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Foreign Exchange
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RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
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JPMorgan Chase: If USD/JPY falls below 155, over $100 billion in short positions could be unwound, leading to a larger-than-expected appreciation of the Japanese Yen.
JPMorgan strategists warn that if USD/JPY falls below the 155 mark, the current market's approximately $102.6 billion in JPY short positions face a risk of concentrated unwinding, potentially triggeri
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The Japanese Yen continued to strengthen against the US Dollar on Friday morning, moving into the 155 range, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes.
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, moving beyond 157 yen from the previous day, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hike
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US Dollar Slumps to Start September as Yen Surges on Rate Bets
The dollar slumped to start September as traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month and a surging yen rippled across global currency markets.
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The Nikkei 225 rose 0.5% to 64,530.98 in early trading, led by technology and financial stocks.
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike receded. SoftBank Group surged 6.5%, Fujitsu gained 3.1%, and Nomura Holdings advanced 1.9%. The
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller on Thursday publicly countered Chairman Warsh's downplaying of forward guidance, stating that effective monetary policy communication requires a clear policy framework.
At a Reuters event, Waller stated that effective monetary policy communication should revolve around the current policy stance, the outlook for policy, and forward guidance under specific circumstance
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UBS Wealth Management France CIO Discusses Soaring Global Bond Yields and ECB Rate Hike Expectations
Claudia Panseri, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Wealth Management France, discussed the surge in global bond yields driven by inflation concerns, market expectations for European Central Bank rate hi
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The USD/JPY fell 2.1% to 155.40 on Thursday, nearing the 155 mark. CME stated that if it breaks below 155, option selling pressure could accelerate the yen's gains.
The USD/JPY exchange rate plummeted on Thursday, hitting a more than one-month low of 155.34 during intraday trading, marking a 2.1% single-day decline. It is currently trading at 155.40. The Chicago
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Bitcoin Reclaims $80,000, Rallying 5% as DXY Falls Amid Suspected Yen Intervention
Bitcoin rallied 5% to reclaim $80,000, while the US dollar weakened amid market suspicion of a continuing Bank of Japan currency intervention. Analysts, however, remain split on the intervention's ove
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WSJ Fed reporter Nick Timiraos shared a view that it is “proper and responsible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates” given the CPI numbers.
WSJ Fed reporter Nick Timiraos shared a view that it is “proper and responsible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates” given the CPI numbers.
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WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
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Bloomberg: US officials have expressed dissatisfaction to Germany, citing the Bundesbank President's criticism of US intervention in the yen and the German Finance Minister's tough stance on Russia.
U.S. officials have expressed dissatisfaction with the German government through multiple channels, Bloomberg reported on September 3, citing sources. Reasons include Bundesbank President Nagel's publ
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The DXY is down 0.76% today, currently at 98.840.
The DXY is down 0.76% today, currently at 98.840.
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NZD/USD rose 0.77% intraday, now trading at 0.5892.
NZD/USD rose 0.77% intraday, now trading at 0.5892.
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The dollar hedging ratio has fallen to a historic low. Bloomberg estimates that raising it by 5 percentage points could trigger $230 billion in sell-offs.
Bloomberg data shows that as of June 30 this year, the currency hedging ratio of major global institutional investors for dollar-denominated assets has fallen to approximately 41%, the lowest since re
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Panama Canal restricts daily vessel traffic to 34 from Thursday, further to 32 by Sep 15, due to low water levels; one ship paid record $5.3M for transit
Panama Canal authorities announced that from Thursday (September 3), the number of vessels permitted to pass daily will be restricted to 34, down from the traditional 40. This cap will further drop to
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Spot silver rises 3% to $67.36/oz
Spot silver rises 3% to $67.36/oz
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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The odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September have risen to 56%, following a slight increase in jobless claims beyond expectations and Christopher Waller's statement supporting a hold on rates.
The odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September have risen to 56%, following a slight increase in jobless claims beyond expectations and Christopher Waller's statement supporti
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USD/CHF is down 0.73% today, currently trading at 0.8064.
USD/CHF is down 0.73% today, currently trading at 0.8064.
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USD/JPY extends losses to 1.75%, now at 155.9.
USD/JPY extends losses to 1.75%, now at 155.9.
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CoinDesk Analysis: Forex Markets Have Changed How They Interpret Bond Yields; High Yields May Signal Fiscal Stress, Not Strength; Bitcoin Should Follow Suit
CoinDesk's latest "Daybook" notes that while conventional wisdom holds that rising government bond yields are a headwind for cryptocurrencies, the foreign exchange market no longer follows this logic.
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The Bank of Japan's data showed no intervention in the yen's sharp rise on Wednesday, while the Finance Minister reiterated that he would prevent the yen from depreciating.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) account data released on Thursday showed that speculation of market intervention following Wednesday's more than 1 yen drop in USD/JPY was unfounded, as the gap between its current
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Chinese Ministry of Commerce spokesperson Huang Ling demanded that the United States immediately rectify its sanctions against Chinese companies and citizens related to Iran.
Huang Ling stated that despite repeated requests from China, the U.S. has repeatedly sanctioned Chinese companies and citizens using Iran as a pretext, which China strongly resents and firmly opposes.
