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Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Two officials did not submit their 2028 pie chart projections
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of th
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Federal Reserve Pie Chart Analysis: Among the Federal Reserve, one person supports three interest rate hikes this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that 1 person believes there should be 3 interest rate hikes in 2026 (compared to 0 in March), 5 people believe there should be 2 interest rate hikes in 2
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Federal Reserve Voice of the People: Federal Reserve—Clearly hawkish, major changes to the policy statement
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, “Federal Reserve’s Voice,” comments on the Federal Reserve interest rate decision: This Federal Reserve dot plot shows a clear hawkish bias.Among the 18 officials, 9 expect
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Federal Reserve Pie chart: Nine officials expect interest rate hikes to be implemented in 2026
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections. Among the 18 officials, one believed that cumulative interest rate hikes of 75 basis po
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The market is now fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year.
Svmuu News: The market now fully expects Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect interest rate hikes in 2026
Svmuu News Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect interest rate hikes in 2026. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Interest rates were kept unchanged as expected
Svmuu News Federal Reserve For the fourth consecutive meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, in line with market expectations. (Ji
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“Federal Reserve”: Three Key Points to Watch in Warsh’s Debut; Whether the “Dovish Bias” Language Will Be Removed Is Drawing Attention
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos of “Federal Reserve” notes that there are three key points to watch in the “Federal Reserve” meeting, which Warsh is chairing for the first time: 1. Will the phrase “dovish b
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J.P. Morgan Asset Management: AI Boom Expected to Drive Further Gains in U.S. Stocks; High-Risk Assets Are a Good Bet for the Second Half of the Year
Svmuu News: The asset management division of JPMorgan Chase is urging investors to continue holding stocks and other high-risk assets in the second half of 2026. The firm said that despite persistent
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Ansem: BTC is testing a key resistance level on the weekly chart; if it holds, it may retest $72,000.
Svmuu News: Well-known trader Ansem posted on X, stating: “Bitcoin is currently at a fairly significant level, retesting key weekly resistance near 65,000–66,000.I don’t plan to go long here at the mo
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Opinion: Federal Reserves Are Most Reluctant to See a Surge in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields
Svmuu News: Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial, said investors are closely watching the first press conference by Federal Reserve’s new chairman, Wash, to gauge his views on inf
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Federal Reserve The results of the vote will be announced at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve reports that the FOMC meeting will resume as scheduled at 9:00 a.m. local time on Wednesday. (Note: Federal Reserve The FOMC meeting will last two days, and the decision wil
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Bitcoin Pricing Falls Below $65,000: Ahead of the Federal Reserve, Structural Concerns and Leverage Risks in Strategy Converge
Svmuu News Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and a wait-and-see attitude among institutional investors, with the price hovering around $64,500 and down approximately 2%
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Pre-Market Highlights for U.S. Stocks: Warsh Makes His “Federal Reserve” Debut; NVIDIA Expands Optical Interconnect Capacity
Svmuu News: Pre-Market Highlights for U.S. Stocks: 1. U.S. major stock index futures were mixed. Dow Jones futures fell 0.08%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.06%, and Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.61%. 2. Interna
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QCP: Easing Geopolitical Tensions Boost Risk Assets, but Strategy-Related Pressures Continue to Weigh on the Market Bitcoin
Svmuu News: According to QCP Market Color, as the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding and signaled the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the market saw a clearer geopolitical landscape
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The U.S. Congress has reached an agreement on a housing bill that includes extending the ban on the Federal Reserve development of a central bank digital currency through 2030.
Svmuu News: U.S. congressional leaders announced on Tuesday that they had reached an agreement on a comprehensive housing bill. The agreement includes restrictions on institutional investors’ purchase
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. SpaceX will acquire Anysphere, the developer of Cursor, through a merger; 2. XPRIZE founder: Over the past 10 years, I would have invested spare funds in Bitcoin, but now I’ll buy SPCX; 3. “White-H
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UBS Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed back to 2027; the central bank is expected to send a hawkish signal at this week's meeting
Svmuu News UBS Global Wealth Management has pushed back its expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to March and June 2027 and no longer anticipates any rate cuts this year. The firm said
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Market Analysis: Warsh’s First Meeting May Bring “Bad News” for Donald Trump
Svmuu News: As Kevin Warsh was sworn in as chairman of the Federal Reserve, Donald Trump told the new chairman to “remain independent” and “don’t look to me, don’t look to anyone—just do your job and
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UBS: Falling oil prices will ease Federal Reserve pressure for interest rate hikes
Svmuu News: Leslie Falconio, currently Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy for Global Wealth Management at UBS, stated that pressure on the Federal Reserveto raise interest rates this year is easing
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Federal Reserve New Governor Warsh is set to make his debut, and the market expects the benchmark interest rate to remain at 3.50%–3.75%
Svmuu News: Global financial markets will be watching Washington closely this week, as the Federal Reserve’s new chairman, Kevin Warsh, hosts his first press conference following a Federal Open Market
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Economists: U.S.-Iran Deal Reduces Recession Risk, but Does Not Alter Outlook
Svmuu News: In a report, Ben May and Bridget Payne of Oxford Economics stated that while there may still be setbacks ahead, the U.S.-Iran agreement reduces the risk of a sustained decline in oil inven
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: Bitcoins Enter a Phase of Simultaneous Recovery and Selling Pressure; SpaceX IPO Shakes Up the Market; 2. Analysis: Hedge Funds Are Rapidly Exiting Safe-Haven Assets and Shifting to Underv
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Analysis: With the Middle East ceasefire and the Federal Reserve resolution, the crypto market will be watching geopolitical risks and interest rate trends this week
Svmuu News: The crypto market is hoping to shake off months of geopolitical pressure this week. Following the announcement of a temporary peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, Bitcoin rose to nea
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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