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10/19
12:03
Goldman Sachs: Last week, institutional investors recorded a record net sell-off in tech stocks, while retail investors poured a record $10 billion into leveraged ETFs.
Goldman Sachs Prime data shows that global tech stocks saw record net selling last week, with net exposure dropping to the 0th percentile. Meanwhile, retail investors bucked the trend by pouring money into leveraged ETFs, with nearly $10 billion flowing into leveraged ETFs between October 12 and 16, marking the largest single-week inflow since data began in 2006. Approximately $7 billion of this went into the triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF SOXL, a record for the product. Last week, the Nasdaq 100 index fell by approximately 5.5%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) dropped by about 11.5%. Goldman Sachs strategist Brian Garrett believes the next move "will depend more on earnings confirmation," with earnings season becoming the decisive point for bulls and bears. Additionally, the notional value of S&P 500 put options traded last Friday reached $3.3 trillion, an all-time high.
11:57
Analyst Warns: Saudi "Shock Absorber" Fails, Gulf Energy System Reconstruction May Take 10 Years, Global Diesel Shortfall Reaches 3 Million BPD
Renowned energy analyst Karl Miller's latest assessment indicates that Saudi Arabia's role as a "shock absorber" in the global oil market is coming to an end. The reconstruction cycle for the Gulf energy system is now projected to extend significantly from the previous five years to 2033-2036, requiring capital ranging from $550 billion to $2.28 trillion. Miller believes that the global supply deficit for diesel and jet fuel, currently at a baseline of 3 million barrels per day, could further widen, and the U.S. refining system is not large enough to fill this gap.
11:57
The euro fell by as much as 0.5% against the dollar to 1.1183 in Asian morning trading, as the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict was compounded by unrest in France. French government bond futures dropped 52 basis points.
The euro fell as much as 0.5% against the dollar to a low of 1.1183 in early Asian trading on Monday, before paring some losses. Meanwhile, French government bond futures dropped as much as 52 basis points in early trading. The sell-off was primarily driven by two factors: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy publicly accused Donald Trump of pressuring Kyiv to compromise with Russia; and widespread protests in multiple French cities escalated into clashes with police, becoming one of the country's most severe street violence incidents in years. The unrest in France comes as the National Assembly is reviewing next year's budget, which includes €43 billion in fiscal consolidation measures, further exacerbating market concerns about Europe's geopolitical risks and fiscal outlook.
11:52
CITIC Securities: Market Overly Concerned About Debt of New Cloud Vendors Like Coreweave; Short-Term Funding Gap Still Manageable
CITIC Securities, in its latest report on October 19, stated that market concerns about the debt sustainability of new cloud vendors like Coreweave are overblown, believing that short-term financing gaps can still be absorbed by existing channels. The report predicts that the real stress test will not arrive until 2028, when the ability of AI demand to continuously translate into rental payments will determine the quality of this round of high-leverage computing power expansion.

The report estimates that new cloud-related capital expenditures will approach $500 billion in 2027, corresponding to an annual new financing demand of approximately $310 billion. CITIC Securities believes that public market financing, GPU-backed financing supported by customer contracts, and customer prepayments are sufficient to cover this gap in the short term. For example, CoreWeave's latest loan, collateralized by investment-grade customer contracts, has seen its spread decrease to SOFR+2.25%. As of the end of Q2 2026, the four major CSPs (Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta) had uncommenced lease commitments totaling $830.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 249%.

