Foreign Exchange
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BBVA: Carry Trade Funding May Shift From Yen to Yuan
BBVA SA says the Chinese yuan’s appeal may grow as an alternative to the yen for carry trades if the Bank of Japan makes further interest-rate hikes as widely expected.
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The Japanese Yen surged to a three-week high of 157.63 against the US Dollar, as markets remained vigilant for potential intervention by Japanese authorities. Brent crude oil fell over 1% on the day to $94.67 per barrel after Donald Trump downplayed the likelihood of a prolonged conflict between the US and Iran.
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar for a second consecutive trading day, rising to 157.63 at one point and hitting a three-week high, fueling speculation that Japanese authorities mig
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USD/JPY fell 1.44% intraday, now at 156.5068.
USD/JPY fell 1.44% intraday, now at 156.5068.
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Malaysia Extends Rate Pause, Drops ‘Appropriate’ Language
Malaysia's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, citing the economy's continued modest inflation and rapid growth. The bank also tweaked its monetary policy statement by removing a refere
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EUR/JPY falls 0.7% intraday to 182.5540.
EUR/JPY falls 0.7% intraday to 182.5540.
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The Philippines is reconsidering its plan to issue a large five-year bond later this month due to high inflation and a weak peso.
The Philippines is reconsidering its plan to issue a large five-year bond later this month due to high inflation and a weak peso.
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NGN/USD: Naira Set for Strongest Annual Gain Since 2018 Despite Elections
Nigeria’s currency is headed for its best performance in almost a decade, as analysts attribute rising dollar inflows from higher oil prices and remittances to insulating the naira from political risk
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India’s Rupee Gains as RBI Measures Bring in Bumper $136 Billion, Far Exceeding Expectations and Boosting Its War Chest to Defend the Currency.
India’s Rupee Gains as RBI Measures Bring in Bumper $136 Billion, Far Exceeding Expectations and Boosting Its War Chest to Defend the Currency.
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USD/JPY is down 0.71% today, currently trading at 157.6665.
USD/JPY is down 0.71% today, currently trading at 157.6665.
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Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose above 3% on Tuesday, reaching a nearly 30-year high, as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned of risks from the unwinding of yen carry trades.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose above 3% on Tuesday for the first time since September 1996. This move, coupled with the continued weakening of the Japanese Yen and rising expectations of a
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Yen Traders Brace for Holiday Intervention Risk Around BOJ's Upcoming Policy Meeting
Yen traders are on heightened alert for possible intervention around the Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy meeting, with a three-day holiday following the decision offering authorities an opportunity to
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South Korean stocks opened 1.33% higher on Thursday before paring gains to 0.57%, as oil prices retreated after Donald Trump downplayed the conflict with Iran.
South Korea's KOSPI index opened 1.33% higher on Thursday, then pared gains to trade at 6600.4 points, up 0.57%, as of 9:15 AM. This followed a rally on Wall Street overnight, after US President Donal
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Analysts Say Dollar Debasement Favors Singapore's Currency
Analysts say the Singapore dollar is tracking the US currency in an inverse direction more closely than any other in Asia, positioning it for stronger gains in the region if the “dollar debasement tra
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Bloomberg Analysis: Global Pension Funds and Insurers' High Dollar Exposure Lacks Hedging, Risks Steeper Dollar Declines
According to Bloomberg, a review of filings from pension funds and insurers worldwide shows that some of the biggest holders of US assets have insufficient protection against a weaker dollar. This lea
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South Korea's foreign reserves rose by a record $14.33 billion in August to $442.28 billion, marking the largest monthly gain since 1971.
South Korea's foreign reserves rose by a record $14.33 billion in August to $442.28 billion, marking the largest monthly gain since 1971.
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The Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive time, warning of potential consequences from a trade war with the United States.
The Bank of Canada on Wednesday kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive time but warned of potential consequences from the trade war with the United States.
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The Bank of Canada maintained its interest rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive time but warned that tariff wars pose an upside risk to inflation. 63% of analysts are betting on a rate hike in the first half of 2027.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) maintained its overnight rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive meeting on September 2. In its statement, the central bank noted that the evolution of the economy and infla
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Brazilian Stocks Outperform Nasdaq Year-to-Date, Options Trading Surges
The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) is up 19% year-to-date, surpassing the Nasdaq-100's 15% gain. Options volume for EWZ surged to more than six times its 30-day average on Wednesday, with traders placi
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Big Japanese banks are rethinking their mortgage strategies as rising interest rates make corporate loans more lucrative
Big Japanese banks are rethinking their mortgage strategies as rising interest rates make corporate loans more lucrative
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Goldman Sachs remains overweight equities for next 12 months, underweighting credit
Goldman Sachs maintains its overweight position on equities for the next 12 months, while underweighting credit, citing increasing late-cycle risks. The bank expects solid earnings, resilient but slow
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Iran's currency drops to a record low of over 2.2 million rials to the U.S. dollar, according to tracking websites
Iran's currency drops to a record low of over 2.2 million rials to the U.S. dollar, according to tracking websites
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Senegalese bonds are facing a sell-off as investors fear losses from debt restructuring.
Investors, who previously hoped Senegal would avoid a debt default, are now changing their strategy, selling off short-term bonds and anticipating future losses.
