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Federal Reserve
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Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being seen as a "canary in the coal mine" for market risk.
Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being
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US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
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Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
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Citi economist Clark said the Federal Reserve's labor market narrative could shift rapidly.
Citi economist Veronica Clark said she sees several scenarios where inflation and labor market data could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
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Morgan Stanley Expects Fed to Hold Rates Despite Warsh’s Hawkish Tone, Citing August Core CPI/PCE Forecasts
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged, despite Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech. The bank forecasts August core CPI at +0.23% MoM and core PCE at +0.20%, supporting pat
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumps 1.7% to 25,650, led by tech rebound, as Fed Waller's dovish remarks ease rate hike fears
The benchmark Hang Seng Index rose 437 points, or 1.7 percent, to close at 25,650 on Friday, with the tech index gaining 2.3 percent. This surge followed Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller's
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U.S. Stock Futures Nudge Higher, Treasury Yields Edge Lower Ahead of Jobs Data
U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields edged lower in early European trade on Friday, as investors held positions steady ahead of crucial U.S. jobs data. This follows Thursday's rally in
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World's Biggest Money Managers Are Rebuilding Gold Positions, Betting on Long-Term Drivers Despite Fed's Assertive Stance
Some of the world’s biggest money managers have rebuilt their gold holdings after prices dropped, betting that long-term drivers of the precious metal will endure even as the US Federal Reserve takes
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Asia-Pacific stock markets generally rebounded, with South Korea's Seoul Composite Index closing up 1.64% and the Nikkei 225 Index rising 1.3%.
Global equities rose for a third consecutive day, influenced by dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, with Asia-Pacific markets generally strengthening. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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The U.S. August non-farm payroll report is set to be released on Friday, with market expectations of 55,000 new jobs. Former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh previously stated that the economy is at full employment with high inflation. Analysts believe that strong data could push up U.S. Treasury yields and suppress U.S. equities.
The US August non-farm payrolls report is due on Friday, with market consensus expecting 55,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has clear
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Emerging Market Stocks and Currencies Rise as Fed Hike Bets Ease
MSCI’s emerging market stock index jumped as much as 1.1%, while a similar currency gauge rose 0.2%. Investors pared bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month, sending the dollar lower,
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Deutsche Bank Report: Gold's Structural Bull Market Drivers Now Surpass Interest Rates; Strait of Hormuz Conflict More Critical Than Fed's Warsh
Deutsche Bank, in its latest report, offered its long-term rationale for gold, asserting that the fundamental driver of its structural bull market is reserve diversification, which has extended into t
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Bianco Research: The Federal Reserve's September meeting vote is finely balanced, with the "maintain" camp leading 6-5 after Christopher Waller shifted to favoring holding rates steady. Jerome Powell's vote becomes crucial.
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, analyzed that the voting landscape is highly contested ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting. Following recent remarks from Fed Governor Wall
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US Dollar Slumps to Start September as Yen Surges on Rate Bets
The dollar slumped to start September as traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month and a surging yen rippled across global currency markets.
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South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
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The Nikkei 225 rose 0.5% to 64,530.98 in early trading, led by technology and financial stocks.
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike receded. SoftBank Group surged 6.5%, Fujitsu gained 3.1%, and Nomura Holdings advanced 1.9%. The
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller on Thursday publicly countered Chairman Warsh's downplaying of forward guidance, stating that effective monetary policy communication requires a clear policy framework.
At a Reuters event, Waller stated that effective monetary policy communication should revolve around the current policy stance, the outlook for policy, and forward guidance under specific circumstance
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U.S. 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.71%, a new high in over a year. The Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller stated that a rate hike in September might not be necessary.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the U.S. rose to 6.71% this week, up from 6.66% last week, reaching its highest level since July 2025, according to data released by Fred
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US high-beta stocks surged, with Snowflake up nearly 26% intraday and Tesla up almost 8%. Crypto-related stocks saw double-digit gains, driven by positive AI earnings reports and a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller.
US equities saw a significant rebound in risk appetite on Thursday, Eastern Time, with high-beta growth stocks performing strongly. AI data cloud leader Snowflake surged nearly 26% at one point due to
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Global crypto market cap rises to $2.82 trillion, a new seven-month high; Bitcoin breaks $81,000, Zcash leads with 16.5% gain; Crypto-related stocks broadly up
The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization climbed to nearly $2.82 trillion on Thursday, reaching a new seven-month high. Bitcoin (BTC) surged 5.4% to break above $81,000; Zcash (ZEC) led t
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Wall Street bets on Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to prevent a bond market collapse amidst an expected surge in corporate bond supply in the coming months.
Wall Street bets on Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to prevent a bond market collapse amidst an expected surge in corporate bond supply in the coming months.
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The Wall Street Journal: The delinquency rate for some multi-family apartment mortgage pools issued in 2021 rose to 28% in August.
The delinquency rate for commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) rose to 28% in August, up from 19% in July. These floating-rate loans are sometimes used to finance riskier acqui
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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Gold edged higher as falling oil prices reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold edged higher as falling oil prices reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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Nasdaq Composite surged 2% and S&P 500 jumped 1.5% on Monday, but 30 S&P 500 stocks hit new 52-week lows while only 7 reached new highs, a divergence not seen since 1999
The S&P 500's internal divergence, where new lows outnumbered new highs, was last observed on Dec. 21, 1999, just months before the Dotcom Bubble top. Analysts note that the S&P 500's gains were led b
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Bitcoin ETF Holders Back in Profit as Price Surges Towards $87,000, Reaching $86,837 Earlier Monday
Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that Bitcoin exchange-traded fund holders are now in profit for the first time since January, as the cryptocurrency's rally on Monday morning pushed the aver
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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