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Foreign Exchange
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FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
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Bank of Canada warns of rate hike risk, citing elevated gas prices and 'too high' inflation; Governor Macklem struck hawkish tone
The Bank of Canada's governing council warned that it may need to hike interest rates, saying the longer gasoline prices remain elevated, the more likely that would pass through to other goods and ser
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Deutsche Bank corrects Fed hike forecast, now expects two hikes this year and one in 2027
The bank clarified that it added a hike in 2027, not a third hike for 2026 as an earlier version of its forecast incorrectly stated.
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Wall Street's major banks widely expect Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech today to emphasize economic growth and inflation issues.
Against the backdrop of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike today, several major Wall Street banks, including Barclays, BMO, Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Nomu
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Reuters Breakingviews Analysis: Markets May Be Overestimating Rate Hikes by the Federal Reserve, ECB, and Bank of England
Reuters Breakingviews notes that markets currently anticipate the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates four times over the next year, each by 25 basis points, bringing the rate to approximately 4
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Japanese Refiners Rush for Oman Crude After Saudi Pipeline Shutdown
Some refiners in Japan this week rushed to buy Oman's crude for earlier loadings after Saudi Arabia shut down its key pipeline bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, traders with knowledge of the purchases t
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Gold Rebounds 0.8% to $4,326.44/oz Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.04%, Highest Since 2007
Spot gold (XAU/USD) gained 0.8% to $4,326.44 an ounce on Wednesday, while gold futures increased 0.8% to $4,366.50. Silver (XAG/USD) advanced 1.4% to $64.59 an ounce, and platinum (XPT/USD) rose 0.7%
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UK August CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year, a new high since March, in line with expectations; the market expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday.
The UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.1% year-on-year in August, up from 2.9% in July and the highest level since March this year, the Office for National Statistics announced on September 16.
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Markets are cautiously optimistic ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, with U.S. Treasuries slightly stronger, crude oil gains narrowing, and equity index futures holding steady.
The market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points later on Wednesday. Driven by this expectation, U.S. Treasury bonds saw a slight strengthening, crude
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Seoul stocks snap 4-day losing streak, KOSPI up 1.37% on chip bargain hunting
Seoul stocks snapped their four-day losing streak to close sharply higher as investors went bargain hunting for major tech shares and semiconductors. The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index cl
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The ECB's wage tracker shows wage growth at 2.7% in the first half of 2027, signaling a moderate rise in negotiated wage growth.
The European Central Bank's (ECB) wage tracker data shows that wage pressures covered by active collective bargaining agreements, smoothed for one-off payments, were 2.2% in 2026. The overall wage tra
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Uganda Shilling Slumps to Two-Year Low as FX Demand Soars
Uganda’s shilling slumped to a two-year low against the dollar, weighed down by a surge in demand for foreign-exchange in key economic sectors including energy, manufacturing and telecommunications.
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European Stocks Advance as Bond Selloff Eases Ahead of Fed Decision
European shares snapped two days of losses as oil prices eased and the bond selloff slowed, with traders looking ahead to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision later today.
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Invesco Says It's 'More Risky' If Fed Doesn't Hike Rates
Invesco Says It's 'More Risky' If Fed Doesn't Hike Rates
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Japanese Shipper Mitsui OSK Lines Does Not Expect LNG Shipments Through Hormuz Strait to Resume Soon
The top Japanese shipping firm said this signals a prolonged disruption that could keep prices elevated and curb demand across Asia.
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Japan's August exports rose 19.3% year-on-year, with the trade deficit expanding to 1.1 trillion yen, marking the fourth consecutive month of deficit.
Japan's exports rose 19.3% year-on-year in August, slowing from July's 23.2% but exceeding economists' median forecast of 18.4%, data from the Ministry of Finance showed on Wednesday. Imports surged 2
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UK inflation jumps to 3.1% as energy costs soar
UK inflation jumps to 3.1% as energy costs soar
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Hong Kong to Launch Dim Sum Bond Index, Aiming to Boost Trading and Reinforce Offshore Yuan Hub Role, Says Chief Executive John Lee
Hong Kong to Launch Dim Sum Bond Index, Aiming to Boost Trading and Reinforce Offshore Yuan Hub Role, Says Chief Executive John Lee
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Pound and UK Stocks Stronger Ahead of Inflation Data
Pound and UK Stocks Stronger Ahead of Inflation Data
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Top economists in FT-Booth poll say Fed should defy Trump with rate rise to tame inflation
Top economists in FT-Booth poll say Fed should defy Trump with rate rise to tame inflation
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Japan Trading House Lobby Chief Urges Stronger Yen Despite Sector Windfall
Masahiro Okafuji, chairman of the Japan Foreign Trade Council and CEO of Itochu, stated on Wednesday that a stronger yen is necessary for Japan's benefit, even though a weaker currency currently provi
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JPMorgan Strategist Rasid: Inflation Data and Rising Yields Point to Fed Rate Hike
JPMorgan Global Market Strategist Raisah Rasid stated that incoming economic data and rising Treasury yields indicate the Federal Reserve will hike rates. She advised investors to focus on the 12- to
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HSBC and ICICI Bank become largest lenders to Indian diaspora via FX loans in GIFT City
HSBC Holdings Plc and ICICI Bank Ltd. in India's GIFT City have emerged as the biggest lenders to the vast Indian diaspora through a special foreign-exchange swap program. This development signals the
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US and China Discuss Cutting Tariffs on American Energy and Agricultural Products Ahead of Next Week's Leaders' Summit
The discussions aim to solidify prospects for an extension to the US-China trade truce.
