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Iran
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Account with over 88% win rate adds approximately $55,000 to position predicting US-Iran ceasefire by March 31, total position around $549,000
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "US-Iran will cease fire by March 31," an account with a win rate exceeding 88% (0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184)
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Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Claims to Have Launched New Round of Attacks on Israel and US Military Bases
Svmuu News Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that it has launched a new round of attacks on targets within Israel and US military bases in the region. (Jin10)
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Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: No negotiations with the United States, related false news used to manipulate financial and oil markets
Svmuu News: Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf stated that the Iranian people demand severe punishment for the aggressors, and all officials will firmly support the national leaders and the people un
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Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iran's Position on the Strait of Hormuz Remains Unchanged
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that Iran's position regarding the Strait of Hormuz and the conditions for ending the war have not
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Iranian Foreign Ministry: U.S. conveys willingness to negotiate through third parties; Iran has not yet responded
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that friendly countries have recently conveyed messages suggesting that the United States has requ
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Israeli Official: Mediating Countries Pushing for US-Iran Related Meeting in Islamabad This Week
Svmuu News According to AXIOS citing an Israeli official, mediating countries are attempting to convene a meeting in Islamabad later this week. Attendees may include Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohamma
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Sources: The official negotiating with the United States is Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf
Svmuu News According to the Jerusalem Post: A source stated that the official from Iran negotiating with the United States is Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf. (Jin10)
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Polymarket's "Crude Oil Reaches $90 by End of March" Probability Rises to 82%, Up 67% Intraday
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of the Polymarket event "Crude Oil (CL) reaching $90 by the end of March" has risen to 82%, representing a 67% intraday increase; simultaneousl
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Trump: Strait of Hormuz May Be Jointly Controlled by Multiple Parties; Iran Has Agreed Not to Develop Nuclear Weapons
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump stated that the Strait of Hormuz may be jointly controlled by multiple parties in the future, adding that if the relevant plan proceeds smoothly, the strait will reopen
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Trump: I do not believe that the son of former Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei is the current leader
Svmuu News Trump: I do not believe that the son of former Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei is the current leader. (Jin10)
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Trump: Iran Actively Seeks Agreement, Both Sides Reach Consensus on Avoiding Nuclear Conflict
Svmuu President Trump stated that Iran is actively seeking an agreement with the United States, but he cannot guarantee that one will definitely be reached at this time. He mentioned that both sides h
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Trump: Current Communication Not with Iran's Supreme Leader, No Response Received Yet
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump stated that the current communication is not with Iran's Supreme Leader, and no response has been received yet. (Jin10)
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Trump: US and Iran Have Reached Main Consensus, May Hold Phone Call Today and Advance Meeting
Svmuu News Trump stated that the United States and Iran have engaged in "strong dialogue" and have reached a main consensus. He mentioned that Iran is willing to reach an agreement, and the United Sta
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New address bets approximately $100,000 on "US will not enter Iran by March 31st"
Monitoring by Svmuu Seer Channel shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "US will enter Iran by March 31st", a newly created address (0x842ac0abb64acddb573b459a8f58f77e123092f5) purchased approx
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Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan are helping to relay messages between the US and Iran
Svmuu News According to the latest statement from US President Trump, he has suspended plans to launch attacks on Iranian power plants, citing progress in negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
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Trump: Not sure what Iranian media is saying
Svmuu News According to Fox News: Trump stated that he is not sure what the Iranian media is talking about. The most recent Iran talks were held last night, and Iran is eager to reach an agreement. A
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Polymarket's "US-Iran Ceasefire by March 31st" Probability Briefly Surged to 54%, Then Fell Back to 16%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of the Polymarket event "US and Iran will achieve a ceasefire before March 31st" briefly surged rapidly to 54%, before falling back to around 1