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The Wall Street Journal: Xi-Biden Meeting Not Expected to Yield Major Agreements, Will Focus on Trade Truce, AI, and Rare Earths
The Wall Street Journal reported that Chinese President Xi Jinping is unlikely to lead a delegation of Chinese corporate CEOs to Washington this week, lowering expectations for a major business deal b
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Payward's Reap plans to launch a non-USD stablecoin for 24/7 cross-border FX settlement.
Reap, a fintech platform and a principal issuing member of Visa, is preparing to integrate Mexican peso stablecoins into its card, cross-border payment, and treasury management products. The company i
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Donald Trump will meet with leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) on Tuesday during the UN General Assembly to discuss the Iran conflict and shipping issues in the Strait of Hormuz.
The meeting comes as the US-Israel conflict with Iran continues for nearly seven months, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed and triggering a global energy crisis. Donald Trump stated that he i
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Argentine President Milei's US Trade Deal Threatened by Demands for Better Terms
Argentine President Milei's US Trade Deal Threatened by Demands for Better Terms
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent warns companies against servicing Iranian airlines, effective Wednesday, as China calls measures "illegal"
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that all Iranian airlines could be shut out of international operations from Wednesday, September 23, warning companies globally against providing service
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Rubio says he is open to meeting with Iran at the UN, according to NBC News
Rubio says he is open to meeting with Iran at the UN, according to NBC News
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Iran hints at potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 7 days if the US eases military pressure; WTI crude falls to $89.
According to multiple reports citing a senior Iranian official, Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the United States eases military pressure and lifts the port blockade. Follo
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Hong Kong regulators to provide details on new offshore yuan strategy on Wednesday
Hong Kong's banking and securities regulators are set to provide further details on Wednesday regarding a new phase of offshore yuan development, following recent meetings in Beijing and the city's un
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Goldman Sachs analysts say Turkish investors are primarily moving funds withdrawn during the redemption crisis into Lira deposits.
Goldman Sachs Group analysts stated that Turkish investors, who withdrew funds from money market funds during the redemption crisis, likely transferred most of their savings into lira deposits.
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Two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran claimed to have received intelligence that the US was planning new attacks.
The UK Maritime Trade Operations agency reported on Monday that two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. This came a day after Iran stated it had received intelligence that the United St
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USD/KRW fell 1.49% intraday, now trading at 1,355.0136.
USD/KRW fell 1.49% intraday, now trading at 1,355.0136.
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European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip R. Lane expects energy shocks to persist longer, with inflation potentially higher and more prolonged, targeting mid-2027.
Philip R. Lane, Chief Economist of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated in an interview with Le Temps that after a second wave of energy price increases, the energy shock is expected to last longer
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FT: Yen carry trade faces risks as Japan's central bank tightens monetary policy
The Financial Times reports that investors who leveraged the yen for higher yields may be forced into a sell-off of those positions as Japan's central bank tightens monetary policy.
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RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
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USD/KRW fell 1.09% intraday, now at 1,360.5442.
USD/KRW fell 1.09% intraday, now at 1,360.5442.
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The Trump-Xi summit is being held this week and is expected to extend the trade truce and discuss Iran.
China's Foreign Ministry confirmed on Monday that Chinese President Xi Jinping will visit the United States from Wednesday to Friday for a summit with US President Donald Trump. The two sides are expe
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Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warns: New US tariffs could push Q4 economic growth below 1%, high oil prices exacerbate inflation.
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated on Monday that a new round of U.S. tariffs could prompt businesses to delay investment and hiring, causing Canada's fourth-quarter economic growth to "rough
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Financial Times: Kremlin-backed forgery scheme moved $6.9 billion through global banks
Thousands of Russian payments, totaling $6.9 billion, were processed by Standard Chartered, Citigroup, and other international financial institutions, according to a trove of leaked documents from fin
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Venezuela's delegation will discuss energy, debt, and mining issues with the United States, with sources indicating a potential agreement could be signed.
Venezuela's delegation will discuss energy, debt, and mining issues with the United States, with sources indicating a potential agreement could be signed.
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French 5-year CDS tops 45 bps, hitting highest since March 2020, LSEG data shows
French 5-year CDS tops 45 bps, hitting highest since March 2020, LSEG data shows
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Brent crude fell 2.6% to $101.18, and WTI dropped below $98, as increased oil supply from Saudi Arabia through the Strait of Hormuz eased supply concerns.
Brent crude fell 2.6% to $101.18, and WTI crude dropped below $98, as diplomatic hopes and increased Saudi oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz eased market concerns about supply shortages. Saudi
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent champions the dollar's dominance in global markets and stablecoins, refuting pessimistic assessments of the U.S. economy.
Scott Bessent highlighted the strong growth of the U.S. economy, foreign demand for U.S. assets, and the continued dominance of the dollar to counter the New York Times report's assessment of structur
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EQ9 Token Analysis: Project Positioning, Market Performance, and Future Development Prospects
The EQ9 (Equals9) token aims to revolutionize the traditional foreign exchange sector by providing low-cost, high-efficiency international currency management services through its Polygon-based technology platform. The project plans to transition to a proprietary chain in the future to further enhance performance. However, EQ9's current market performance faces challenges, with extremely low 24-hour trading volume, significant discrepancies in circulating market capitalization data, and severe price volatility. Investors need to be wary of its liquidity risks and closely monitor the project's subsequent technological developments and market dynamics.
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Two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran claimed to have received intelligence that the US was planning new attacks.
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