 GDP data.

28/10/2026 20:14 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US September Goods Trade Deficit Widens to $134.9 Billion, Largest Since March 2025, Driven by AI Data Center-Related Capital Goods Imports
The US goods trade deficit widened 2.1% to $134.9 billion in September, marking its largest level since March 2025. This exceeded economists' expectations of $130.2 billion. Imports rose 2.4%, primari

28/10/2026 12:45 UTC #Trade Deficit #The U.S. Economy #Semiconductor #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
Early Q3 earnings reports indicate U.S. consumers remain 'resilient' despite high inflation, though some companies show signs of strain. Companies like Royal Caribbean, Coca-Cola, and UPS reported ste

27/10/2026 18:18 UTC #Consumption #The U.S. Economy #Financial Report #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
US October Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.7, exceeding consensus of 81.0; September revised to 84.2 from 81.9, according to Conference Board
US October Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.7, exceeding consensus of 81.0; September revised to 84.2 from 81.9, according to Conference Board

27/10/2026 14:01 UTC #Conference Board #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, slightly above the 1.7% forecast, following a revised 0.1% increase in August
US durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, slightly above the 1.7% forecast, following a revised 0.1% increase in August. However, orders excluding transportation rose 0.5% against a 0.6% expecta

27/10/2026 12:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
ADP data shows that the U.S. private sector added an average of 16,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 10.
ADP data shows that the U.S. private sector added an average of 16,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 10.

27/10/2026 12:21 UTC #ADP #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.07 in September, up from -0.08
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.07 in September, up from -0.08, indicating that U.S. economic growth was slightly above its historical trend. The report showed that productio

26/10/2026 12:32 UTC #Chicago Fed #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. consumer confidence fell to 48.0 ahead of the midterm elections, nearing a historic low.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 48.0 in its latest reading released on Friday, the second-lowest on record, only above the all-time low of 44.8 set in May of this year. Eco

23/10/2026 17:43 UTC #Consumer Confidence #Midterm Elections #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US Consumer Sentiment Slips to Five-Month Low on Inflation Woes
US consumer sentiment edged down to a five-month low in October as high prices and rising interest rates depressed morale.

23/10/2026 14:08 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Inflation #Macro
U.S. October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final Reading Rose to 48.0, Exceeding Expectations but Inflation Expectations Increased
The final reading of the US October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 48.0, exceeding the expected 46.3 but still below September's 48.1. Within this, the Current Economic Conditions

23/10/2026 14:03 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
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