CITIC Securities emphasized that the core variable for new cloud repayment capability is not interest rates, but computing power rental prices.
11:39
Bitcoin, Nasdaq Futures, and Asian Stocks Rally as China's Q3 GDP Beats Estimates
Bitcoin, Nasdaq futures, and Asian stocks, including Korea's Kospi and Japan's Nikkei, rallied on Monday as stronger-than-expected China's Q3 GDP data and falling oil prices boosted investor risk appetite. China's GDP grew 4.5% year-on-year in the third quarter, surpassing the 4.3% pace of the second quarter, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics. Retail sales also rose 1.1%, more than double the expected 0.5% increase.
11:39
Indonesian Officials to Meet MSCI on Monday After Index Provider Threatened Reclassification to Standalone Market
11:33
Vietnam plans to launch stock index options in the first quarter of next year to deepen its capital market and attract overseas investors.
11:30
Intel CEO says contract chip business needs 'strong' government support
Intel's chief executive stated in an exclusive interview with Nikkei that while the Trump administration has no policy to interfere with Intel's business strategy via its minority stake, White House backing is crucial for growing the company's contract chipmaking business. The U.S. government, SoftBank Group, and rival chipmaker Nvidia have all taken equity stakes in Intel to support its recovery.
11:25
Morgan Stanley reiterates its "Overweight" rating and $300 price target for SpaceX, stating that its technology integration and AI business have far exceeded expectations.
Morgan Stanley, in its latest report, stated that the Tesla Roadster launch revealed SpaceX's technological prowess, with most of the vehicle's Bill of Materials (BOM) value originating from SpaceX, indicating a far greater degree of technological integration between the two companies than market expectations. The report also highlighted the sustained strengthening momentum of SpaceX in three major business segments: space, connectivity, and enterprise AI. It quantified that each additional 1GW of proprietary computing power could contribute approximately $27 to the stock price (about 18% of the current stock price). Morgan Stanley believes that SpaceX's current stock price of approximately $148.62 is significantly undervalued, reiterating its "Overweight" rating and a target price of $300, implying more than double upside potential from the current price.
11:09
Lookonchain: Trader 0xD273 sold all 4.85 million PONS ($1.24 million) and 354,900 AI ($29,000) 10 hours ago, incurring a loss of $645,000.
11:02
Indonesian Stocks Plunge Over 5% to Six-Year Low Amid MSCI Downgrade Fears
Indonesia's benchmark stock index plunged over 5% on Monday to its lowest level in six years, driven by intensifying concerns over a potential MSCI downgrade. MSCI proposed reclassifying Indonesia from an emerging market to stand-alone status last Friday, with a final decision expected by June. Goldman Sachs warned in a Sunday note that a full removal from MSCI's emerging-market indexes could trigger approximately $5.6 billion in passive fund outflows. The bank maintained its underweight rating on Indonesian equities and expects the central bank to raise interest rates twice more by 25 basis points each in Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
10:59
Ex-detainee Evan Gershkovich says Russia wants something in return for Japan journalist
Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich, who has been detained in Russia for about 16 months on espionage charges, said earlier this month that he expects Russia to hold a Hokkaido Shimbun reporter until it gets “something in return.”
10:48
Last week, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plummeted 17 basis points in a single week, and the Nasdaq Composite plunged 5.5%. The market is concerned that volatility in AI-related trades could reignite the safe-haven appeal of U.S. Treasuries.
Last week, as market concerns over the prospects of leading AI companies intensified, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by approximately 17 basis points, while the Nasdaq 100 Index plummeted by 5.5% over the same period. Analysts suggest that the volatility in AI-related trading has rekindled the safe-haven appeal of U.S. Treasuries. Federal Reserve Governor Warsh reiterated his commitment to achieving price stability at the IMF annual meeting but did not comment on the direction of monetary policy or the economic outlook. The market still anticipates another rate hike from the Federal Reserve this year, followed by further tightening in 2027.
10:41
India's HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank Report Mixed Weekend Earnings
10:35
Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of MicroStrategy, believes Bitcoin is returning to a bull market, primarily driven by the accelerated development of bank custody and security tokenization over the next 12-24 months.
10:28
The Japanese government is seeking to allay market concerns about its fiscal policy by providing more information in English.
10:28
South Korea's FSS Chief Pledges Stronger Cybersecurity After 100,000 Data Breaches
South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) Governor Lee Chan-jin pledged on Monday to strengthen cybersecurity at local financial institutions. This commitment follows recent hacking incidents that compromised approximately 100,000 cases of personal data, an issue he addressed during his opening remarks at a parliamentary audit. He stated the FSS would swiftly address security vulnerabilities through thorough investigations.
10:24
Japan PM Takaichi Strongly Denies Responsibility for Weak Yen, High Rates
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi strongly denied the notion that she’s responsible for a weak yen and high interest rates.
10:21
China's Real Estate Investment and Sales Continue to Decline in First Three Quarters
China's National Bureau of Statistics announced on October 19 that from January to September this year, national real estate development investment decreased by 20.6% year-on-year, and the sales value of new commercial housing decreased by 13.9% year-on-year.

