JPMorgan Chase strategist Mislav Matejka stated in a September 28 report that the "valuation reset" for the Magnificent Seven tech stocks in the US is nearing its end, with valuations falling to a 10-year low. However, the tech sector is unlikely to "stand out" again. The bank maintains an overweight stance on semiconductors and recommends re-establishing a "long semiconductors, short software" pair trade.
The report suggests that the P/E premium of hyperscale cloud vendors relative to the S&P 500 has compressed to more than one standard deviation below its historical average. Earnings for the semiconductor sector continue to be revised upwards, with 12-month forward EPS rising by 30% since June; while the software sector's valuation is at a historical low, it lacks sufficient fundamental support. JPMorgan Chase expects the combined capital expenditure of hyperscale cloud vendors to climb from $950 billion in 2026 to $1.4 trillion in 2027, reaching $3 trillion by 2030.
JPMorgan Chase: The "valuation reset" for the Magnificent Seven in US tech stocks is nearing its end, with valuations falling to a 10-year low, but they are unlikely to "stand out" again; maintain overweight on semiconductors, recommend long semiconductors and short software.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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