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Forecasting the market
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CFTC sues Minnesota over its blanket ban on prediction markets
Svmuu reported that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice have filed a lawsuit against the state of Minnesota and Governor Tim Walz, opposing the state's n
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Polymarket partners with Nasdaq to launch prediction markets for private companies, allowing users to trade based on valuations, IPO timelines, and secondary market valuations
Svmuu: Polymarket has partnered with Nasdaq to launch a prediction market for unlisted companies, allowing users to trade based on valuations, IPO timelines, and secondary market valuations.
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Kalshi and Polymarket still allow local users to register and trade despite India's ban
Svmuu Despite warnings and related bans issued by the Indian government, prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket still allow Indian users to register and trade. According to reports, India's
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Polymarket probability of "Hyperliquid reaching $52 in May" drops to 19%, down 22% in 24H
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Hyperliquid reaching $52 in May" on Polymarket has dropped to 19%, down 22% in 24H. If within May (from 00:00 on the 1st to 23:59
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $290 million yesterday, with none of the twelve ETFs recording net inflows; 2. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $65.6497 million yesterday,
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MSX has opened subscriptions for the second phase of Pre-IPO, including Anthropic and Polymarket
Svmuu News, RWA trading platform MSX Maitong has opened subscriptions for the second phase of Pre-IPO projects. This phase's projects include AI company Anthropic and prediction market platform Polyma
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Barclays: Prediction markets are threatening other speculative investment instruments, and Gen Z is enthusiastic about gambling-style investing
Svmuu reported that Barclays analysts pointed out that prediction markets are threatening other speculative investment tools and have already become a formidable rival to leveraged ETPs. Data shows th
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Jito to Launch Consumer-Facing Trading Application JTX, Moving from Solana Infrastructure to the Front End
Svmuu reports that Lucas Bruder, co-founder and CEO of Jito Labs, stated the crypto market is entering a "new phase": more and more on-chain users no longer consider themselves "crypto traders," but r
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Gemini shares rose over 25% pre-market after securing $100 million in funding, but still posted a net loss of $109 million in Q1
Svmuu reported that Gemini, the crypto exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, saw its stock price surge over 25% in pre-market trading after releasing its Q1 2026 financial results. The report show
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Interactive Brokers Launches Unified Prediction Market Trading Service
Svmuureports that brokerage giant Interactive Brokers has announced the launch of a unified prediction market trading service, integrating Kalshi, CME Group, and ForecastEx. This allows users to trade
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MSX to Launch Pre-IPO Phase II on May 16, Opening Subscriptions for Anthropic and Polymarket
Svmuu reported that RWA trading platform MSX has announced that the second phase of its Pre-IPO segment is expected to officially open for subscription on May 16, 2026. The targets listed in this phas
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. U.S. President Donald Trump concluded his visit to China; 2. Market analysis: Asian market performance was soft, with profit-taking being the main reason; 3. The United States has rejected Iran's w
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Kalshi's weekly notional trading volume exceeds $4.1 billion, approximately 2.13 times that of Polymarket
According to Predictefy data, from May 8 to May 15, Kalshi's weekly notional trading volume reached $4.134 billion, ranking first among prediction markets, approximately 2.13 times the trading volume
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Polymarket Becomes Exclusive Prediction Market Partner for Serie A
SvmuuNews: Polymarket announced on platform X that it has become the exclusive prediction market partner for Serie A, with real-time probabilities set to be integrated into the football league.
