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Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh did not submit his dot plot interest rate projections for the second consecutive time, stating that they were unhelpful for policy execution and that he would conduct a comprehensive review of policy communication tools, including the dot plot.
In the latest dot plot released on September 16, only 18 dots appeared out of 19 seats again, leading to widespread speculation that Warsh's projection was once again absent. This move has raised mark
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Trump: Still have confidence in Fed Chair Warsh
Trump: Still have confidence in Fed Chair Warsh
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Trump: I want Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to remain independent.
Trump: I want Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to remain independent.
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Trump: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has a hostile board.
Trump: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has a hostile board.
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Fed Chair Warsh: No Need to Sacrifice Jobs to Lower Inflation, AI Policy Decisions Do Not Belong to the Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he does not believe it is necessary to harm the labor market to achieve inflation targets, and that the current US unemployment rate is largely consistent wi
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Fed Chairman Warsh: Long-term U.S. Treasury yields rise due to stronger economy, capital competition, and geopolitics
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh analyzed the reasons for the significant rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields in recent months at a press conference, attributing it to three main factors: a stronger
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Allspring Global Investments executive Boraiah: Federal Reserve rate hikes are "necessary," recommends diversifying portfolios through "direct indexing."
Manju Boraiah, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Systematic Fixed Income at Allspring Global Investments, commented that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on Wednesday was "necessary" fundam
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US Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 bps to 3.75%-4%, first hike in over three years
The Federal Reserve unanimously voted on Wednesday to increase interest rates from 3.5%-3.75% to 3.75%-4%, marking the first rate hike in more than three years. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the decisi
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JPM Asset Management Strategist Aliaga: AI Buildout Significantly Impacts Inflation, Slowing AI Frontier to Boost Productivity
Stephanie Aliaga, Global Market Strategist at JPM Asset Management, believes that while oil prices are a long-term driver of inflation, the AI buildout is also having a significant impact. Her comment
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Trump demands Fed slash interest rates to 1% or lower after central bank's first hike since 2023
President Donald Trump on Wednesday demanded the Federal Reserve slash interest rates to 1% "or less," hours after the central bank, led by Chairman Kevin Warsh, announced its first rate hike since 20
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Bitcoin and Ether Swing After Unanimous Quarter-Point Fed Rate Hike, Warsh Takes Aim at Inflation
Bitcoin and Ether Swing After Unanimous Quarter-Point Fed Rate Hike, Warsh Takes Aim at Inflation
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US stocks gave back gains and turned lower after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled further tightening, with the S&P 500 falling 0.43% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.17%.
U.S. stocks gave back earlier gains and turned lower after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in more than three years and signaled further policy tightening. The S&P 500 fel
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DoubleLine founder Gundlach: The Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates by 50 basis points to combat inflation
The renowned bond investor stated in a Wednesday interview with CNBC that the Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates by 50 basis points instead of 25 basis points to better combat inflation
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White House Calls Federal Reserve Rate Hikes "Unfortunate"
White House Calls Federal Reserve Rate Hikes "Unfortunate"
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Wednesday's rate hike aims to align financial and credit conditions more closely with ultimate goals
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that the Federal Reserve "has unwound some of the accommodation" to bring financial and credit conditions more in line with the Fed's ultimate goals. He rejected
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DoubleLine CEO Gundlach: Virtually no chance current Fed funds rate is the peak
DoubleLine CEO Gundlach: Virtually no chance current Fed funds rate is the peak
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh explained the Fed's shift to interest rate hikes, citing a stronger economy and labor market, insufficient improvement in inflation, and a change in geopolitical risk assessment as key factors.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that three major developments have altered the Federal Reserve's outlook since July: a stronger economy and labor market, insufficient improvement in inflation, a
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Fed Chair Warsh: Seen little info to suggest inflation trends passing the test
Fed Chair Warsh: Seen little info to suggest inflation trends passing the test
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After the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points, credit card borrowers' interest expenses will quickly increase.
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided to raise short-term interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, which will quickly increase interest expenses for credit card borrowers. Credit card deb
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Fed Chair Warsh: Not going to prejudge any future decisions
Fed Chair Warsh: Not going to prejudge any future decisions
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Fed Chair Warsh: Not in the forward guidance business
Fed Chair Warsh: Not in the forward guidance business
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Fed Chair Warsh: Inflation is too high and has been for too long
Fed Chair Warsh: Inflation is too high and has been for too long
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Fed Chair Warsh: "We removed a dose of accommodation."
Fed Chair Warsh: "We removed a dose of accommodation."
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The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%-4%.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%-4%.
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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Deutsche Bank: Gold Price Rally Driven by Reserve Management Institutions, Strait of Hormuz Conflict and Oil Price Decline Outweigh Federal Reserve Rate Hikes
Deutsche Bank's latest metal flow report indicates an anomalous rise in gold prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike, despite no significant increase in volume from conventional buyers (comme
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) In-Depth Analysis: Global Progress and Impact
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US equity futures rise, led by AI stocks; oil prices fall over 2% to around $101; US Treasury yields decline; US and Chinese officials discuss AI national security "notification mechanism."
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Commodities trader Trafigura plans to float its supertanker arm Volare Shipping in Oslo, marking the business's first IPO
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