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U.S. Core Inflation Unexpectedly Cools in May, Traders Still Bet on Fed Rate Hike by Year-End
Svmuu reported that the U.S. core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month in May, below the market expectation of 0.3%. U.S. Treasuries strengthened slightly, while bond traders maintained their bets that the Fe
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“Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos: CPI rose 8.2% on a three-month annualized basis
Svmuu reported that "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos noted that it should not be overlooked that the overall CPI rose 0.47% month-over-month (an annualized increase of 5.8%), pushing the unadjusted annua
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Economist: Trump Needs to Resolve the Strait Issue Quickly to Reassure the Fed
Svmuu News Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist at Annex Wealth Management, said the inflation data meeting expectations does not mean it is a good report. He added that the overall inflation data does not
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July rate hike probability stands at only 13% as US core inflation eases recent Fed concerns
Svmuu reported that US CPI data for May showed inflation surging to a three-year high, but the moderate rise in core prices has alleviated Wall Street's concerns about interest rate hikes. Today's CPI
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Analysis: US inflation in May returns to "4-handle," war-related inflation peak may have passed (Jin10 Data APP)
Svmuu reported that U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in three years in May, as the conflict in the Middle East pushed up prices for gasoline and other energy products, providing further j
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Market Reduces Bets on Fed Rate Hikes, US and Brent Crude Oil Remain Stable
Svmuu reported that short-term interest rate futures show the market has reduced its bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. US and Brent crude oil prices remain largely unchanged, at $89.
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Before the release of CPI data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 98.2%
Svmuu reported that, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 98.2%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point r
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U.S. CPI Preview: Core Inflation Expected to Be Moderate, Potentially Easing Market Rate Hike Concerns
Svmuureports that economists Durie and Wong predict that the overall U.S. CPI data for May will be strong, but core inflation, which is more critical to the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, sh
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U.S. CPI Preview: Inflationary pressures remain concentrated in food and energy; energy volatility in the Middle East is key to a shift in the landscape
Svmuu reported that Jason Pride, Head of Investment Strategy and Research at Glenmede, said U.S. inflationary pressures are expected to remain concentrated in the food and energy sectors, with core CP
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Gold prices have erased all of this year's gains, and international gold prices continue to fall
Svmuu News Following a decline during the Asian trading session on the 10th, international gold prices continued to fall during the European trading session that same day, briefly dipping below the $4
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US May CPI could hit a new three-year high, consumer confidence and purchasing power continue to erode
Svmuu News: Economists predict that a key inflation indicator due out Wednesday will show U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in over three years in May. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody
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Analyst: Bitcoin Bounce Fails to Alter Bearish Structure, A Return Above $80,000 Needed for Trend Reversal
Despite Bitcoin bouncing after falling below $60,000, several market analysts believe this is more likely a technical correction following an oversold condition rather than the start of a new bull mar
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Whale opens 50x leveraged short on S&P 500, position size reaches $112 million
Svmuureported that according to Lookonchain monitoring, whale "0x97f8" opened a highly leveraged short position against the S&P 500 index (SP500) about 5 hours ago, with a nominal position size of app
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Bitcoin's "Silent Bear Market" Continues, Posting Worst Weekly Performance Since FTX Collapse
Svmuu reported that Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last week, recording its worst single-week performance since the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022. In the seven days through Sunday, Bitcoin
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South Korean regulators will investigate speculative won trading and require banks to strengthen risk management
Svmuu reported that South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has stated that tensions in the Middle East and market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike are driving fluctuations in the
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Trump: Good Economic Performance Shouldn't Lead to Rate Hikes; the U.S. Has a Debt Problem
Svmuureported that U.S. President Trump stated that it would be a mistake for Federal Reserve policymakers to choose to raise interest rates after the U.S. employment data significantly exceeded expec
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Donald Trump: Federal Reserve There is no reason to raise interest rates
Trump stated that there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. After the release of non-farm payroll data, the market began pricing in further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. 2. Michael Saylor once spent $70 million to purchase a private
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Spot gold gives up its year-to-date gains
Svmuu: Spot gold has erased all of its gains for the year, following U.S. employment data that strengthened market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. (Jin Shi)
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特朗普: Wants to see interest rates cut, but will leave the decision to Waller
Svmuu reported that U.S. President Trump stated today during remarks on Air Force One that he hopes to see interest rates lowered, but he will leave the decision on rates to Federal Reserve Chair Wall
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Hawk: Recent rate hikes may be appropriate
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that with the labor market appearing to be approaching balance, a rate hike in the near term may be appropriate. Hammack said that while she never f
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Citi on the Nonfarm Payrolls Report: A Favorable Environment for the Dollar
Svmuu: U.S. employment data came in stronger than expected, boosting the dollar, while progress in U.S.-Iran peace talks stalled. The U.S. dollar index is on track for its biggest gain since April 8 o
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Analyst: If we see a few more nonfarm payroll reports like this, the baseline scenario will shift to several rate hikes
Svmuureports that institutional analyst Jersey commented on the US non-farm payroll data, stating that it is difficult to describe the job market as weak. For the interest rate market, the risk is bec
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U.S. job growth over the past three months has been the strongest in more than two years
According to U.S. media reports, U.S. employment growth in May exceeded all economists' expectations, with the unemployment rate remaining stable, further indicating that the labor market may be emerg
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Drops 13% Despite Reporting Record Q2 Revenue of $1.2B (+40% YoY) and EPS of $0.12 (+50%)
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) reported record second-quarter results, with adjusted net revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $0.
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times since September 2025, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate to 3.75%; the real estate market has responded positively, with three related ETFs posting strong performance, including the Hoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETF (RIET), which has yielded nearly 10.5%.
Since September 2025, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate target to 3.75%. As a result, the real estate market has been active. T
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U.S. President Donald Trump has once again criticized the Federal Reserve, saying its board is “highly politicized” and that interest rates should be lowered.
U.S. President Donald Trump once again publicly criticized the Federal Reserve this week, calling its board members “highly politicized” and stating that interest rates should be lowered. Donald Trump
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh Considers Reducing Policy Meetings, Raising Concerns Over Market Volatility
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is reportedly considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings. This potential move has drawn concern from economists and market strategists, who
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Synchrony Bank Offers 4.15% APY on 14-Month CD, Topping Today's Best Rates
Synchrony Bank is offering a 4.15% annual percentage yield (APY) on its 14-month certificate of deposit (CD), marking the highest CD rate available as of Saturday, August 1, 2026. This comes after the
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve
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