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China names Li Chenggang its top international trade negotiator ahead of US talks
China elevated Li Chenggang's title on Sunday, hours before delegations from the two countries were set to hold negotiations in New York. This move comes as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is sche
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
On September 19, Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a new round of missile and drone attacks targeting "sensitive sites" in the Saudi capital Riyadh and Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu. U.S. embassies in
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Yen vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines as Japan holiday reduces liquidity, investors disappointed by BOJ guidance
The yen is vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines over the next week, with a three-day holiday in Japan set to reduce trading liquidity and investors disappointed that the central bank didn’t
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
Financial Secretary Paul Chan stated on Sunday that Hong Kong would expand its renminbi-denominated bond market and develop renminbi-denominated gold and commodity markets. This initiative aims to str
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Financial Times: Saudi Arabia Exits China-Led Cross-Border Currency Platform
Saudi Arabia has withdrawn from a China-led cross-border currency platform. According to the Financial Times, the Saudi central bank exited the project last year, which was one of China's efforts to d
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Global oil shipping costs have surged to historic highs, with supertankers earning over $1.2 million per day. A South Korean shipping magnate is making a massive bet, investing $7 billion, and is set to profit handsomely.
The global supertanker market is experiencing unprecedented supply-demand tightness, with soaring freight rates rendering some long-haul crude oil trades economically unviable and profoundly altering
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent seeks to influence Japan's fiscal and monetary policy, Nikkei Asia reports, stating that Japan's response must be mutually beneficial.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama for the first time after their coordinated intervention. Nikkei Asia noted that the U.S. Treasury's move aims
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Turkish Foreign Minister: Turkey supports Saudi Arabia's security and is prepared to provide military assistance amid escalating Houthi attacks.
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Friday that Saudi Arabia may have unmet military needs amid Houthi attacks in Yemen, and Turkey would consider how to support Saudi Arabia as part of a tri
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Iran's security chief says conditions for ending war with US, including lifting naval blockade and unfreezing funds, sent to Washington via Qatar; awaits Trump's response
Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Al Jazeera in an exclusive interview on Saturday that Tehran has conveyed a formal set of conditions to Washington through Qa
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss AI safety, trade, and economic issues, paving the way for a summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss artificial intelligence safety, trade, and broader economic issues. The meeting, he
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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Pakistan urges Iran to protect energy supplies and shipping, as high-ranking officials from both countries are set to meet.
Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Ishaq Dar, spoke with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Saturday, emphasizing the importance of uninterrupted energy supplies and the sa
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Trump Administration Lifts Sanctions on Eritrea to Advance U.S. Regional Interests in Red Sea
The U.S. State Department announced that President Donald Trump chose not to renew sanctions against Eritrea from 2021, a move aimed at "advancing U.S. regional interests." Eritrea, located in the Hor
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Russia attacked two merchant ships in the Black Sea, and Poland raised its air defense alert level.
Ukraine's Air Force stated that Russia used dozens of drones and two anti-ship missiles to attack Ukraine overnight. Russia's Ministry of Defense, meanwhile, claimed that its forces used "Geran-4 Seek
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
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World faces supertanker shortage, threatening long-haul oil flows as costs soar
The rising cost of global oil transportation is rendering some long-distance crude trades uneconomical, potentially disrupting flows at a time when fuel markets are exceptionally tight.
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Brazil's central bank announced a ban on the use of stablecoins for certain cross-border payment settlements, effective October 1, to address regulatory ambiguities.
Brazil's central bank stated that the move aims to address ambiguities in the 2022 virtual assets law, which grants the central bank the authority to determine which crypto operations constitute forei
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Trump Administration Refuses to Disclose Details of Venezuelan Oil Revenue, State Department Faces Public Pressure
The Trump administration is facing pressure from the U.S. State Department to disclose the total amount of funds it seized from Venezuelan oil and the amount that has been returned to Caracas, after r
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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U.S. President signs H.R. 5334 bill, expanding sanctions on Russia and extending sanctions on Iran.
On Friday, September 18, the President of the United States signed H.R. 5334, the "Lindsey O. Graham Sanction Russia and Iran Act of 2026." This bill authorizes and expands statutory sanctions, tariff
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Hedge funds turn bullish on JPY for the first time since mid-2025.
Hedge funds have turned bullish on the Japanese Yen for the first time since July 2025, a shift in sentiment that comes weeks after US and Japanese authorities intervened in markets to support the cur
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EQ9 Token Analysis: Project Positioning, Market Performance, and Future Development Prospects
The EQ9 (Equals9) token aims to revolutionize the traditional foreign exchange sector by providing low-cost, high-efficiency international currency management services through its Polygon-based technology platform. The project plans to transition to a proprietary chain in the future to further enhance performance. However, EQ9's current market performance faces challenges, with extremely low 24-hour trading volume, significant discrepancies in circulating market capitalization data, and severe price volatility. Investors need to be wary of its liquidity risks and closely monitor the project's subsequent technological developments and market dynamics.
Foreign Exchange
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Anthropic's potential $2 trillion IPO fuels nearly $80 million in crypto derivatives bets
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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Oracle's $18 billion AI loan is struggling to sell, with banks quoting prices down to 89-91 cents on the dollar, signaling emerging pressure in the AI financing chain.
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VICA Token: Ethereum-Based "Noflation" Concept Token and Its Market Status
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Axelar (AXL) In-depth Analysis: The Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol Connecting the Multi-Chain World
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Cheelee (CHEEL) and Metal Blockchain Ecosystem: New Dynamics in the Cryptocurrency Space
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Vals AI seeks to become the gold standard for AI benchmarking, raising $40 million in Series A funding led by Andreessen Horowitz.
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Energy Web Token (EWT) Historical Price Review: Analysis of All-Time Highs and Lows
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What is Shiba Inu (SHIB)? An Analysis of Shiba Inu's Current Status and Trading Channels
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