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Federal Reserve Beige Book: Prices Rise at a Moderate to Strong Pace, with Middle East Conflict-Related Pressures as the Main Driver
According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting a higher rate of inflation than in the previous report. Districts noted
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Federal Reserve's Logan: The Fed May Need to Raise Interest Rates This Year to Curb Prices
SvmuuNews, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target level. She noted that the U.S. labor market is "l
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ADP data suggests the US labor market may still be accelerating
According to Svmuu, U.S. companies added the highest number of new jobs in May since January 2025, indicating that the labor market may still be accelerating despite rising energy costs due to the war
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Goldman Sachs CEO: Greed outweighs fear in the market
Svmuureports that Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that the stock market's boom is driven by a desire for profit, which outweighs concerns about economic turmoil and inflation risks. Solomon sai
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh Appoints Two Advisors, Both Conservatives
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh has hired two external individuals as advisors to assist him in the early stages of his tenure. One of them previously contributed to drafting a conservative po
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Federal Reserve's Hammack: Fed May Need to Act Quickly to Address High Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated, given the many uncertainties in the economic outlook, keeping interest rates unchanged is currently reasonable, but officials may need to act quic
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Polymarket has a new prediction market: "June world is peaceful and uneventful," with the probability of nothing happening currently reported at 86%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitors that Polymarket has launched a new prediction market titled "June world is peaceful and uneventful." Currently, the probability of something major happening (Something) sta
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Apollo Chief Economist Warns Warsh's Rate Cut Hopes Dampened: AI Infrastructure Boom Will Initially Fuel Inflation
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, Inc., has warned that the initial phase of the AI infrastructure boom will fuel inflation, making it difficult for new Federal Reserve Chairm
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Traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks
Svmuu reports that traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks, supported by factors including persistent uncertainties in US-Iran negotiations and an AI-driven rally in US stocks. The US
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Traders Raise Fed Rate Hike Expectations, 50% Probability of Rate Hike as Early as October
Svmuu News Due to signs of a deadlock in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, U.S. Treasury prices fell as concerns grow that high energy costs will exacerbate inflation and prompt t
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. In 18 days, loracle.hl erased 10 months of $42.2 million in perpetual contract profits and incurred an additional loss of $5.19 million. 2. Arthur Hayes: Before this market cycle ends, HYPE should
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Powell Issues Warning on Federal Reserve Independence
According to an article by Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Whisperer," in a speech on Sunday evening, former Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that if any administration seeks a pretext t
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: The Adoption of Stablecoins Will Amplify the Impact of Policy Federal Reserve
Svmuu News In a panel discussion at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the global adoption of stablecoins could amplify the influence of Federal Reserv
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U.S. money market fund assets hit a record $8.281 trillion as demand for cash-like assets surges
Svmuu reported that uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path has spurred demand for cash-like assets, pushing the total assets of U.S. money market funds to a record $8.281 t
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Federal Reserve's Bowman Outlines a "Practical Monetary Policy Decision-Making Framework": Emphasizes the Dual Mandate and Flexible Response Mechanism
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, in a recent article, systematically outlined her "practical monetary policy decision-making framework," emphasizing that the Fed must cent
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: It's premature to judge the impact of the war on inflation; temporary price shocks can be overlooked for now
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated it is currently too early to determine the impact of the Iran war on inflation, and policymakers need to adopt a "look through" approach to te
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: If Credibility in Monetary Policy is Maintained, Energy Shocks Can Be Ignored
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that if the Fed maintains credibility in its monetary policy, it can overlook energy shocks. If war-driven inflation spreads, consideration wil
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U.S. pre-market quantum computing stocks continued to gain, with IBM rising over 4%
According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. pre-market quantum computing concept stocks extended gains, with ServiceNow up over 8%, IBM up over 4%, Oracle up over 3%, and Infleqtion up over 1%. Several Feder
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Fed's Kashkari: It is still too early to assert an immediate rate hike following the April PCE inflation data; 2. Data: BTC and ETH options worth a notional $7.48 billion are set to expire and sett
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Must Clearly Communicate Commitment to Curbing Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Schmid stated he will continue to closely monitor persistently high inflation, and believes that Fed officials should clearly indicate their willingness to take a
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Fed's Schmid: Primary focus is on bringing inflation back to the 2% target
Svmuu News: Fed's Schmid said the primary focus is on bringing inflation back to the 2% target. (Jin10)
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Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve: It is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed after April PCE inflation data.
SvmuuNews: Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve stated that it is too early to conclude that an immediate rate hike is needed following the release of April PCE inflation data. (Jinshi)
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Strategy: Probability of selling Bitcoin this week rises from 11% to 30% from today's low; 2. Some banks in Hong Kong are tightening account openings for investment accounts, temporarily having no
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Opinion: Market still underestimates potential tightening policies of the Fed
Svmuureported that T. Rowe Price Chief US Economist Blerina Uruci said the market may still be underestimating the possibility of further tightening by the Federal Reserve. In a report, Uruci noted th
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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