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Federal Reserve
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Rising oil prices shift expectations for interest rate cuts; an options bet at Federal Reserve yields $10 million in profits
Svmuu News: This month’s sharp rise in oil prices and the market’s downward revision of expectations for Federal Reserve’s monetary easing have resulted in a $10 million profit from an options trade o
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Iran War Clouds Outlook; Federal Reserves Face Pressure on Both Fronts; Hawk-Dove Showdown Looms
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Officials are set to meet this week, with their policy outlook already disrupted by the war in Iran, which has brought one-fifth of global oil supplies to a standstill. Offi
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Bitfinex Report: Bitcoin Stabilizes Above $70,000, Institutional Accumulation Within Range May Brew Breakout
According to the latest Bitfinex Alpha report, Bitcoin has regained its footing above the $70,000 mark ahead of this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting on March 18th, with market momentum showing a c
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Wall Street's Big Three Still Bullish on U.S. Stocks: Geopolitical Shocks Won't Alter Bull Market
Svmuu According to strategists from major Wall Street banks, their bullish case for U.S. equities remains intact despite risks stemming from the war in Iran. Rising oil prices, cost-of-living concerns
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Jerome Powell: Even if investigated, he will not step down after his term as chairman ends
Svmuu News: Documents declassified last Friday reveal that, during a meeting with the Department of Justice in January, attorneys for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Jerome Powell raised the possibili
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U.S. Court Upholds Fed Ruling, Denies Custodia's Request for Rehearing on Master Account
Svmuu News The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, in a 7-3 vote, has denied crypto bank Custodia's request for an en banc rehearing. This decision upholds the October 2025 panel ruling, affi
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Federal Court Halts DOJ Subpoena Investigation into Current Fed Chair, Elizabeth Warren's Support for Warsh as Fed Chair Probability Surges Significantly
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability for "Will Elizabeth Warren vote to support Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?" has risen from 1.9% to 28.0%. A recent ruling by a U.S. federal d
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Polymarket's "Fed rate cut before June FOMC meeting concludes" probability drops 11% in 24 hours, currently reported at 28%
According to monitoring by Svmuu Seer's Prophet Channel, the probability of the Polymarket event "Fed rate cut before the June FOMC meeting concludes" has dropped 11% in 24 hours and is currently repo
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Bank of America Analyst: Further Decline in S&P 500 Index Could Trigger Policy Response from White House or Fed
Svmuu According to Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett, a further decline in the S&P 500 Index—down to around 6600 points, just 1% below recent levels—could trigger a policy response from the Whi
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Barclays: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September 2026 and March 2027
Svmuu News Barclays: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September 2026 and March 2027, compared to previous forecasts for rate cuts in June and September of this year. (Jin10)
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Rabinettenbank: Middle East Conflict May Continue to Support the Dollar
Svmuu According to Jane Foley of Rabobank in a report, as there are no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the US dollar may still have room for further strengthening. The rise of the dollar
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Bank of America: Oil Price Shock May Push Up Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts; Jerome Powells Will Adopt a Wait-and-See Approach
Svmuu News: Bank of America stated that the Federal Reserve will have to contend with another round of supply shocks—soaring oil prices. In the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released ahead of
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Market Analysis: Rising Core PCE Poses Challenges for Fed Doves
Svmuu News According to the US financial website investinglive: This report poses a problem for the doves within the Federal Reserve. The overall data largely met expectations, but upon closer inspect
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Market News: Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cut Before September
Svmuu News: Market news indicates that traders are betting on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before September. (Jin10)
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A survey shows that economists predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year
Svmuu News: According to a Bloomberg survey, economists have pushed back their expectations for the next interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve from March to June, but still anticipate two 25-basis-
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Analysis: Bitcoin forms a chip accumulation zone between $62,000 and $72,000, poised for new breakout momentum
Svmuu According to Cointelegraph, amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the price of Bitcoin has broken through $72,000, reaching a new high since March 5th, demonstrating strong ma
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Analysis: Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Expectations, Market Fears Fed May Struggle to Cut Rates
Svmuu According to data, the one-year breakeven inflation rate has risen to 4.62%, the highest level since June 2022; the two-year breakeven inflation rate has also climbed to 3.18%, reaching a near o
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Analysts: Market Concerns Over Fed Rate Cut Path Intensify, Gold Prices Set for Weekly Decline
Svmuu News On Friday, New York gold futures fell below $5,100 per ounce, poised for a weekly decline. A stronger U.S. dollar, rising oil prices, and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy are
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Analysis: Tonight's PCE May Show Unprecedented Anomalies in Decades, Another Hurdle for Fed's Rate Cut Path
Svmuu News At 8:30 PM Beijing time on Friday, the United States will release the January PCE Price Index. The market expects the PCE data to rise 2.9% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous value,
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U.S. Senate Majority Leader says the Clarity Act is not expected to move forward before April
Svmuu News: U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that the Clarity Act, a bill aimed at regulating the crypto market, is not expected to pass the Senate Banking Committee before April. The bil
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U.S. Senate Votes to Pass Housing Bill with Prohibition on Central Bank Digital Currency
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate passed a housing bill with a vote of 89 to 10. The bill includes an addendum prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the e
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U.S. Senate Passes Bill Clause Proposing Ban on CBDC Issuance, Ban May Last Until 2030
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan-supported housing bill with 89 votes in favor and 10 against, which includes a clause prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital
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Analysis: Bitcoin Holds Above $70,000 as Soaring Oil Prices and Credit Risks Hit U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News: Bitcoin held above the $70,000 mark on Thursday, even as crude oil prices surged over 10% to nearly $100 per barrel. Donald Trump stated he was more concerned with stopping Iran's actions
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Investors are concerned that the Middle East conflict could reignite inflation, and the market no longer fully bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year
Svmuu News Bond traders are no longer fully pricing in expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026. Interest rate swaps linked to Fed policy meeting dates show that traders on T
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Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session
Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session. Traders are preparing for the Federal Reserve's expected decision to keep inter
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Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise
Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise. Ahead of major tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Anthropic's initial public offering applicat
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US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
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A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees
A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees, as the existing rules violate congressional legislative intent. The court noted
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Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting
Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which concludes this week. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to k
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On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting, but some analysts warn that inaction could raise questions about its inflation-fighting credibility. Despite in
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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What is NBM Coin (NFTBlackmarket)? Status and Trading Channels Analysis
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Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) Q3 Earnings Report Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.31, market expectation $1.27 Revenue: $34.31 billion, market expectation $34.77 billion Reporting Period: FY2026 Q3 (ended September 30, 2026) Release Date: October 26, 2026
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AI Tokens Explained: Definition, Key Projects, and Market Outlook for Artificial Intelligence Cryptocurrencies
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
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Which Platforms Allow Bitcoin Purchases Now? A Guide to Choosing Bitcoin Trading Apps
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Virtual Currency Exchange Review: Compliance and Risk Boundaries of Major Global Platforms
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Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues
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What is EURe? An Analysis of the Euro Stablecoin EURe's Features, Uses, and Trading Channels
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