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Federal Reserve
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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US August CPI (YoY) was 3.4%, in line with expectations of 3.4%, and the previous value (revised) was 3.4%.
US August CPI YoY 3.4% (expected 3.4%, revised prior 3.4%, in line with expectations); CPI MoM 0.4% (expected 0.4%, revised prior 0.1%, in line with expectations); Core CPI YoY 2.4% (expected 2.4%, re
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U.S. equity futures rebound 0.4% ahead of the August inflation report, while oil prices retreat to $105/barrel.
US equities and government bonds found respite, and oil prices pulled back, as traders awaited the August US inflation report to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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Oil prices nearing $100 exacerbate inflation concerns, while private credit borrowers face high interest rates and refinancing pressure.
Soaring energy costs are adding new pressure on private credit borrowers, who are already grappling with higher interest expenses and significant refinancing challenges, CNBC reported. Analysts note t
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BNP Paribas Chief Economist Mateos y Lago Says US Economy Likely Needs Three Fed Rate Hikes
Isabelle Mateos y Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, stated that her firm believes "monetary policy is not restrictive enough" and that the US economy "probably" needs three rate hikes, potentially
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Bloomberg survey shows investors increasingly see 10-year Treasury yield at 5%-5.25% as the trigger for a 10% S&P 500 correction, with the yield currently above 4.96%.
Bloomberg survey shows investors increasingly see 10-year Treasury yield at 5%-5.25% as the trigger for a 10% S&P 500 correction, with the yield currently above 4.96%. More than two-thirds of responde
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Hong Kong and mainland stocks end lower on Friday amid US rate hike jitters; Shanghai Enflame Technology surges 180% in debut
The Hang Seng Index lost 0.6% to 24,805, down 3.3% for the week. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.18% to 3,888. Sentiment was dampened by low trading volumes and rising expectations of further US i
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Wall Street expects U.S. Treasury yields to normalize in the 4%-5% range. Bloomberg economists estimate the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to be close to 4.7% and note that structural factors may limit Donald Trump's efforts to cut interest rates.
US Treasury yields are reaching their highest levels since 2008, with the market widely anticipating further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg economists analyze that structural
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Seoul shares dip 1.76% to 6,909.91 on September 11, driven by rising oil prices and inflation concerns
Seoul shares fell sharply on Friday, September 11, as surging oil prices heightened inflation concerns. The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) closed 124.01 points, or 1.76 percent, d
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Bitcoin Falls Below $77,000, Zcash Leads Losses Amid Fed Rate Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped below $77,000, with Zcash leading the decline, as traders increased their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Ninety-five of the CoinDesk 100 fell over the past 24 hours, and bitcoin
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Fed Chair Warsh may defy the president’s desire for a rate cut at Wednesday’s meeting, according to the Financial Times.
Fed Chair Warsh may defy the president’s desire for a rate cut at Wednesday’s meeting, according to the Financial Times.
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"New Bond King" Gundlach warns: If the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates next week, long-term interest rates will "significantly spike."
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and CIO of DoubleLine Capital, expressed skepticism about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week during his latest webcast. He anticipates a significant rise in lon
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Soaring oil prices and inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in both equities and bonds across Asia: the Nikkei 225 index plunged 3%, the KOSPI index fell 2.7%, and Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.981%.
On Friday, Brent crude briefly climbed to nearly $110/barrel during U.S. trading hours, and WTI crude further rose to $103.05/barrel, both reaching their highest settlement prices since May 19 this ye
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UBS CEO warns against market complacency, expects stubborn inflation to force major central banks to continue hiking rates, potentially leading to "higher for longer" interest rates.
UBS Group CEO Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Thursday that financial markets have bred a dangerous complacency while geopolitical and economic risks continue to accumulate. He expects persistent inflatio
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Global Bond Selloff Sends 10-Year US Treasury Yields to Cusp of 5% Ahead of Key Inflation Data
The global bond selloff is pushing benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields toward the closely-watched 5% level. This comes ahead of upcoming US inflation data, which is expected to influence expectations
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Seoul shares open sharply lower, with KOSPI dropping 2.6% to 6,850.80, tracking US losses amid inflation woes
Seoul shares opened sharply lower Friday, tracking losses on Wall Street, as the latest US inflation data raised the possibility of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates to curb inflation. Aft
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Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
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Hong Kong home prices forecast to gain 15% this year by Midland Realty, still 16% below 2021 peak
Hong Kong home prices are forecast to gain 15% this year by local property agency Midland Realty, though they would still be 16% below their high-water mark in 2021. The agency's executives stated at
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
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Nick Timiraos retweeted Milan's comment, stating that the Federal Reserve is in a situation where "policy will ultimately depend on the next inflation print." He noted that as inflation data improved, the Fed "strangely" became more hawkish, which is "very confusing."
Nick Timiraos retweeted Milan's comment, stating that the Federal Reserve is in a situation where "policy will ultimately depend on the next inflation print." He noted that as inflation data improved,
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US stocks fall as investors turn cautious due to "triple threat of negative risks."
The US stock market is experiencing a downturn, with investors adopting a more cautious stance due to a series of risk events including rising bond yields, the Federal Reserve meeting, and the US midt
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: After Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, only three banks—UBS, Barclays, and Société Générale—shifted their Federal Reserve September rate hike expectations to a hike.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: After Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, only three banks—UBS, Barclays, and Société Générale—shifted their Federal Reserve September rate hike expectations to a hike.
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Legendary trader Druckenmiller slammed the Federal Reserve's dovish stance as "absurd," stating that U.S. interest rates are "too low"; the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 5.36%, a new high since 2007.
Legendary trader Stanley Druckenmiller slammed dovish Federal Reserve members at a closed-door Wall Street meeting on Thursday, stating that interest rate cuts are "no longer necessary" and directly c
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Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
Fed Whisperer Nick Timiraos: Initial core PCE forecast range is 0.22%-0.26%, due to higher-than-usual uncertainty from NIPA revisions.
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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BCH (Bitcoin Cash) trading volume reached $2.1 million over the past hour (15.2x its average for the same period over the past 7 days), currently trading at $247.900.
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