Faster global financial news!
prediction market
-
Polymarket: Probability of Mbappé Winning 2026 World Cup Golden Boot Stands at 18%, Ranking First
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of Mbappé winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot is currently reported at 18%, ranking first. The probability of Kane w
-
Hyperliquid SpaceX market long-to-short ratio reaches 85:15, with implied valuation of approximately $2.15 trillion
Svmuu reported that according to Hyperliquid market data disclosed by MLM, as the SpaceX IPO approaches, the SpaceX prediction market on Hyperliquid is currently quoted at approximately $166/share, co
-
Polymarket: Probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 30" rises to 64%, a 24H increase of 52%
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 30" has risen to 64%, a 24H increase of 52%; additionally, the probabili
-
Binance Wallet Launches Prediction Market API
Svmuu News According to an official announcement, Binance Wallet has officially launched a prediction market API. Eligible users can now programmatically access and trade prediction markets via the AP
-
Gate Predictions Market Launches World Cup Zone, with Match Calendar and Reminder Features Now Available
SvmuuNews Gate Predictions Market has officially launched a World Cup zone. Centered around the globally anticipated World Cup, it integrates three core sections: match schedule, standings, and event
-
A smart money address purchased $200,000 worth of "The US and Iran will formally sign a permanent peace agreement before June 8, 2026"
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "By what date will the US and Iran formally sign a permanent peace agreement" prediction event, a smart money address (0x59c49a09e5335430833b96
-
MGBX Event Contract Bonus: Get 50% of Your First Event Contract Trading Loss Covered
Svmuureports that the MGBX platform will launch the "First Event Contract Loss Compensation Campaign" from June 8 to June 14, 2026 (SGT), targeting users trading event contracts for the first time. Du
-
Polymarket launches "Zcash Orchard Privacy Pool Confirmed Vulnerable Exploit"
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event titled "Was Zcash's Orchard privacy pool confirmed to have been exploited?" On June 4, Zcash's core development team rev
-
Polymarket's total historical fee revenue has exceeded $83 million, with cumulative profits reaching approximately $54.43 million
According to Defillama data, Polymarket's total historical fee revenue has exceeded $83 million, and after deducting liquidity subsidy expenditures, its cumulative profits amount to approximately $54.
-
Svmuu Morning Brief
1. BTC to $10,000? DWF Co-founder Suggests BitMine and Strategy Could Trigger the Biggest Market Crash in Crypto History; 2. Tom Lee: Cryptocurrency is the Only Path to Tokenization and is Crucial in
-
DRW, Wintermute, and IMC Form Prediction Market Trading Teams, Deploying on Polymarket and Kalshi
Svmuureports that as prediction market trading volume grows, institutional capital is entering this sector. Quantitative trading firms such as DRW, Wintermute, and IMC are forming dedicated prediction
-
Polymarket "Probability of Trump Attending 2026 NBA Finals Live" Rises to 90%, Up 29% in a Week
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Trump attending the 2026 NBA Finals live" on Polymarket has risen to 90%, a 29% increase in a week. Today, the New York Knicks defeated the
-
Polymarket: "Zcash will hit $100 in 2026" probability rises to 53%, up 36% in 24H
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Zcash will hit $100 in 2026" on Polymarket has risen to 53%, a 24-hour increase of 36%. Market rules: If between 17:35 on November
-
predict.fun: "Spurs Win 2026 NBA Championship" probability plummets to 19%, down 28% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the predict.fun "2026 NBA Champion" prediction event, the Spurs' championship probability briefly plummeted to 19%, down 28% in 24 hours; the Knicks' champi
-
A smart money address purchased $150,000 worth of Spurs over Knicks for NBA Finals Game 2
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Finals G2 Spurs vs. Knicks" prediction event, a smart money address (0x93abbc022ce98d6f45d4444b594791cc4b7a9723), which earned over $1.6 million
-
Polymarket Exposed for Paying Influencers at Least $350,000 to Promote Its Prediction Market, with Some Content Not Disclosing Commercial Partnerships
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Polymarket's Chief Marketing Officer, Matthew Modabber, was reportedly found to have paid content creators at least $350,000 through his personal PayPal account
-
With just one week until the 2026 World Cup kicks off, Predict.fun shows Spain and France as co-favorites to win, with England and Portugal right behind.
