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Bitcoin traders reduced bullish bets ahead of US inflation data, with Bitcoin pulling back from $80,000 to $78,000.
AI trading terminal OrderX data shows that as Bitcoin retreated from $80,000 to approximately $78,000, bullish option skew continued to soften, and traders are reducing their long exposure. The US is
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US CPI Report to Guide Fed Decision on Rates; Officials Prepared to Raise Rates if Inflation Doesn't Improve Soon
Federal Reserve officials have signaled they are prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not improve soon, though they acknowledge their main policy tool may do little to restrain some of t
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U.S. government bond yields broadly rose on Thursday, with the 10-year yield hitting a new high of 4.8589% since November 2023, as investors awaited wholesale inflation data.
U.S. government bond yields generally rose on Thursday, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing over 2 basis points to 4.8589%, reaching its highest level since November 2023. The 2-year yield rose 1
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Analysts point out that Hong Kong investors are concerned about high market volatility due to geopolitical tensions, weak earnings growth, setbacks in AI trading, and the potential for tighter US policies.
The South China Morning Post's analysis indicates that while state-backed "national team" buying provides a floor for mainland Chinese equities, Hong Kong investors are concerned about navigating high
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Asian Stocks Slide, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index Down 1.15%, as Brent Crude Tops $100 Amid Middle East War Fears and Ahead of US Inflation Data
Asian stocks retreated with Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index opening down 289 points, or 1.15%, at 24,985. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.31%, Japan's Nikkei 225 opened 0.57% lo
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UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti warned investors against complacency, citing increasing geopolitical and economic risks, and predicted that major central banks would raise interest rates in the coming months.
UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti stated on Thursday that financial markets have become complacent over the past few years despite increasing geopolitical and economic risks. He pointed out that new problems are
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UBS: Gold price has fully priced in Federal Reserve policy; a September rate hike would lead to a small dip, while no hike would trigger a significant rally.
UBS noted in its "Global Precious Metals Comment" published on September 9 that the gold market's sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's next moves has significantly decreased, with tightening expectati
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Gold prices held steady near $4,400 as traders weighed the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
Gold prices stabilized around $4,400 per ounce, with traders awaiting US inflation data later this week to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. This follows a 1% rise in gold d
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U.S. small-cap stocks have fallen below a key level, raising investor concerns that rising bond yields could signal broader equity market pressure.
U.S. small-cap stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes, have fallen below key chart levels as bond market rates climb ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Their performance
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Amazon and Oracle's free cash flow turned negative due to surging AI capital expenditures, causing "extreme anxiety" ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting.
Amazon and Oracle are experiencing negative free cash flow due to surging AI data center capital expenditures, leading to "extreme anxiety" ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Oracle plans
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Jim Cramer says safe bond funds lost money over the past five years, being too cautious was reckless.
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's "Mad Money," stated that an ultra-conservative bond allocation strategy has penalized patient savers over the past five years. He pointed out that the iShares Core U.S. Aggr
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Jim Cramer warns interest rates are unlikely to drop, citing "unholy developments" including the U.S. war with Iran
CNBC's Mad Money host Jim Cramer believes interest rates will not fall soon, attributing this to the U.S. war with Iran and the stance of newly installed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Cramer n
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Citizens Financial Group CEO: US Consumers Cautious But Still Spending, Expects Federal Reserve Not to Raise Rates in Short Term
Bruce Van Saun, CEO of Citizens Financial Group, stated in a Bloomberg interview that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, with consumers continuing to spend despite being cautious, and having fou
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Northwestern Mutual's Matt Stucky says hotter-than-expected inflation could increase the chances of a Fed rate hike this month
Stucky notes that markets currently see roughly a 50-50 chance of a hike. Friday’s core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month, and a stronger reading, combined with the resilient U.S. labor ma
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Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
Analysts believe Bitcoin price could fall 1%-5% if Fed raises rates by 25 bps on Sept. 16, with deeper declines possible depending on forward guidance.
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Wall Street strategists raise S&P 500 targets past 8,000, with Ed Yardeni setting 8,400, but warn of growing pullback risks
Wall Street strategists are raising their S&P 500 price targets above 8,000, with RBC Capital Markets maintaining its 12-month target at 8,150, and prominent strategist Ed Yardeni raising his year-end
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Bitcoin and Ethereum opened lower on Wednesday, as escalating tensions in the Middle East and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on the crypto market.
At 9:00 AM ET on Wednesday, September 9, Bitcoin opened at $78,446.18, down 0.8% from Tuesday's opening price; Ethereum opened at $2,484.93, down 0.2% from Tuesday's opening price. As of 7:11 AM ET, B
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Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO) Outperforms S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 YTD, Faces Reckoning Next Week as Fed Considers Rate Hike
The Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO), mimicking the Russell 2000 index, has gained 20.2% year-to-date in 2026 (as of Sept. 4), surpassing the S&P 500's 12.7% and Nasdaq-100's 17% returns. However, it
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Gold prices have returned above $4,400, with spot up 1.1% to $4,402.41/oz, due to a weaker dollar and the situation in the Middle East.
Gold prices rose on Wednesday, with spot gold up 1.1% to $4,402.41 per ounce and futures up 0.2% to $4,445.85 per ounce, climbing back above $4,400 after three consecutive trading days of declines. A
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China Asset Management Says Chinese Stocks Face US Fed, Oil Pressures, Likely to Trade Sideways Through September
China Asset Management Says Chinese Stocks Face US Fed, Oil Pressures, Likely to Trade Sideways Through September
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British Pound Faces Deeper Weakness as BOE Turns Dovish and Crucial Budget Looms
The Bank of England (BOE) is seen as increasingly dovish, with low market expectations for a rate hike at its September meeting, contrasting with anticipated hikes from the ECB and Fed. Rabobank strat
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The Financial Times commented that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be competent, but needs to clarify policy goals and act wisely.
A commentary in the Financial Times suggests that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh could be an excellent chairman, but he must clarify policy objectives and be prudent in how the central bank operates.
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MarketWatch Analysis: US Stocks Fall Post-Labor Day, Dow Drops 1% on Tuesday, Marking Largest Daily Decline in Over Two Weeks
The media noted that the stock market might soon need to adapt to the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023. As of Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 2.1% in Septembe
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Aristotle Pacific's Jeff Klingelhofer sees mispricing in fixed income, positions funds long duration on Fed Chair Warsh's inflation stance
Aristotle Pacific, which manages approximately $16 billion in assets, employs a relative value bond strategy across fixed income sectors. Portfolio Manager Jeff Klingelhofer believes the market is und
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
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