Federal Reserve
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent holds a differing view, arguing that interest rate hikes should not be used to counter the current supply shock.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent believes that the current shock is inherently a supply shock and should not be addressed by raising interest rates unless "second or third-order effects" emerge,
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JPMorgan Chase: 30,000 to 70,000 new US jobs is the market's "sweet spot"; the CPI report will have a greater impact on the market than the employment report.
JPMorgan Chase believes that an ideal range for the upcoming US non-farm payrolls report would be between 30,000 and 70,000 new jobs. The bank noted that stronger hiring data could push bond yields hi
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Deutsche Bank: Gold selling pressure is about to be exhausted, with the next rally potentially driven by active funds. CTA selling trigger is at $4315/oz.
Deutsche Bank's latest research indicates that systematic trading funds (CTA) buying, which has been driving the current gold rally, is nearing its end, while market selling pressure is also close to
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Nick Timiraos: A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move
Nick Timiraos: A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move
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Fortress Chief Strategist Burton Says Rates Still Poised to Go Higher, Arguing Underlying Problem Won't Be Fixed Without Fiscal Response
Fortress Chief Strategist Elizabeth Burton says rates are still poised to go higher, arguing the underlying problem won’t be fixed without a fiscal response. She made the remarks on Bloomberg Open Int
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New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh vows to curb inflation, with markets pricing in a nearly 60% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike this month.
Incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh vowed to finally curb U.S. inflation, currently at 3.4%, a move that propelled bond yields higher. Markets are now pricing in a nearly 60% chance of a 25 bas
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JPMorgan Chase Analysis: USD/JPY Likely to Fluctuate Between 155-165, Four Signals Could Trigger a Yen Surge
JPMorgan Chase's global market strategy team published an analysis on September 1, stating that the dollar's decline against the Japanese Yen has moderated after reaching its medium-to-long-term targe
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US July JOLTS job openings rose to 7.27 million, falling short of market expectations for the second consecutive month.
U.S. job openings rose to 7.27 million in July, up from a downwardly revised 7.18 million in June, but slightly below market expectations of 7.31 million, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show
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Oil Price Surge Fuels Inflation Concerns, US Stocks and Bonds Decline
Rising oil prices have sparked inflation concerns, with investors worrying that this could force the Federal Reserve to further raise interest rates, leading to declines in both US equities and Treasu
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Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin believes current inflationary shocks are normal and discusses Fed's strategy to weather the storm
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin believes current inflationary shocks are normal and discusses Fed's strategy to weather the storm
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Adam Posen Explains Fed Chairman Warsh's 'Family Fight' Term, Suggests Dissents Can Be Beneficial
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen, on the Odd Lots podcast, explained what Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh means by "family fight" to describe policy decision debates, and w
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr: The Federal Reserve should decisively raise interest rates if inflation fails to cool sufficiently.
Federal Reserve Governor Barr stated on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates decisively if inflation fails to cool sufficiently. This statement echoes the hawkish stance of Fed
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Fed Governor Barr Warns Rate Hike May Be Needed If Inflation Fails to Cool Soon
Fed Governor Michael Barr stated that inflation remains too high despite solid economic growth and a stable labor market. Barr favors holding rates steady if inflation continues moderating, but warned
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices fell as expectations for a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September rose to 66.4%.
At 8:19 AM ET on September 1, Bitcoin's price fell to $77,945.97, and Ethereum's price dropped to $2,454.23. CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interes
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Silver Prices Slide to $65.37 on Tuesday Amid Rising Rate Hike Expectations
Silver December futures opened at $67.28 per ounce on Tuesday, September 1, up 0.4% from Monday's close, but later slid to $65.37 by 8:08 a.m. ET. This decline comes as expectations for a rate increas
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FT comments: Many of Fed Chair Warsh's economic policy problems stem from the administration, with US credibility still stretched
FT comments: Many of Fed Chair Warsh's economic policy problems stem from the administration, with US credibility still stretched
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Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) Faces Volatility as Market Prices in 57% Chance of Fed Rate Hike
According to a Yahoo Finance analysis, the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) is highly sensitive to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The market is currently pricing in a 57% chance of a
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Evercore's Guha Says Fed Is 'Inflation First,' Prioritizing Inflation, Oil, and Bond Yields Over Jobs Data
Krishna Guha, vice chair and head of central bank strategy at Evercore ISI, believes the Federal Reserve is currently an "inflation first" central bank, focusing more on inflation, oil prices, and bon
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Japan's 10-year government bond yield hit 3% on Tuesday, for the first time since 1996.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 3% on Tuesday, reaching this level for the first time since 1996, influenced by a stronger dollar following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman
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Global bond selloff spreads to emerging markets as Federal Reserve interest-rate hike prospects overshadow other factors
Global bond selloff spreads to emerging markets as Federal Reserve interest-rate hike prospects overshadow other factors
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Peterson Institute President Adam Posen Thinks Things Could Get 'Messy' for the Fed
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen believes the Federal Reserve could face a "messy" situation. He offered his take on the direction of monetary policy and graded Fed
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Global bond markets are experiencing their most aggressive sell-off in nearly two decades, with the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index yield rising to 3.72%, a new high since mid-2008.
On Tuesday (September 1), the US 10-year government bond yield briefly rose to 4.78%, its highest since January 2025; the Japanese 10-year government bond yield touched 3% for the first time in 30 yea
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Bitcoin holds above $78,000, while HYPE gains ~4% and other major altcoins decline over 24 hours amid hawkish Fed bets
Bitcoin holds above $78,000, while HYPE gains ~4% and other major altcoins decline over 24 hours amid hawkish Fed bets
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has hit its longest streak of elevated levels since 2006, closing above 5% for 55 consecutive trading days as of this Monday.
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield remains under pressure due to a confluence of factors, including persistent high U.S. fiscal deficits, a surge in corporate bond issuance, and rising expectations for F
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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DeFi Losses Nearing $600M in a Single Month: April 2026 Security Incidents Sound Alarm Bells for Cross-Chain and Governance
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
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