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QCP: Easing Geopolitical Tensions Boost Risk Assets, but Strategy-Related Pressures Continue to Weigh on the Market Bitcoin
Svmuu News: According to QCP Market Color, as the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding and signaled the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the market saw a clearer geopolitical landscape
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The U.S. Congress has reached an agreement on a housing bill that includes extending the ban on the Federal Reserve development of a central bank digital currency through 2030.
Svmuu News: U.S. congressional leaders announced on Tuesday that they had reached an agreement on a comprehensive housing bill. The agreement includes restrictions on institutional investors’ purchase
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. SpaceX will acquire Anysphere, the developer of Cursor, through a merger; 2. XPRIZE founder: Over the past 10 years, I would have invested spare funds in Bitcoin, but now I’ll buy SPCX; 3. “White-H
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UBS Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed back to 2027; the central bank is expected to send a hawkish signal at this week's meeting
Svmuu News UBS Global Wealth Management has pushed back its expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to March and June 2027 and no longer anticipates any rate cuts this year. The firm said
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Market Analysis: Wash’s First Meeting May Bring “Bad News” for Donald Trump
Svmuu News: As Kevin Warsh was sworn in as chairman of the Federal Reserve, Donald Trump told the new chairman to “remain independent” and “don’t look to me, don’t look to anyone—just do your job and
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UBS: Falling oil prices will ease Federal Reserve pressure for interest rate hikes
Svmuu News: Leslie Falconio, currently Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy for Global Wealth Management at UBS, stated that pressure on the Federal Reserveto raise interest rates this year is easing
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Federal Reserve New Governor Wash is set to make his debut, and the market expects the benchmark interest rate to remain at 3.50%–3.75%
Svmuu News: Global financial markets will be watching Washington closely this week, as the Federal Reserve’s new chairman, Kevin Warsh, hosts his first press conference following a Federal Open Market
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Economists: U.S.-Iran Deal Reduces Recession Risk, but Does Not Alter Outlook
Svmuu News: In a report, Ben May and Bridget Payne of Oxford Economics stated that while there may still be setbacks ahead, the U.S.-Iran agreement reduces the risk of a sustained decline in oil inven
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: Bitcoins Enter a Phase of Simultaneous Recovery and Selling Pressure; SpaceX IPO Shakes Up the Market; 2. Analysis: Hedge Funds Are Rapidly Exiting Safe-Haven Assets and Shifting to Underv
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Analysis: With the Middle East ceasefire and the Federal Reserve resolution, the crypto market will be watching geopolitical risks and interest rate trends this week
Svmuu News: The crypto market is hoping to shake off months of geopolitical pressure this week. Following the announcement of a temporary peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, Bitcoin rose to nea
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Tesla Former Board Member: SpaceX Must Deliver Results as Soon as Possible
Svmuu News Tesla Former board member Steve Westly noted in a recent interview that SpaceX has attracted a large number of retail investors, but he also added that SpaceX must deliver results as soon a
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Analysis: Hedge funds are rapidly pulling out of safe-haven assets and shifting their focus to undervalued Asian stocks, U.S. Treasuries, and the consumer sector.
Svmuu News: The U.S.-Iran peace agreement is set to be formally signed this Friday, marking a major turning point for global markets. Hedge funds are rapidly exiting safe-haven assets and shifting the
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Analysis: The option dynamics behind the break below the $70,000 support level at Bitcoin are reversing, and the market may be poised for a rebound.
Svmuu News: 10x Research reported that the options market dynamics that drove Bitcoin below the $70,000 support level are shifting and may even begin to fuel an uptrend. After BTC fell below $70,000,
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BaoSheng Bank: The U.S.-Iran agreement is having a positive impact on Asian stock markets
Svmuu News: Richard Tang, an analyst at BMS Group, noted in a report that a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran would be highly beneficial for Asian stock markets. Since most Asian economies are
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Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in June is 98.5%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in June is 98.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis poi
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The market has scaled back expectations of an interest rate hike Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose 10 points, and federal funds rate futures edged higher as the market scaled back expectations for interest rate hikes. (Jin Shi)
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The U.S. and Iran are close to reaching a peace agreement; next week, the market will focus on interest rate decisions by major central banks such as the Federal Reserve
Svmuu reported that statements from Trump, Iran's Foreign Minister, and Pakistan's Prime Minister indicate that Iran and the United States are close to reaching a peace agreement. Next week, market fo
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Trump: The Iran war is over; 2. SpaceX’s US IPO retail subscription amount is reported to have exceeded $100 billion; 3. The market is no longer fully pricing in expectations for a Fed rate hike th
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The market is no longer fully pricing in expectations of a Fed rate hike this year.
According to Svmuu, the market is no longer fully pricing in expectations of a Fed rate hike this year. (Jin10)
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Electronic components are driving up the PPI index, which has hit its highest level since November 2022
Svmuu reported that the PPI inflation rate surged to 6.5% in May, exceeding the expected 6.4% and reaching its highest level since November 2022. The core PPI inflation rate stood at 4.9%, unchanged f
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U.S. May PPI MoM comes in at 1.1%, vs. 0.7% expected
Svmuu News: U.S. May PPI MoM came in at 1.1%, versus the expected 0.7%, while the previous reading was revised from 1.40% to 1.1%. U.S. May Core PPI MoM came in at 0.4%, versus the expected 0.5%, whil
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Institution: Short-term Treasuries' Reaction to CPI Is Typically Less Sensitive Than to Employment Data
Svmuu reported that analysts at Julius Baer Group, led by Afonso Borges, noted in a report that the moderate rebound led by short-term Treasuries following the release of the US May CPI report on Wedn
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Strategist: U.S. inflation remains high, but cooling core data provides some breathing room for Federal Reserve
Strategist: US Inflation Remains Elevated, but Cooling Core Data Gives Fed Room to Breathe
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After the CPI data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96.3%
Svmuureports that, according to the CME "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Drops 13% Despite Reporting Record Q2 Revenue of $1.2B (+40% YoY) and EPS of $0.12 (+50%)
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) reported record second-quarter results, with adjusted net revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $0.
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times since September 2025, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate to 3.75%; the real estate market has responded positively, with three related ETFs posting strong performance, including the Hoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETF (RIET), which has yielded nearly 10.5%.
Since September 2025, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate target to 3.75%. As a result, the real estate market has been active. T
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U.S. President Donald Trump has once again criticized the Federal Reserve, saying its board is “highly politicized” and that interest rates should be lowered.
U.S. President Donald Trump once again publicly criticized the Federal Reserve this week, calling its board members “highly politicized” and stating that interest rates should be lowered. Donald Trump
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh Considers Reducing Policy Meetings, Raising Concerns Over Market Volatility
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is reportedly considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings. This potential move has drawn concern from economists and market strategists, who
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Synchrony Bank Offers 4.15% APY on 14-Month CD, Topping Today's Best Rates
Synchrony Bank is offering a 4.15% annual percentage yield (APY) on its 14-month certificate of deposit (CD), marking the highest CD rate available as of Saturday, August 1, 2026. This comes after the
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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