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Federal Reserve
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Fed Governor Waller extends Warsh's "play the ball, not the Fed" metaphor, likening central bank reaction function to umpire's strike zone
Waller repurposed the metaphor to defend his communication style, stating that batters and pitchers don't need the strike zone to be perfect, only roughly known and stable from pitch to pitch. He emph
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller: If August inflation data continues to move towards 2%, I would favor holding interest rates steady; if the data is too hot, I would consider a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that while there has been no fundamental change in his monetary policy stance since July, his inclination has shifted from concern and a bias towards
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HSBC raises its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026.
HSBC has raised its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026. The bank stated that this move is due
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MarketWatch Analysis: Fed Rate Hike This Month May Only Cause Temporary Stock Market Weakness
MarketWatch analysts suggest that the stock market's reaction to a potential Federal Reserve interest rate hike in mid-September might be less severe than anticipated, leading to only temporary weakne
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Bloomberg: Bitcoin's rally fades as it fails to decisively break $80,000, with fluctuating US demand and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance weighing on momentum.
Bitcoin's recent rally has faltered after failing to decisively break the $80,000 mark, with fluctuating demand from US investors and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance dampening its momentum, accor
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Global bond yields have risen to their highest since 2008, with 30-year US Treasury yields touching 5%, after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced increased bond buybacks and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh delivered hawkish remarks.
Global bond yields have risen to their highest levels since 2008, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly touching 5%. This follows an unexpected announcement by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bes
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Bitcoin climbs above $77,500, XRP leads major tokens; Fed's September rate hike probability rises to 66%, 10-year Treasury yield hits new high since 2023
Bitcoin recovered above $77,600 in early Asian trading on Thursday, up approximately 1.5% in 24 hours. XRP led major tokens with a nearly 3% gain, reaching $1.36, while BNB rose almost 2% to $692, and
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fold Pressure
The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fol
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Bank of America: Expects August Nonfarm Payrolls to Add Only 40,000 Jobs, Far Below Market Consensus; September Federal Reserve Rate Hike Hinges on CPI
Bank of America, in its latest report published on September 2, projected that August non-farm payrolls would increase by only 40,000 (35,000 in the private sector), significantly below market consens
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WSJ analysis: Four key forces are pressuring bond markets, with war being the primary driver
According to The Wall Street Journal's analysis, the recent climb in bond yields is being driven by four main forces. War is identified as the number one factor, alongside fiscal worries, the appointm
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White analyzed that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of T-bill financing is making its function akin to a "shadow central bank," which could undermine the Federal Reserve's independence and push up inflation.
Simon White points out that the U.S. Treasury's continued expansion of T-bill financing has pushed T-bills to 22.7% of outstanding U.S. debt, exceeding the Treasury's informal 20% cap. He believes thi
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New York Fed President John Williams said he is more open to interest-rate hikes, questioning if current monetary policy is sufficient to bring inflation to target.
New York Fed President John Williams, a leading advocate of the central bank’s “hold and wait” strategy on interest rates, stated in a television appearance Wednesday that there is “no clear science”
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IMPAX Asset Management says the Federal Reserve's September decision is a "real coin toss."
IMPAX Asset Management says the Federal Reserve's September decision is a "real coin toss."
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Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh outlined his interpretation of key U.S. economic data points at the Jackson Hole conference, offering new insights into policymaking.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered a keynote speech last week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, detailing some of the key data points he uses to assess the U.S. economy, offering markets new insig
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S&P 500 Steadies After Three-Day Skid as Oil Prices Halt Advance
US stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, as the halt in oil price advances eased inflation concerns. Traders are now weighing the Federal Reserve’s potential path for interest-rate hikes.
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U.S. 10-year government bond yields hit a new high since November 2023, and oil prices approaching $95/barrel sparked market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike.
U.S. long-term government bond yields remained elevated on Wednesday, with the 10-year yield hitting its highest level since November 2023. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered around $95 per barrel, intensi
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Federal Reserve's No. 3 Official Williams: Inflation Slowing Gradually, Current Interest Rates at a "Good Level," Emphasizes Need for More Data
New York Fed President John Williams stated on Wednesday that inflation is slowly declining and current interest rate levels are in a "good place," emphasizing the need to accumulate more data before
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Sell-off and Prospects of Federal Reserve Rate Hikes May Push Up Living Costs for Americans
The Wall Street Journal's analysis indicates that concerns about a prolonged conflict with Iran, ballooning fiscal deficits, and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes are roiling global bond markets. U.
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New York Fed President Williams: Strong US Economy, Driven by AI Investment, is Pushing Bond Yields Higher
John Williams stated that rising long-term bond yields reflect a robust U.S. economy, rather than growing inflation fears. He specifically cited heavy investment in AI, data centers, and technology as
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State Street strategist Seder stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, the market will react poorly.
Cayla Seder, Macro Multi-Asset Strategist at State Street, discussed her concerns about higher government bond yields and looked ahead to the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting dec
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Silver prices fell further on Wednesday, trading at $64.24 an ounce at 6:48 a.m. ET, after the U.S. launched a second wave of attacks on Iran.
Silver December futures opened at $64.69 per ounce on Wednesday, down 1.0% from Tuesday's closing price and hitting a two-week low. This decline occurred after the U.S. military launched its second wa
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Gold prices fell further on Wednesday, trading at $4357.50/oz at 6:31 AM ET, due to escalating military actions between the US and Iran.
Gold futures for December delivery opened at $4377.20 per ounce on Wednesday (September 2), down 0.4% from Tuesday's closing price. Subsequently, gold prices fell further due to additional US strikes
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The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.8% on Wednesday, a new high for 2023, as surging energy prices fueled inflation concerns.
A new round of attacks in the Iran war this week sent energy prices soaring again, intensifying the sell-off in global bond markets and pushing up government borrowing costs. Investors are bracing for
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Elon Musk's Grok AI Predicts Ethereum (ETH) to Trade in $2,600-$3,000 Range by January 1, 2027, with a Point Estimate of $2,800
Elon Musk's Grok AI Predicts Ethereum (ETH) to Trade in $2,600-$3,000 Range by January 1, 2027, with a Point Estimate of $2,800. The AI model's forecast implies modest net gains from current levels ($
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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DeFi Losses Nearing $600M in a Single Month: April 2026 Security Incidents Sound Alarm Bells for Cross-Chain and Governance
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Where to Find Reliable USDT Trading Software: Top Exchange References and Selection Criteria
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What is DAFI Token? A Comprehensive Guide to DAFI Protocol and Synthetic Token Mechanics
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
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