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Israeli Military: Conducting Airstrikes on Central Tehran
Svmuu News The Israeli military stated that it is conducting airstrikes on central Tehran, the capital of Iran. (Jin10)
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Iranian Senior Official: Strait of Hormuz Situation Will Not Return to Pre-War State Due to "Psychological Warfare"
Svmuu News: A senior Iranian security official stated that the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its pre-war state through psychological warfare. (Jin10)
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Iranian Senior Security Official: Trump's Related Remarks Are "Psychological Warfare"
Svmuu News According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency, citing a senior Iranian security official, Trump's related remarks constitute "psychological warfare." (Jin10)
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Iranian Media: No Direct or Indirect Contact Between Iran and the US
Svmuu News According to Iranian media Fars News citing sources, there has been neither direct contact nor communication through intermediaries between Iran and the United States. (Jin10)
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Iranian Embassy in Afghanistan: Trump Has Abandoned Plan to Attack Energy Infrastructure
Svmuu News According to the Iranian Embassy in Afghanistan, after Iran issued a warning, U.S. President Trump has backed down from plans to strike energy infrastructure. (Jin10) Previous news: Trump:
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Trump: The US and Iran have had very good and productive dialogue over the past two days; 2. Yi Lihua: The current strategy is to avoid risks and wait patiently for the situation to become clear; 3
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Probability of "Crude oil reaching $105 by end of March" briefly drops to 22%, down about 43% intraday
Monitoring by Svmuu Seer Channel shows that the probability for the Polymarket event "Crude oil (CL) reaches $105 by the end of March" has dropped to 22%, with an intraday decline of 43%. The current
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Major U.S. stock indices broke out strongly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Russell 2000 all hitting new all-time highs; Nasdaq Composite surged 3.5%, marking its largest single-day gain since May 2025.
The S&P 500 recorded its 25th record close of the year, the first since June 2. The Nasdaq has rebounded nearly 10% from its low last week. The immediate catalysts for this rally include US Treasury S
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DeItaone reports Trump claims his "real" poll numbers are the highest they've ever been, rejecting media polls as "fake"
Former President Trump attributes his support to tax cuts, job growth, border security, foreign investment, and policies related to Venezuela and Iran. He urged Americans to "Vote Republican for great
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Families of victims killed in US attack on Iran's Qeshm Island hold funeral, Iranian officials vow US will "pay the price"
The victims were a couple and their two-year-old child. Iran's chief negotiator and parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, stated that the United States would "pay the price" for this.
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Traders are piling into bullish options bets to chase the stock market rebound, fueled by reports of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, according to MarketWatch
Stocks have shot higher over the past four trading sessions, prompting investors to increase bullish call options. Nomura cross-asset strategist Charlie McElligott noted that bearish put options, accu
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@DeItaone: U.S. missile stockpiles near critical levels, with nearly 80% of THAAD interceptors and roughly 50% of Patriot missiles used since the Iran war began, sources say.
Senior military commanders have warned that Pentagon stockpiles are "dangerously low," raising concerns about readiness for future conflicts. Gulf allies, who rely on U.S. air defenses, also fear that
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Iran's military announced that it has maximized the opportunity to enhance its military capabilities during the ceasefire with the United States, and missile production has increased.
Last month, Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) spokesperson Hossein Mohbi stated that Iran's missile production speed increased during the ceasefire, and missile accuracy improved throug
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US President Donald Trump says Iran has 'one last chance' to make a deal, though Tehran is in no hurry to take it.
US President Donald Trump says Iran has 'one last chance' to make a deal, though Tehran is in no hurry to take it.
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DeItaone: Iran's Foreign Minister Spokesperson Says Talks with Oman Assessed as 'Positive' at Both Technical and Political Levels - State Media
DeItaone: Iran's Foreign Minister Spokesperson Says Talks with Oman Assessed as 'Positive' at Both Technical and Political Levels - State Media
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DeItaone: Iran Weighs Allowing Europe to Clear Mines in Strait of Hormuz
DeItaone: Iran Weighs Allowing Europe to Clear Mines in Strait of Hormuz
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Treasuries Rose on Tuesday as Falling Oil Prices Trimmed Expectations for More Than One Fed Rate Hike in the Coming Year
Oil prices fell due to signs of progress toward a diplomatic resolution of the Iran war, which in turn curbed expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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Saudi Aramco's adjusted net profit for Q2 2026 was $33.4 billion, a 33% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations due to rising oil prices from the Iran war.
