The U.S. Economy

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US private sector non-farm employment increased by 46,000, below the expected 85,000 and the previous value of 89,000 (revised from 127,000).

Private Sector Non-Farm Employment: 46K, expected 85K, prior 89K (revised from 127K), below expectations Release Time: 2026-10-02 12:30 UTC

02/10/2026 12:33 UTC #Nonfarm Payrolls #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. September non-farm payrolls increased by 29,000, below the expected 90,000 and the revised previous figure of 133,000.

U.S. September non-farm payrolls increased by 29,000 (vs. 90,000 expected, 133,000 revised prior, below expectations); unemployment rate was 4.2% (vs. 4.1% expected, 4.1% prior, above expectations); a

02/10/2026 12:31 UTC #Nonfarm Payrolls #The U.S. Economy #Macro
FT: Homeowners staying put is a problem for the Fed and US economy

A Financial Times opinion piece argues that homeowners, by staying put due to their existing low mortgage rates, are freezing the housing market and making affordability as bad as during the housing b

02/10/2026 11:16 UTC #Real Estate #Mortgage #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Macro #Federal Reserve
Australia-US Bond Yield Gap Nears Zero as Policy Paths Diverge

Australia’s benchmark bond yield looks poised to fall below its US counterpart for the first time in over a year, as expectations for monetary policy in the two economies diverge.

02/10/2026 00:08 UTC #The Australian Economy #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Bond yield #Monetary Policy #Macro
Poll: Most Americans say US-Israel war on Iran not worth fighting

A new nationwide poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that nearly 70% of US adults believe the US-Israeli war on Iran has not been worth fighting, a five-point in

01/10/2026 21:13 UTC #U.S.-Iran Relations #The U.S. Economy #Geopolitics #Macro #Donald Trump
US September ISM Manufacturing PMI was 54.5 points, below the expected 55 points and the previous value of 54.6 points.

US September ISM Manufacturing PMI was 54.5 points, below the expected 55 points and the previous value of 54.6 points.

01/10/2026 14:02 UTC #Manufacturing PMI #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US September Final Manufacturing PMI 55.9

US September Final Manufacturing PMI 55.9, compared to the flash estimate of 57.0 and August's 53.9.

01/10/2026 13:51 UTC #Manufacturing PMI #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
Chicago Fed estimates September unemployment rate at 4.1%

The Chicago Fed estimates the U.S. unemployment rate for September at 4.10%, a slight decrease from August’s 4.14%. This improvement is attributed to better hiring prospects for unemployed workers and

01/10/2026 12:41 UTC #Chicago Fed #Unemployment rate #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Kashkari: Economy keeps surprising me with its resilience

Kashkari: Economy keeps surprising me with its resilience

01/10/2026 11:35 UTC #Minneapolis Fed #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. planned layoffs plunged in September, marking the lowest level for the month since 2022.

U.S. employers announced 43,281 job cuts in September, an 18% decrease from the previous month and the lowest September total since 2022, according to the Challenger Gray report. Year-to-date layoffs

01/10/2026 09:33 UTC #Layoffs #Technology Industry #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
The U.S. goods trade deficit unexpectedly widened to $132.6 billion in August, reaching its highest level since early 2025.

The U.S. goods trade deficit expanded by 11.5% month-over-month in August to $132.6 billion, the largest monthly deficit since early 2025, significantly exceeding market expectations of $115 billion,

30/09/2026 15:14 UTC #Trade Deficit #The U.S. Economy #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US August inflation breadth cooled, with the share of the PCE basket with a six-month annualized inflation rate above 3% falling to 44%.

US August inflation breadth shows signs of cooling. While the revised core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) has slowed, 51% of the PCE basket goods still saw an annualized increase of 3% or mor

30/09/2026 14:08 UTC #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US Sept. MNI Chicago Report Business Index at 58.8, Est. 51.0

US Sept. MNI Chicago Report Business Index at 58.8, Est. 51.0

30/09/2026 13:47 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Macroeconomics #Macro
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: U.S. August core goods rose 0.03% month-over-month, housing rose 0.19% month-over-month, and core services (excluding housing) rose 0.36% month-over-month, the third highest monthly increase in over two years.

According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: U.S. August core goods rose 0.03% month-over-month, housing rose 0.19% month-over-month, and core services (excluding housing) rose 0.36% month-over-month, the

30/09/2026 13:05 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve
According to Fed source Nick Timiraos: U.S. core goods inflation has fallen from its March peak of 2.5% to approximately 2% in August.

According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos' analysis, U.S. core goods inflation, calculated on a 12-month basis, has fallen from its March peak of 2.5% to approximately 2% in August. He points out that th

30/09/2026 13:00 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
U.S. personal income rose 0.2% month-over-month in August, disposable personal income increased 0.3%, and personal consumption expenditures rose 0.9%.

