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Federal Reserve
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U.S. small caps fall behind S&P 500 in September as bond liquidation intensifies, Russell 2000 YTD gain drops to 14%
While the S&P 500 powers through rising bond yields and higher crude oil prices, the Russell 2000 index's year-to-date gain has dropped from 20% to 14% in September. The correlation between small-caps
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CIFC: Fed May Be Losing Control of Long-Term Yields Due to Heavy Government Borrowing, $100+ Oil, AI Spending, and Global Bond Selloff
CIFC states that long-term Treasury yields are increasingly driven by forces outside the Fed’s control. The firm notes that last week’s rate hike reshaped the yield curve but failed to lower overall y
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Kalshi predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates 2.4 times this year, significantly higher than the 2.1 times predicted earlier this week.
Kalshi predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates 2.4 times this year, significantly higher than the 2.1 times predicted earlier this week, indicating a notable hawkish repricing of market
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Experts say U.S. government bond yields soaring to multi-year highs could push up auto loan rates.
The U.S. 30-year government bond yield rose to 5.446% on Thursday, reaching a new high since 2004; the 10-year government bond yield also jumped to 5.15%, its highest level since 2006. Experts stated
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CNBC Analysis: Higher Treasury yields complicate Fed policy and Treasury financing, highlighting tension between Warsh and Bessent
Elevated Treasury yields are signaling a strong economy, stubborn inflation, and rising national debt costs, complicating both Federal Reserve policy and Treasury financing. This highlights the policy
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action against former Sandy Spring Bank employee Renee Nicole Brown for embezzlement
Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action against former Sandy Spring Bank employee Renee Nicole Brown for embezzlement
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Summer developments made it difficult for the Federal Reserve to maintain a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation, prompting last week's rate hike.
Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin explained that the Fed's decision last week to raise interest rates was due to several developments since the summer that made a "wait-and-see" stance on infl
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Federal Reserve's Paulson: Moderate Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson stated that further interest rate hikes may be necessary to ensure inflation returns to the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
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Federal Reserve's Paulson: "Modest" further rate hikes may be needed to curb inflation
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said on Thursday that she and her colleagues may need to raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to target levels. In prepared remarks for a fintec
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Paulson from the Federal Reserve states that September's inflation reports were the driving force behind the recent rate hike.
Paulson from the Federal Reserve states that September's inflation reports were the driving force behind the recent rate hike.
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Soaring oil prices, coupled with rising expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike, led to the Indian stock market's largest single-day drop in ten weeks, with both emerging market equities and currencies facing pressure.
Indian equities experienced their sharpest single-day sell-off in ten weeks on Thursday, with the Nifty 50 index closing down 1.6% at 23,063.10 points and the BSE Sensex index falling 1.67% to 73,580.
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Fed Governor Hammack: Inflation risk is tilted toward the upside
Fed Governor Hammack: Inflation risk is tilted toward the upside
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BCA Research: Fed Hikes Unlikely to Derail S&P 500, Maintains 8,100 Year-End Target
BCA Research stated that the S&P 500 has gained during every full Fed tightening cycle since 1980, with returns ranging from 4.4% to 28.4%. The firm expects just one or two more 25bp hikes, arguing mu
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Bitcoin trades around $83,850, analyst Benjamin Cowen says weekly close above May high is crucial to confirm breakout
Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,850, having surged past its May local high, defying classical macroeconomic models and surprising analyst Benjamin Cowen. Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse
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Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin slides below $83,000
Traders are pricing in four quarter-point rate hikes by the Federal Reserve by June 2027, which would bring the federal funds rate to a 4.75% to 5% range. This comes as U.S. Treasury yields across the
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CoinDesk analysis: Bitcoin shows near-zero long-term correlation with rising bond yields, but short-term volatility could dampen sentiment
CoinDesk analysis indicates that over most of Bitcoin's history, the asset has shown little to no consistent correlation with bond yields, with 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year correlations with the U.S. 1
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New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
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JPMorgan Chase analysts say the stock market's "fracture threshold" may have risen to the 5.5% to 6% range, driven by structural forces.
JPMorgan Chase analysts noted that structural forces, such as artificial intelligence, healthcare, and the services sector, have significantly weakened the constraints of traditional interest rate tra
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Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%
Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%. Rising yields are straining public finances.
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Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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U.S. Treasury Market Faces "Perfect Storm": 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges 14 Basis Points to 5.113%, a New High Since 2007
The U.S. Treasury market experienced its worst single-day sell-off in nearly 18 months on Wednesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield surging approximately 14 basis points to close at 5.113%, breaking
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Analysts point out that a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve will result in US credit card borrowers paying an additional $2 billion in interest over the next 12 months, with young and low-income households being more significantly affected.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate at the conclusion of its September meeting and hinted at another potential rate hike this year. Analysts noted that this 25-basis-point increase
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Hassett states Warsh is managing an unusually partisan Federal Reserve
Hassett states Warsh is managing an unusually partisan Federal Reserve
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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What is MTH (Monetha)? Project Positioning and Token Supply Analysis
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Where to Buy MANA? A Comprehensive Guide to Decentraland Tokens and Mainstream Trading Channels
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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