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Federal Reserve
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Arthur Hayes: More Focused on Warsh’s Balance Sheet Stance Than Short-Term Rate Path
Svmuu reported that at the Bitcoin 2026 conference, Arthur Hayes stated that he is more focused on the stance of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh regarding the balance sheet than on the direc
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Goldman Sachs: Fed Chair Change Won’t Lead to Rapid Rate Cuts
Svmuu reported that Goldman Sachs economist David Merrick said in a note to clients that while a path for Kevin Warsh to become Fed Chair has become clear, a leadership change may not immediately alte
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ING: News of Iran's new proposal weighs on the dollar, but the decline is expected to be limited
Svmuu News: ING analyst Chris Turner stated in a report that the US dollar weakened following media reports that Iran has proposed a new plan to the US to end the war. However, he noted that the decli
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Barclays: Federal Reserve. is expected to hold rates steady this week, but a rate cut remains possible later this year
Barclays: Fed Expected to Hold Steady This Week, but Rate Cut Still Possible This Year
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Japanese and South Korean stock markets both hit new highs; 2. Trump: The war with Iran will end soon, and the US will win; 3. Progress on the crypto market structure bill stalls, May 25 becomes a
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Senator Tillis Ends Months-Long Blockade, Clearing Path for Warsh's Fed Chair Nomination
Svmuu News: Republican Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina stated on Sunday local time that he will support the confirmation of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, thereby clearing the la
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White House: Investigation into Powell still ongoing
Svmuu: The White House says the investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Powell is still ongoing. The case against the Fed will not necessarily be dropped.
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Polymarket probability of "Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair before May 15" rises to 85%, surging 211% in short term
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel, the probability of "Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair before May 15" on Polymarket has risen from 27% to 85%, surging 211% in the short term. The reason i
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The White House: Confident the Senate Will Swiftly Confirm Kevin Warsh as the Next Chair of the Federal Reserve
Svmuu: The White House expressed confidence that the Senate will quickly confirm Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair. (Jin Shi)
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The Department of Justice is expected to drop the criminal investigation into the chairman of Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell.
Svmuu: The U.S. Department of Justice is expected to drop the criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
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Fed's Probability of Keeping Rates Unchanged in April at 99%
Svmuu reported that, according to the CME "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99%. By J
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"1011 Insider Whale" Proxy: Market Bets on "Peace Trade," Hormuz Risk Remains Unresolved
Svmuu reports that Garrett Jin, the proxy for the "1011 Insider Whale," stated that the market is currently pricing in "peace expectations," driving risk assets higher, yet diverging from the supply a
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bill to restrict Trump's war powers rejected by US Senate for the fifth time; 2. A user manipulated Polymarket's temperature prediction market by heating weather sensors, profiting $34,000; 3. XCha
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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin Needs the Fed to Restart the Money Printer to Break Through $500,000
Svmuu News Arthur Hayes stated that Bitcoin will not see substantial gains until the Federal Reserve provides liquidity to fill the black hole in bank balance sheets. He believes AI is destroying the
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Hassett Supports Powell's Explanation for Remaining as "Interim Fed Chair"
Svmuu News According to reports, Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, expressed support for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's plan—to temporarily remain as Fed
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QCP: BTC's rebound is largely due to reduced risk; the market remains in a range-bound phase
Svmuu News: QCP released a market analysis stating that BTC rebounded from a low of approximately $75,000 to $78,000, but this rally was primarily driven by reduced risk rather than improved fundament
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. SEC Chairman: Advancing the establishment of a digital asset regulatory framework and proposing the "A-C-T" strategy; 2. SpaceX Announces Right to Acquire AI Programming Startup Cursor for $60 Bill
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Analysis: Gold is fluctuating in the short term, lacking sufficient momentum for a sustained uptrend.
Svmuu News According to an analysis by CITIC Futures, gold is currently facing pressure on two fronts. On one hand, it is being dragged down by weakening buying sentiment due to the impending expirati
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CICC Research Report: Warsh's Hearing Remarks Already Show Inclination Towards Rate Cuts
Svmuu News CICC's research report states that Kevin Warsh, the nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman, attended a hearing before the Senate Banking Committee, revealing a core policy stance of pursuing
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Highlights from the Warsh Hearing: Denies Promising Trump an Interest Rate Cut, Vehemently Criticizes the Fed for Losing Its Way, and Is Called a “Puppet”
Svmuu News: Warsh, Trump’s handpicked nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, went on the offensive during his confirmation hearing: he refused to answer whether Trump had lost the election and was angrily
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Digital Bank Revolut's IPO Valuation Could Reach Up to $200 Billion
Svmuu News: According to sources, UK-based digital bank Revolut plans to seek a valuation between $150 billion and $200 billion in its future IPO, a significant increase from its previous $75 billion
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Federal Reserve Chair Candidate Supports Inclusion of Crypto in Financial System, Lawmakers Raise Regulatory Concerns
Svmuu News Kevin Warsh stated during a Senate hearing that digital assets "have become part of the U.S. financial system" and supports their inclusion into the financial system to provide investors wi
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Bipartisan PACE Act Advances, Proposes Opening Fed Payment Network to Non-Banks
Svmuu News The PACE Act, proposed by bipartisan U.S. lawmakers, aims to allow compliant non-bank payment institutions direct access to the Federal Reserve's payment system, garnering support from the
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Fed Reserve Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Faces Questions on Potential Conflicts of Interest and Independence
Svmuu News: During his confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee, Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh faced questions regarding his financial disclosures exceeding $100 million, p
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Samsung Electronics fell 5.85% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩205,250.
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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Current Status and Future Outlook of IMX in Blockchain Gaming
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What is OCEAN? Ocean Protocol Mechanism, Token, and Risk Analysis
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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What is Bee Network? The Relationship and Current Status of Bee Network and Pi Network
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What is BIMP Coin? An Analysis of BIMP Coin's Project Background and Current Market Status
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SK Hynix fell 7.81% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,287,000.
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