Federal Reserve
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $63,400
Svmuu News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June fell 0.4% month-over-month, compared with economists’ expectations of a 0.1% decline; in May, it rose 0.5%; year-over-year, it rose 3.5%, compa
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Wash: The Fed Has Zero Tolerance for Persistently High Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that the Fed has zero tolerance for persistently high inflation, that the labor market remains generally stable, that nominal wage growth is robust, and t
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Before the CPI data is released, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 63.1%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch,” the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through July is 63.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: U.S. CPI may post negative month-over-month growth, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike; 2. Samsung Electronics is reportedly conducting preliminary research i
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Analyst: U.S. CPI may post a month-over-month decline, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike
Svmuu News: Analyst Matthew Weller said that whether inflation has peaked is the market’s top concern ahead of the June CPI report.For the first time in three months, the Strait of Hormuz was partiall
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Fed Spokesperson: Core CPI Is More Important to the Fed
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” posted on X that economists expect the U.S. overall CPI for June to decline, likely driven by falling energy prices. However, the Fed is cur
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller favors setting the inflation target within the 1.5%–2.5% range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he favors setting an inflation target as a range rather than the current single target of 2 percent, and personally prefers a range of 1.5 perce
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The market now estimates that the probability of a Fed rate hike in July has risen to 50 percent
Svmuu News: Market expectations indicate that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month has risen to 50%. U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the probability
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Waller Sets the Tone for Tuesday’s CPI Report: High Inflation Will Support Near-Term Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller said Monday that if future data indicate inflation remains well above the 2% target, the Fed may need to raise interest rates “in the near term.” He said cu
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Spot gold fell below the $4,000 mark for the first time since July 1
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, spot gold continued to decline, breaking below the $4,000 per ounce threshold for the first time since July 1, falling more than 2.8% on the day.This follows U.S. P
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If core inflation continues to decline—which remains a plausible scenario—he would support keeping interest rates unchanged
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if core inflation continues to decline—which remains a reasonable scenario—he will continue to support keeping interest rates unchanged. He expe
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The market has almost fully priced in expectations of a Fed rate hike in September
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that expectations of at least one interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve by September have been almost fully priced in, and two rate hikes by the end of March n
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Mitsubishi UFJ: Upcoming U.S. inflation data may curb the dollar's strength
Svmuu News: Lee Hardman, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ, said in a report that the U.S. dollar could weaken if data released on Tuesday shows that core inflation pressures in the U.S. remained moderate
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Fed Chair Warsh May Face the Decision of Whether to Reverse Last Year's Rate Cuts
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote that last month, Warsh presided over his first meeting as Fed Chair, during which the Fed unanimously decided to keep interest rates u
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Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit a 17-month high, as the market anticipates a 39-basis-point rate hike by December
Svmuu News: The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes hit a 17-month high of 4.2393%, while federal funds rate futures indicate that the market expects a 39-basis-point rate hike by December.
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. U.S. lawmakers plan to release a new draft of the Crypto Market Structure Act this week; 2. CZ’s donation address has burned 700 million CZ and 400 million TCC; 3. Fox Business crypto reporter: Thi
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This week will see the release of the U.S. CPI, China’s second-quarter GDP, and the Federal Reserve’s semi-annual monetary policy report hearing.
Svmuu News: Key events and data this week include the U.S. June CPI and core CPI figures, China’s second-quarter GDP annual growth rate, and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book on economic conditions,Fed
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Fox Business Crypto Reporter: This week, we’ll be watching CPI, PPI, Fed remarks, and progress on the Clarity Act
Svmuu News: A Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X, noting that this week will see a flurry of economic data, Fed remarks, and further clarity on the status of the Clarity Act. Key items to watch
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Custodia Files Petition with the U.S. Supreme Court to Advance Its Six-Year Dispute with the Federal Reserve Over a Master Account
Svmuu News: Custodia Bank has filed a petition for review with the U.S. Supreme Court, seeking clarification on whether the presidents of regional Federal Reserve Banks have the authority to deny mast
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Housing bill containing a provision banning CBDCs officially takes effect; Donald Trump—even without the president’s signature—becomes law
Svmuu News: The U.S. “21st Century ROAD to Housing Act” has officially taken effect, and it includes provisions prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Acc
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Marc Andreessen, Co-Founder of a16z, Joins the Federal Reserve’s AI Working Group
Svmuu News: The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that Marc Andreessen, co-founder of a16z, will join the “Productivity and Employment” working group led by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to
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Federal Reserve: AI-related investments are driving strong growth in output, while uncertainty surrounding the war in Iran remains a major risk
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The semi-annual report indicates that U.S. economic activity will continue to expand steadily overall in 2026, driven primarily by high-tech investment and government spendi
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Federal Reserve Semiannual Report: Inflation Remains High, M2 Money Supply Growth Rate Moderate
Svmuu News Federal Reserve released a semi-annual report, which noted that the labor market remains generally stable, with “solid” nominal wage growth accompanied by “strong” productivity gains; bank
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: SK Hynix’s U.S. IPO Boosts Confidence in AI Hardware Investments; 2. Strategist: Federal Reserve Unlikely to Raise Rates in July; 3. LAB Plummets 94% in Three Days; Suspected Insider Trans
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board announced it has issued an enforcement action, specifically a Written Agreement dated July 15, 2026, with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Iuka State Bank,
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Bitcoin Ethereum's stock price rose after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
On Thursday, July 30, 2026, the prices of Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose. This followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin The price rose from an opening level of $63
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Hassett: Still Has Confidence in Warsh 'Of Course'
Economist Kevin Hassett stated that he still has confidence in Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Board Governor.
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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Hassett: "Very Bullish" on Fed Policy Direction
Former White House economic advisor Hassett stated he is "very bullish" on the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy, believing it is moving in the proper direction.
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Federal Reserve
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