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China's Xi urges new Middle East security framework during rare Egypt visit, opposing external interference amid US-Israel war on Iran
Chinese President Xi Jinping, during his first visit to Cairo in a decade, called on Middle East countries to oppose external influence and consider reshaping the region’s security order. His remarks
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Financial Times Analysis: US Treasury's actual intervention in JPY in July may have been only around $500 million, significantly lower than market expectations.
The Financial Times' Alphaville column analyzed that the U.S. Treasury's intervention in the Japanese Yen exchange rate in July this year might have been significantly smaller than the market's previo
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Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
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China names Li Chenggang its top international trade negotiator ahead of US talks
China elevated Li Chenggang's title on Sunday, hours before delegations from the two countries were set to hold negotiations in New York. This move comes as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is sche
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
On September 19, Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a new round of missile and drone attacks targeting "sensitive sites" in the Saudi capital Riyadh and Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu. U.S. embassies in
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Yen vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines as Japan holiday reduces liquidity, investors disappointed by BOJ guidance
The yen is vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines over the next week, with a three-day holiday in Japan set to reduce trading liquidity and investors disappointed that the central bank didn’t
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
Financial Secretary Paul Chan stated on Sunday that Hong Kong would expand its renminbi-denominated bond market and develop renminbi-denominated gold and commodity markets. This initiative aims to str
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Financial Times: Saudi Arabia Exits China-Led Cross-Border Currency Platform
Saudi Arabia has withdrawn from a China-led cross-border currency platform. According to the Financial Times, the Saudi central bank exited the project last year, which was one of China's efforts to d
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Global oil shipping costs have surged to historic highs, with supertankers earning over $1.2 million per day. A South Korean shipping magnate is making a massive bet, investing $7 billion, and is set to profit handsomely.
The global supertanker market is experiencing unprecedented supply-demand tightness, with soaring freight rates rendering some long-haul crude oil trades economically unviable and profoundly altering
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent seeks to influence Japan's fiscal and monetary policy, Nikkei Asia reports, stating that Japan's response must be mutually beneficial.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama for the first time after their coordinated intervention. Nikkei Asia noted that the U.S. Treasury's move aims
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Turkish Foreign Minister: Turkey supports Saudi Arabia's security and is prepared to provide military assistance amid escalating Houthi attacks.
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Friday that Saudi Arabia may have unmet military needs amid Houthi attacks in Yemen, and Turkey would consider how to support Saudi Arabia as part of a tri
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Iran's security chief says conditions for ending war with US, including lifting naval blockade and unfreezing funds, sent to Washington via Qatar; awaits Trump's response
Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Al Jazeera in an exclusive interview on Saturday that Tehran has conveyed a formal set of conditions to Washington through Qa
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss AI safety, trade, and economic issues, paving the way for a summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss artificial intelligence safety, trade, and broader economic issues. The meeting, he
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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Pakistan urges Iran to protect energy supplies and shipping, as high-ranking officials from both countries are set to meet.
Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Ishaq Dar, spoke with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Saturday, emphasizing the importance of uninterrupted energy supplies and the sa
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Trump Administration Lifts Sanctions on Eritrea to Advance U.S. Regional Interests in Red Sea
The U.S. State Department announced that President Donald Trump chose not to renew sanctions against Eritrea from 2021, a move aimed at "advancing U.S. regional interests." Eritrea, located in the Hor
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Russia attacked two merchant ships in the Black Sea, and Poland raised its air defense alert level.
Ukraine's Air Force stated that Russia used dozens of drones and two anti-ship missiles to attack Ukraine overnight. Russia's Ministry of Defense, meanwhile, claimed that its forces used "Geran-4 Seek
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
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World faces supertanker shortage, threatening long-haul oil flows as costs soar
The rising cost of global oil transportation is rendering some long-distance crude trades uneconomical, potentially disrupting flows at a time when fuel markets are exceptionally tight.
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Brazil's central bank announced a ban on the use of stablecoins for certain cross-border payment settlements, effective October 1, to address regulatory ambiguities.
Brazil's central bank stated that the move aims to address ambiguities in the 2022 virtual assets law, which grants the central bank the authority to determine which crypto operations constitute forei
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Trump Administration Refuses to Disclose Details of Venezuelan Oil Revenue, State Department Faces Public Pressure
The Trump administration is facing pressure from the U.S. State Department to disclose the total amount of funds it seized from Venezuelan oil and the amount that has been returned to Caracas, after r
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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U.S. President signs H.R. 5334 bill, expanding sanctions on Russia and extending sanctions on Iran.
On Friday, September 18, the President of the United States signed H.R. 5334, the "Lindsey O. Graham Sanction Russia and Iran Act of 2026." This bill authorizes and expands statutory sanctions, tariff
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EQ9 Token Analysis: Project Positioning, Market Performance, and Future Development Prospects
The EQ9 (Equals9) token aims to revolutionize the traditional foreign exchange sector by providing low-cost, high-efficiency international currency management services through its Polygon-based technology platform. The project plans to transition to a proprietary chain in the future to further enhance performance. However, EQ9's current market performance faces challenges, with extremely low 24-hour trading volume, significant discrepancies in circulating market capitalization data, and severe price volatility. Investors need to be wary of its liquidity risks and closely monitor the project's subsequent technological developments and market dynamics.
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