Saudi Aramco announced that its adjusted net profit for the second quarter was $33.4 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $31.59 billion. Although crude oil sales and production declined durin
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Diamondback Energy CEO: Iran conflict caused largest oil supply shock, structurally raising oil price floor and complicating Fed rate cuts
Diamondback Energy CEO Kaes Van't Hof stated that the Iran conflict led to the largest oil supply shock in history, cutting global production by 13.6 million barrels per day and rapidly draining inven
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DeItaone relays BESSENT's view from CNBC interview, saying Iran deal could be reached tomorrow to open Strait of Hormuz
DeItaone relays BESSENT's view from CNBC interview, saying Iran deal could be reached tomorrow to open Strait of Hormuz
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EU Eyes Winter LNG Buys as Storage Hits Near Two-Decade Low After Iran War Drove Up Prices
The European Union is optimistic that winter liquefied natural gas imports will help offset inventories that are at their lowest level for this time of year in almost two decades, following the Iran w
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Emerging Markets Remain Under Pressure as US-Iran Impasse Lifts Oil Prices Above $86 a Barrel
Emerging-market stocks and currencies continued to face pressure due to the lack of progress in US-Iran talks, which pushed oil prices back above $86 a barrel.
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Roebuck stated that Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz is a decisive bargaining chip.
Roebuck stated that Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz is a decisive bargaining chip.
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DeItaone forwarded: Iranian military advisor threatens to strike US warships if they enter "illegal routes" in the Strait of Hormuz
Iranian military adviser Mohsen Rezaei warned that Iran "will not stand idly by" amid the ongoing US naval blockade. He emphasized that Iran would strike US warships if they entered "illegal routes" i
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DeItaone: Qatar's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Confirms Ongoing Efforts and Search for Diplomatic Solution in U.S.-Iran Talks
Qatar's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson stated that efforts are ongoing with all parties regarding U.S.-Iran talks, and they are looking into a diplomatic solution.
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U.S. Army has depleted much of its long-range land-based missiles during Iran War, sources say
U.S. Army has depleted much of its long-range land-based missiles during Iran War, sources say
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DeItaone, citing a senior Iranian source to Reuters, reports a temporary Hormuz plan under discussion with Oman gives Tehran full control over inbound shipping.
DeItaone, citing a senior Iranian source to Reuters, reports a temporary Hormuz plan under discussion with Oman gives Tehran full control over inbound shipping.
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Iran President Pezeshkian Says He Will Not Resign, Aligns With Military Amid Reports of Rift
President Pezeshkian stated he has no intention of resigning and insists he is fully aligned with Iran's military, dismissing claims of a rift. He also defended the government's casualty figures from
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DeItaone quoted Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser as saying that the war in Iran has led to a reduction of 2.6 billion barrels in global crude oil supply, and traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to 10% of pre-war levels, with over 100 million barrels of supply lost weekly. Even if immediately reopened, it would take 18 months to rebuild inventories.
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said any major refinery outage would further tighten energy markets, which are already operating with very limited refining capacity.
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U.S. equity futures rose, and oil prices climbed in early European trading, as investors focused on progress in peace talks between the United States and Iran.
U.S. equity futures rose, and oil prices climbed in early European trading, as investors focused on progress in peace talks between the United States and Iran.
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Japan's trading houses are more upbeat on their earnings, as stronger commodity prices and a weaker yen offset the expected impact of the Iran war.
Japan's trading houses are more upbeat on their earnings, as stronger commodity prices and a weaker yen offset the expected impact of the Iran war.
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Iran
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