During the same period, funds available to Chinese real estate development enterprises decreased by 21.6% year-on-year. Among these, domestic loans decreased by 33.1%, and individual mortgage loans decreased by 22.1%. In terms of sales, the sales area of new commercial housing decreased by 13.2% year-on-year, while the online signing area for second-hand home transactions increased by 10.7% year-on-year.
10:21
Indonesian Stocks Tumble to Lowest Since 2020 After MSCI Warning
Indonesian stocks extended their selloff, deepening their worst rout in almost 30 years, after MSCI Inc. warned that the country risks losing its emerging-market status, fueling fears of worsening foreign capital outflows.
10:18
China's fixed-asset investment fell 7.2% year-on-year in January-September, while investment in intellectual property products rose 9.3%.
China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that from January to September, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 33.4115 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.2%. Of this, investment in intellectual property products increased by 9.3% year-on-year. Private fixed asset investment decreased by 10.4% year-on-year. On a month-on-month basis, fixed asset investment in September grew by 0.07%.
10:18
China's National Bureau of Statistics: GDP grew by 4.6% year-on-year in the first three quarters, and CPI rose by 0.9%.
China's National Bureau of Statistics announced today that preliminary calculations show the country's GDP reached 107,107.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% at constant prices. Specifically, Q1 GDP grew by 5.0% year-on-year, Q2 by 4.3%, and Q3 by 4.5%.

Regarding other key economic indicators, the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 2.3%. The average surveyed urban unemployment rate was 5.2%, unchanged from the same period last year. Total goods imports and exports grew by 18.8% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 16.4% and imports by 22.3%. National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 7.2% year-on-year. National per capita disposable income saw a nominal year-on-year increase of 5.3% and a real increase of 4.4%.
10:17
China's industrial value-added of enterprises above designated size increased by 5.5% year-on-year in September, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points from the previous month.
China's National Bureau of Statistics announced that in September 2026, the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 5.5% year-on-year, 0.3 percentage points faster than the previous month. On a month-on-month basis, industrial value added grew by 0.61% in September. From January to September, the cumulative year-on-year growth of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size was 5.3%.

By sector, in September, the value added of the manufacturing industry increased by 6.0% year-on-year, electricity, heat, gas and water production and supply increased by 5.6%, and mining increased by 1.3%. Among these, the computer, communication and other electronic equipment manufacturing industry grew by 16.4%, and new energy vehicle production increased by 16.9%.
10:17
China's National Bureau of Statistics: From January to September, national real estate development investment fell by 20.6% year-on-year, sales of new commercial housing dropped by 13.9%, and the area of pre-owned home transactions signed online increased by 10.7%.
10:16
China's National Bureau of Statistics: Total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.1% year-on-year from January to September, with a single-month growth rate of 1.1% in September.
China's National Bureau of Statistics: In January-September, total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.1% year-on-year. Excluding automobiles, retail sales of consumer goods rose by 2.8%. In September alone, total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.1% year-on-year, and excluding automobiles, retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.9%. In January-September, national online retail sales of goods and services increased by 4.4% year-on-year.
10:16
China's National Bureau of Statistics: In September, raw coal output of industrial enterprises above designated size fell by 6.8% year-on-year, while crude oil output increased by 2.2% year-on-year.
According to data from China's National Bureau of Statistics, in September, China's output of raw coal from industrial enterprises above designated size was 390 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 6.8%, with the decline narrowing by 0.9 percentage points compared to August. Crude oil output was 18.21 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.2%, with the growth rate accelerating by 1.4 percentage points compared to August. During the same period, natural gas output was 21 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year decrease of 1.0%; electricity generation was 829.4 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year decrease of 1.2%. Among these, nuclear power increased by 21.5%, wind power by 10.6%, and solar power generation by 19.5%.
10:16
China's National Bureau of Statistics: In the first three quarters of 2026, the national per capita disposable income of residents increased by 4.4% in real terms, and per capita consumption expenditure increased by 2.7% in real terms.
China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that in the first three quarters of 2026, the national per capita disposable income of residents was 34,230 yuan, a nominal increase of 5.3% and a real increase of 4.4% after deducting price factors. Specifically, the real per capita disposable income of urban residents increased by 3.6%, while that of rural residents increased by 5.6%. During the same period, the national per capita consumption expenditure of residents was 22,354 yuan, a nominal increase of 3.6% and a real increase of 2.7% after deducting price factors.
10:15
China's industrial capacity utilization rate for large-scale enterprises was 73.1% in Q3 2026.
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, China's industrial capacity utilization rate for enterprises above designated size in Q3 2026 was 73.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from Q2 but down 1.5 percentage points from the same period last year. By sector, the capacity utilization rate for mining was 69.5%, for manufacturing it was 73.3%, and for the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water it was 72.6%.
10:12
China's Q3 GDP narrowly beats forecasts
China's economy gained modest momentum in the third quarter, with strong exports buoying growth and narrowly beating forecasts. However, Beijing continues to grapple with sluggish domestic demand, lingering trade tensions, and uncertainty over energy prices, as the government pushes to meet its annual target.
10:10
China's economic growth quickens to 4.6% as exports surge, stimulus rolls out

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