Federal Reserve
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Paul Tudor Jones: Bitcoin is the Undisputed Best Inflation Hedge
Svmuu Macro investor and hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones stated in a recent podcast interview that Bitcoin is the "unequivocally the best inflation hedge" and called it a "knockout opportunity" in
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Outlook from Investment Banks on the Fed's Future Interest Rate Path: Easing Could Begin as Early as September
Svmuureports that major investment banks have provided their outlook on the Fed's future interest rate path, with the earliest rate cuts expected to begin in September: 1. Wells Fargo: Still expects t
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U.S. Senator Warren: Donald Trump is driving Federal Reserve into a corner
Svmuu: U.S. Senator Warren says Trump is pushing the Federal Reserve into a difficult position. (Jin Shi)
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Analysis: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest Since October 2023, Low Liquidity May Amplify Market Volatility
Svmuu reports that data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points
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QCP: Market Turns Cautious as Bitcoin Consolidates in a Range
Svmuu reported that QCP released a market observation stating that as geopolitical tailwinds fade, macro uncertainty is once again dominating market sentiment, with both traditional and crypto markets
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Polymarket's "Powell says 'Good Afternoon' at April Press Conference" probability hits 98%, trading volume exceeds $57,000
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good After
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Svmuu Noon News
1. The nomination of Wash for Fed Chairman will be put to a full Senate vote on April 29; 2. Despite the acquisition being rescinded, Manus investors have received their returned funds; 3. A whale has
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April 29th, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair will be put to a full vote in the Senate
Svmuureported on Sunday that after the Department of Justice concluded its investigation into Powell, Republican Senator Thom Tillis dropped his opposition to Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve Chair nomin
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Arthur Hayes: More Focused on Warsh’s Balance Sheet Stance Than Short-Term Rate Path
Svmuu reported that at the Bitcoin 2026 conference, Arthur Hayes stated that he is more focused on the stance of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh regarding the balance sheet than on the direc
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Goldman Sachs: Fed Chair Change Won’t Lead to Rapid Rate Cuts
Svmuu reported that Goldman Sachs economist David Merrick said in a note to clients that while a path for Kevin Warsh to become Fed Chair has become clear, a leadership change may not immediately alte
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ING: News of Iran's new proposal weighs on the dollar, but the decline is expected to be limited
Svmuu News: ING analyst Chris Turner stated in a report that the US dollar weakened following media reports that Iran has proposed a new plan to the US to end the war. However, he noted that the decli
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Barclays: Federal Reserve. is expected to hold rates steady this week, but a rate cut remains possible later this year
Barclays: Fed Expected to Hold Steady This Week, but Rate Cut Still Possible This Year
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Japanese and South Korean stock markets both hit new highs; 2. Trump: The war with Iran will end soon, and the US will win; 3. Progress on the crypto market structure bill stalls, May 25 becomes a
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Senator Tillis Ends Months-Long Blockade, Clearing Path for Warsh's Fed Chair Nomination
Svmuu News: Republican Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina stated on Sunday local time that he will support the confirmation of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, thereby clearing the la
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White House: Investigation into Powell still ongoing
Svmuu: The White House says the investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Powell is still ongoing. The case against the Fed will not necessarily be dropped.
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Polymarket probability of "Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair before May 15" rises to 85%, surging 211% in short term
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel, the probability of "Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair before May 15" on Polymarket has risen from 27% to 85%, surging 211% in the short term. The reason i
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The White House: Confident the Senate Will Swiftly Confirm Kevin Warsh as the Next Chair of the Federal Reserve
Svmuu: The White House expressed confidence that the Senate will quickly confirm Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair. (Jin Shi)
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The Department of Justice is expected to drop the criminal investigation into the chairman of Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell.
Svmuu: The U.S. Department of Justice is expected to drop the criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
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Fed's Probability of Keeping Rates Unchanged in April at 99%
Svmuu reported that, according to the CME "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99%. By J
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"1011 Insider Whale" Proxy: Market Bets on "Peace Trade," Hormuz Risk Remains Unresolved
Svmuu reports that Garrett Jin, the proxy for the "1011 Insider Whale," stated that the market is currently pricing in "peace expectations," driving risk assets higher, yet diverging from the supply a
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bill to restrict Trump's war powers rejected by US Senate for the fifth time; 2. A user manipulated Polymarket's temperature prediction market by heating weather sensors, profiting $34,000; 3. XCha
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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin Needs the Fed to Restart the Money Printer to Break Through $500,000
Svmuu News Arthur Hayes stated that Bitcoin will not see substantial gains until the Federal Reserve provides liquidity to fill the black hole in bank balance sheets. He believes AI is destroying the
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Hassett Supports Powell's Explanation for Remaining as "Interim Fed Chair"
Svmuu News According to reports, Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, expressed support for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's plan—to temporarily remain as Fed
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QCP: BTC's rebound is largely due to reduced risk; the market remains in a range-bound phase
Svmuu News: QCP released a market analysis stating that BTC rebounded from a low of approximately $75,000 to $78,000, but this rally was primarily driven by reduced risk rather than improved fundament
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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2
ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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3
Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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Nikkei Stock Average drops 5.9% to 57,497.16, dragged by chip stocks amid U.S. tech selloff
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