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Kalshi Partners with Interactive Brokers to Integrate Prediction Markets
SvmuuNews: Prediction market platform Kalshi has announced a partnership with Interactive Brokers. According to the terms of the collaboration, Interactive Brokers has integrated Kalshi's prediction m
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《CLARITY Act》Reaches Senate Full Floor Vote Stage, Requires Support from at Least 7 Democratic Senators
Svmuureports that the CLARITY Act passed the U.S. Senate Banking Committee review today and will now proceed to a full floor vote in the Senate. According to Mars Finance, the market is currently opti
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Gemini's Q1 revenue increased by 42%, with after-hours stock price surging up to 30%
Svmuu reported that crypto exchange Gemini has released its first-quarter financial results, with revenue reaching $50.3 million, a 42% increase from $35.3 million in the same period last year. This d
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Polymarket's monthly trading volume declined month-over-month for the first time since last August, falling to $10.2 billion in April
Svmuu reported that Polymarket's monthly trading volume in April fell approximately 8.9% to $10.2 billion, marking its first month-over-month decline since August last year. In comparison, rival Kalsh
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0G Launches AI Alliance Carnival Campaign with Participation from Multiple AI Ecosystem Projects
Svmuu reported that the 0G Chinese community has officially announced the launch of the "0G AI Alliance Carnival" campaign, collaborating with multiple AI ecosystem projects to drive the expansion of
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Cathie Wood: ARK Participated in Kalshi's Latest Funding Round
Svmuu reported that Cathie Wood posted on X platform, stating that ARK participated in Kalshi's latest funding round, believing that prediction markets are emerging as a new layer of financial infrast
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CFTC backs Kalshi in appeal, asserting federal jurisdiction over prediction market oversight
Svmuu reported that the U.S. CFTC has filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, supporting Kalshi in its appeal against Ohio and arguing that prediction markets shoul
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Benchmark Maintains Coinbase 'Buy' Rating, Raises Target Price to $270
Svmuureports that despite Coinbase's weak first-quarter performance, Benchmark has maintained its 'Buy' rating on the stock and raised its price target from $260 to $270. Coinbase reported a net loss
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CFTC backs Kalshi against Ohio, as prediction market jurisdiction dispute continues to escalate
SvmuuThe U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, supporting prediction market platform Kalshi and pushing back against a la
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Trump Media & Technology Group Scales Back Prediction Market Plans, "Truth Predict" May Shift from Trading Platform to Marketing Partnership Model
Svmuu reports that Trump Media & Technology Group is significantly adjusting its strategy for the prediction market product "Truth Predict." The project, originally planned to launch full trading func
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Bernstein forecasts Bitcoin to reclaim $125K by late 2026, reaching $300K in 2029
Bernstein expects Bitcoin to reclaim $125,000 by late 2026 before reaching $300,000 in 2029 under its base case, with a bull case of $500,000.
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Kalshi traders see rising odds for Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal, with a 68% chance before Jan. 1, 2028, following Iran's claim of a revenue-sharing deal with Oman.
Kalshi traders see rising odds for Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal, with a 68% chance before Jan. 1, 2028, following Iran's claim of a revenue-sharing deal with Oman. Specifically, the od
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Ahead of NVIDIA's earnings report, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/nvidia-earnings-preview-what-expect-q4-2024-2024-02-20/">prediction market</a> traders are betting on the company to beat earnings expectations, with a 97% probability of success.
Traders on the online prediction market Polymarket believe there’s a 97% chance NVIDIA will beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations when it reports earnings after market clos
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
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Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
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Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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Gemini Exchange: The Path to Regulatory Compliance and Strategic Transformation
Founded in 2014 by the Winklevoss twins, the Gemini exchange is known for its strict regulatory compliance, holding a NYDFS trust charter and CFTC derivatives license. In 2025, Gemini filed for an IPO, and in 2026, it announced its "Gemini 2.0" strategy, shifting its focus to prediction markets and event contracts, while also adjusting its international market presence. Despite facing the Gemini Earn controversy and SEC charges, customer compensation has been completed. The platform is renowned for its security, but users have expressed negative feedback regarding its customer service and account issues.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Forecasting the market
24H Trending
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1
Japan plans to explore a blockchain-based 24/7 government bond and stock settlement system, aiming to finalize development plans by early 2027.
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Bybit Lists MSTUUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract With Up to 25x Leverage
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Bybit launches INFQUSDT TradFi Perpetual Contract, with up to 25x leverage
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Iranian Rial Hits New All-Time Low of 2 Million Per US Dollar, Driving Up Prices for Essentials by Over 70%
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AI is becoming a new gateway to retail, with 38% of surveyed European consumers using it for product research, McKinsey 2026 research finds
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Treasuries Edge Lower Before PCE Data With Fed Risks in Focus
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Trump administration demands Fed Governor Lisa Cook respond by Wednesday to removal case, citing a mortgage document misstatement as cause
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U.S. Dollar Jumps Against Canadian Dollar Amid Trade Spat
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Ethereum (ETH) Price Today and USD Trend Analysis
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Bernstein Expects Bitcoin to Reach $150,000 by Mid-2027 and $300,000 at the 2029 Cycle Peak, While Lowering Price Target for Bitcoin-Holding Company Strategy to $350
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