Data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) shows that U.S. personal income increased by $66.6 billion (0.2%) in August month-over-month, disposable personal income (DPI) increas

30/09/2026 12:44 UTC #Personal Consumption Expenditures #美国经济分析局 #The U.S. Economy #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US Core PCE Price Index QoQ 3.3%, expected 3.6%, prior 4.4%, below expectations

Core PCE Price Index QoQ: 3.3%, expected 3.6%, prior 4.4%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US PCE Price Index quarter-on-quarter 5%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.6%, below expectations

PCE Price Index QoQ: 5%, expected 5.3%, previous 4.6%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US PCE Price Index MoM 0.3%, expected 0.4%, prior 0.2%, below expectations

PCE Price Index MoM: 0.3%, expected 0.4%, prior 0.2%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #PCE index #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US PCE Price Index YoY 3.4%, expected 3.7%, prior 3.7%, below expectations

PCE Price Index YoY: 3.4%, expected 3.7%, prior 3.7%, below expectations Release Time: 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC

30/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve
US Q2 final GDP annualized QoQ 2.2%, expected 1.5%, prior 1.5%, above expectations

US Q2 final GDP annualized QoQ 2.2%, expected 1.5%, prior 1.5%, above expectations

30/09/2026 12:30 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro
JPMorgan Chase Institute: More Americans Tapping Investments for Spending

A new analysis by the JPMorgan Chase Institute found that more Americans are transferring money from investment accounts to checking accounts to cover spending. In the three months ending April 2026,

30/09/2026 12:20 UTC #Family Finance #The U.S. Economy #Stock Market #JPMorgan Chase #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rates hit 7.3%, highest since Nov 2023; applications down over 10% YoY

U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rates hit 7.3%, highest since Nov 2023; applications down over 10% YoY

30/09/2026 11:02 UTC #Mortgage #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro
According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: The U.S. August PCE data will be released on Wednesday, with core PCE expected to increase by 0.27%. The introduction of a new methodology has led to increased uncertainty in the year-over-year data.

According to Fed insider Nick Timiraos: The U.S. August PCE data will be released on Wednesday, with core PCE expected to increase by 0.27%. The introduction of a new methodology has led to increased

30/09/2026 10:45 UTC #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
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US inflation continues to outpace wage growth, making cost of living pressures a central issue in the midterm elections.

Americans are facing increasing cost-of-living pressures as inflation continues to outpace wage growth, making it the top concern for voters ahead of the midterm elections, according to data from the

22/10/2026 15:29 UTC #Cost of Living #Midterm Elections #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
US CB Leading Index MoM 0% on October 22, 2026, vs. expectations of -0.1% and prior of -0.1%, above expectations.

US CB Leading Index MoM 0% on October 22, 2026, vs. expectations of -0.1% and prior of -0.1%, above expectations.

22/10/2026 14:18 UTC #Leading indicator #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US October 22, 2026 Continuing Jobless Claims 1728, expected 1720, prior 1710, above expectations

US October 22, 2026 Continuing Jobless Claims 1728, expected 1720, prior 1710, above expectations

22/10/2026 13:58 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro
US initial jobless claims for the week of October 17 were 194,000, compared to the previous figure of 199,000.

US initial jobless claims for the week of October 17 were 194,000, compared to the previous figure of 199,000.

22/10/2026 12:30 UTC #Initial Unemployment Claims #The U.S. Economy #Macro
CNBC Survey: Donald Trump's Economic Approval Rating Hits Record Low, 80% of Americans Rate Economy as "Fair or Poor"

According to the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey, U.S. President Donald Trump's economic approval rating has fallen to a historic low as the midterm elections approach. The survey found that 8

22/10/2026 11:45 UTC #Economic support rate #CNBC #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks #Donald Trump
U.S. pending home sales fell 7.3% month-over-month in September to a record low, while housing starts declined 5.2%.

The U.S. housing market is experiencing a high-interest rate shock, with both sales and construction activity cooling. Data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that pending home sale

22/10/2026 10:15 UTC #Real Estate #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro
U.S. mortgage rates drop for first time in 2 months, but demand still falls

U.S. mortgage rates fell for the first time in over two months, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropping to 7.41% from 7.50% last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)

21/10/2026 11:06 UTC #Real Estate #Mortgage #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro
As a selloff in Treasuries pushes benchmark yields to multi-decade highs, the U.S. government is increasingly reliant on investors who will only buy at the right price.

As a selloff in Treasuries pushes benchmark yields to multi-decade highs, the U.S. government is increasingly reliant on investors who will only buy at the right price.

21/10/2026 10:23 UTC #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #U.S. Treasuries #Macro
U.S. Treasury yields held steady as investors focused on unemployment claims and mortgage data.

On Wednesday, US government bond yields held steady, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 5.1211%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.7889%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.4320%. Investors are awaiting

21/10/2026 09:02 UTC #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Economic Data #U.S. Treasuries #Macro
U.S. pending home sales plunged 7.3% month-over-month in September and fell 11.3% year-over-year, with the index dropping to 66.0.

