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Federal Reserve
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Probability of Fed holding rates unchanged in April before CPI release is 98.4%
Svmuu News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probabilit
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Fed's Daly Preempts High Inflation Ahead of CPI Data Release
Svmuu News Federal Reserve official Daly stated that even before the oil price shock, the United States itself had work to do in combating inflation, and now this work simply requires more time. If th
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Analysis: Bitcoin Faces Resistance After Touching $72,000, CPI and US-Iran Talks Emerge as Key Variables
Svmuu News Bitcoin has risen nearly 7% since Sunday, with its upward momentum slowing after reaching the $72,000 range, and institutional fund flows remain unclear. The market is focused on two major
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Fed's Daly: If US-Iran Ceasefire Holds, CPI Data Becomes Irrelevant
Svmuu News Fed's Daly stated that the real question is whether the ceasefire can be sustained. If it can, then the CPI data becomes irrelevant. (Jin10)
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Fed's Daly: Sees Lower Probability of Rate Hikes Compared to Cuts or Holding Rates Steady
Svmuu News Fed's Daly believes the probability of a rate hike is lower than that of a cut or holding rates steady. If inflation remains above expectations for an extended period, the Fed will maintain
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Analysis: Multiple Factors Support Long-Term Bullish Trend for Gold, Year-End Gold Price May Reach $5,800
According to Svmuu, institutions including ANZ and Goldman Sachs state that gold could still rebound in the long term even if the Middle East war disrupts markets. Analysts from various institutions b
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Analyst: CPI Data May Be "Ignored," US-Iran Negotiations Become the Sole Variable
Svmuu News: Foreign exchange analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that, given the market focus is on US-Iran negotiations and the March inflation data increase is widely perceived as war-driven, the mar
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ING: US Inflation Data May Support Dollar Trend
Svmuu News According to Francesco Pesole, an analyst at ING, the US dollar may gain support if the US CPI data shows a significant acceleration in inflation in March, driven by rising energy prices du
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Yilihua: Macro and Policy Expectations Disappointed Coupled with Cyclical Factors May Lead to Correction Exceeding Original Plan
Svmuu News Liquid Capital founder Yili Hua stated in a Binance Square live stream that this year's market pressure is related to the confluence of multiple factors, including the unfulfilled expectati
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BIT: Bitcoin is in a clearly oversold zone, but it's impossible to determine if the downtrend has ended.
Svmuu News BIT's weekly report indicates that the announcement of a ceasefire has led to increased inflationary pressures, and expectations for a transition in the Federal Reserve Chairmanship are hea
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Analysts Maintain Bitcoin Target at $80,000, PCE Inflation Data Boosts Market Sentiment
Svmuu News The latest US PCE inflation data largely met expectations, alleviating market uncertainty. Bitcoin's price has stabilized after previously touching around $73,000. Data shows that the core
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Federal Reserve The most closely watched inflation gauge remains elevated, which may hinder efforts to cut interest rates in the coming months
Svmuu News: Shortly before the outbreak of the war in Iran, the inflation indicator most favored by the Federal Reserve. maintained a steady, relatively rapid pace of growth, highlighting the challeng
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Hassett: Iran-US Dialogue Not Meaningless, Fed Balance Sheet Reduction Should Be Gradual
Svmuu News According to Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, the Iran-US dialogue is not meaningless, and the United States is cooperating with Iran on a potential major agr
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Hassett: Powell Not Expected to Remain as Federal Reserve Governor
Svmuu News According to Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, it is expected that Jerome Powell will not remain as a Governor of the Federal Reserve, and it is confirme
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Bitcoin $80,000 Call Bets Heat Up as Market Bets on Reversal Align with Rate Cut Expectations
Svmuu News As market sentiment warms up, the Bitcoin options market is showing a clear shift. Call options with a strike price of $80,000 on Deribit have become the most popular trade, with open inter
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Iranian media: The Strait of Hormuz has been completely closed; 2. Fed's "whisperer" Nick Timiraos: "Vast majority" of officials believe inflation may ease slower than expected; 3. Ethereum Foundat
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"Fed Whisperer": Ceasefire Agreement Makes Fed's Decision More Difficult
Svmuu News "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos wrote that the ceasefire between the US and Iran provides an opportunity to resolve the serious threat currently posed to the global economy. However, for the
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Fed's Mouthpiece Nick Timiraos: "Overwhelming Majority" of Officials Believe Pace of Inflation Easing May Be Slower Than Expected
Svmuu News According to the Fed's mouthpiece Nick Timiraos: The minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting show that an "overwhelming majority" of officials believe the pace of inflation easing may be s
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Fed Meeting Minutes: More Officials Mention Possibility of Rate Hike
Svmuu News According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's March meeting, at the March meeting, the number of officials who wished to signal to the market that the next step might be a rate hike rat
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Fed Meeting Minutes: Policymakers Focus on Dual Risks of Iran War
Svmuu News: Following the outbreak of the Iran war, Federal Reserve officials weighed different scenarios facing the U.S. economy, including those that might necessitate interest rate cuts and those t
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Fed Meeting Minutes: The vast majority of participants noted that progress toward the 2% inflation target may be slower than expected
Svmuu News Fed Meeting Minutes: The vast majority of participants noted that progress toward the 2% inflation target may be slower than expected, while also acknowledging that the risk of inflation pe
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Fed Meeting Minutes: Several Participants Further Delayed Their Judgment on the Timing of Rate Cuts to a More Distant Future
Svmuu News Fed Meeting Minutes: Several participants further delayed their judgment on the timing of rate cuts to a more distant future. (Jin10)
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Fed Meeting Minutes: A Growing Number of Policymakers Believe There Are "Sufficient" Grounds to Adopt a "Two-Way" Description for Future Interest Rate Decisions
Svmuu News Fed meeting minutes: A growing number of policymakers believe there are "sufficient" grounds to adopt a "two-way" description for future interest rate decisions. (Jin10)
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Fed's Daly: U.S. Economic Fundamentals Remain in Good Shape
Svmuu News According to Fed President Daly, despite the uncertainty and volatility brought by the Iran conflict, the fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain in "good shape." Daly stated, "We see consu
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Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session
Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session. Traders are preparing for the Federal Reserve's expected decision to keep inter
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Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise
Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise. Ahead of major tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Anthropic's initial public offering applicat
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US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
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A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees
A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees, as the existing rules violate congressional legislative intent. The court noted
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Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting
Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which concludes this week. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to k
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On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting, but some analysts warn that inaction could raise questions about its inflation-fighting credibility. Despite in
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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The bank raised its 2027 humanoid robot sales forecast for Unitree Robotics to 31,701 units
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Meta's earnings triggered a significant widening of AI credit spreads, with its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) reaching an all-time high
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What is NBM Coin (NFTBlackmarket)? Status and Trading Channels Analysis
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shows that the computational power consumption for training humanoid robot full-body motion controllers can be compressed by over 1000 times
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Toncoin Institutional Investor Analysis: Funding, Custody, and Market Impact of the Telegram Ecosystem
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founder of Citrini Research, stated that he has significantly reduced his semiconductor holdings and holds some short positions
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Cryptocurrency Basics: Definition, Development, and Secure Investment Strategies
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Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues
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Hong Kong aims to increase its total gold storage capacity by more than tenfold to 2,000 tons by 2030
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Leading Global Crypto Exchange: Claims of Approval for China's Top Three Platforms Are Misinformation
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