U.S. pending home sales plunged 7.3% month-over-month in September, reversing August's modest 0.3% gain. The index fell to 66.0, with sales down 11.3% year-over-year. Weakness was observed across all

20/10/2026 14:03 UTC #Real Estate #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
Amazon plans to hire over 300,000 seasonal workers, a 20% increase from last year, committing $1.5 billion to workforce pay raises, even as broader U.S. holiday hiring is projected to hit its lowest level since 2008.

Amazon plans to hire over 300,000 seasonal workers, a 20% increase from last year, committing $1.5 billion to workforce pay raises, even as broader U.S. holiday hiring is projected to hit its lowest l

20/10/2026 13:36 UTC #Pay Raise #Job Openings #Amazon #The U.S. Economy #Stocks #U.S. stocks
US September Housing Starts Fell 5.2% to 1.221 Million Units, Below Consensus Expectation of 2.0% Growth

US September Housing Starts Fell 5.2% to 1.221 Million Units, Below Consensus Expectation of 2.0% Growth

20/10/2026 12:31 UTC #Housing Starts #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
ADP Report: US private sector hiring momentum significantly slowed by 29%, with an average of 18,500 new jobs added per week in the four weeks ending October 3.

ADP Report: US private sector hiring momentum significantly slowed by 29%, with an average of 18,500 new jobs added per week in the four weeks ending October 3.

20/10/2026 12:19 UTC #ADP #The U.S. Economy #Employment #Macro #U.S. stocks
BBC Analysis: US Economic Growth at 2.2% During Trump's Term, Inflation at 3.7%, and Job Growth Slowed

BBC Verify analysis indicates that the U.S. economy is currently growing at an annualized rate of 2.2%, with overall GDP growth of approximately 3.2% since Donald Trump's second term began in late 202

20/10/2026 05:15 UTC #Tariffs #The U.S. Economy #Employment #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
White House's Hassett: U.S. Inflation Still a Concern, September CPI Month-over-Month Rise of 0.6% May Require Further Federal Reserve Efforts

White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett stated on Monday that despite price declines in commodities such as beef and eggs, the U.S. September Consumer Price Index (CPI rose 0.6% m

19/10/2026 22:25 UTC #The U.S. Economy #CPI #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
U.S. homebuilder sentiment hits 14-year low in October as mortgage rates climb above 7%

U.S. homebuilder sentiment fell to 29 in October, marking its lowest level since June 2012. This decline occurred as mortgage rates climbed above 7%. A record-high 43% of builders cut prices, with ave

19/10/2026 14:03 UTC #Mortgage Interest Rates #Real Estate #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: The U.S. economy is booming, but geopolitical conflicts, inflation, and high interest rates pose key risks.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated that the U.S. economy is booming, supported by strong corporate profits, low unemployment, and massive spending on AI infrastructure. He believes that while there

19/10/2026 11:55 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #JPMorgan Chase #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
Iran's acting defense minister criticized Donald Trump's "mother of all bombs" remarks, stating that the American bomb would explode in the U.S.'s global standing and economy.

Iran's acting Minister of Defense, Majid Ibn al-Reza, criticized US President Donald Trump's remarks about the possible use of the "Mother of All Bombs" (MOAB) to strike Iranian energy and nuclear fac

17/10/2026 07:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Geopolitics #Macro #Foreign Exchange
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh expressed optimism about the resilience of the U.S. economy and surprise at the performance of the global economy.

Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh on Friday expressed optimism about the resilience of the U.S. economy and surprise at how well the global economy has performed despite energy shocks and tight monetary

16/10/2026 22:03 UTC #Global Economy #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate hike #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
The U.S. budget deficit reached $1.99 trillion in fiscal year 2026, a 12% year-over-year increase; interest expenses surpassed $1 trillion for the first time, hitting a new historical high.

The U.S. Treasury Department announced on Friday that the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2026, ending in September, expanded to $1.99 trillion, an increase of approximately 12% from $1.78 tril

16/10/2026 20:09 UTC #Interest expense #Budget Deficit #Bonds #U.S. Department of the Treasury #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Iranian officials emphasized the cost of war through information campaigns ahead of the US midterm elections, stating that the world has lost confidence in the US economy.

Al Jazeera reported that Iranian officials are using English statements to highlight US gasoline prices and economic issues, aiming to increase the political cost for the US of a war with Iran. Iran's

16/10/2026 18:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #U.S. Treasuries #Geopolitics #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US household debt payments rose $57 while real take-home pay increased $109 from late 2022 to early 2026, with 52 cents of every dollar of income gain going to debt

US household debt payments rose $57 while real take-home pay increased $109 from late 2022 to early 2026, with 52 cents of every dollar of income gain going to debt

16/10/2026 18:10 UTC #Salary #Household Debt #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US FY2026 budget deficit surges to nearly $2 trillion, up 12% in one year.

The U.S. Treasury Department reported on Friday that the budget deficit for fiscal year 2026 reached nearly $2 trillion, an increase of approximately 12% from $1.775 trillion in the previous fiscal ye

16/10/2026 18:06 UTC #Budget Deficit #Bonds #U.S. Treasury yields #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Trump: US economy has never been stronger

Trump: US economy has never been stronger

16/10/2026 17:20 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Macro
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