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that in the Predict.fun "2026 World Cup Winner" prediction market, Spain and France are tied for the top spot with a 17% probability each. England ranks seco
-
South Korean police are investigating local Polymarket users for illegal gambling
Svmuu News: South Korean police are investigating local users of the prediction market platform Polymarket on suspicion of illegal gambling. Polymarket is classified as private gambling in South Korea
-
New address purchases $7,500 on Biden's son becoming 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, probability surges 3x
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new address on Polymarket bought $7,500 on Hunter Biden becoming the 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, with an average purchase price of 0.7¢. Possibly
-
Polymarket “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 15” probability drops to 21%, 24H decline of 45%
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 15” has dropped to 21%, a 24H decline of 45%. In addition, the probability of “GPT 5.6 will be re
-
CME CEO: Very Concerned About US-Regulated Crypto Perpetual Futures
Svmuu reported that Terry Duffy, CEO of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, said he is very concerned about the perpetual futures contracts recently approved by US regulators. Terry Duffy stated th
-
Nova Markets completes new funding round, with participation from Wintermute Ventures and others
Svmuu reported that Nova Markets has announced the completion of a new funding round, with participation from Wintermute Ventures, Robot Ventures, Big Brain VC, Cumberland, GSR, Greenfield Capital, Ha
-
Polymarket "Trump Attending 2026 NBA Finals Live" Probability Rises to 86%, Up 22% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Trump attending the 2026 NBA Finals live" on Polymarket has risen to 86%, up 22% in 24 hours. Today, the New York Knicks defeated the San A
-
Nasdaq-listed NewGenIVF Invests an Additional $4 Million in K25.ai
Svmuu reports that Nasdaq-listed company NewGenIVF Group Limited has announced an additional $4 million in strategic funding for AI-native live streaming prediction platform K25.ai. Combined with its
-
Underdog sues Connecticut to stop sports prediction market crackdown
The lawsuit follows cease-and-desist orders the state issued to prediction market platforms, including Underdog, Polymarket, and Coinbase.
-
WhaleInsider: Prediction market platform Kalshi broke its all-time weekly volume record and captured its largest-ever share of the industry last week
WhaleInsider: Prediction market platform Kalshi broke its all-time weekly volume record and captured its largest-ever share of the industry last week
-
Bitcoin fell 1.7% to $76,862 on Tuesday, as the odds of the Crypto Transparency Act passing this year on Polymarket halved.
Bitcoin fell 1.7% to $76,862 on Tuesday, giving back gains from late Monday after the odds of the "Crypto Transparency Act" passing this year on Polymarket halved.
-
Tema Rolls 'DICE' On SpaceX, Prediction Markets
Tema Rolls 'DICE' On SpaceX, Prediction Markets
-
Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
-
Prediction market traders expect U.S. gas prices to hit new highs for the year, with a 71% chance of surpassing $4.60/gallon
Traders on Kalshi also place 57% odds that prices will top $4.80 a gallon, and just over a 40% chance that they cross $5.00. This comes as U.S. oil prices are again above $100 per barrel, driven by es
-
Prediction Market Kalshi Plans to Offer U.S. Single-Stock Perpetual Futures and Agriculture Commodities Trading
Kalshi, a prediction market, plans to allow customers to trade single-stock perpetual futures contracts in the U.S., including those linked to major U.S. stocks like Tesla and Nvidia. The company is a
-
Wall Street strategist Tom Lee predicts Ethereum will reach $6,000 before December, but Yahoo Finance analysis suggests his prediction's conditions are difficult to achieve.
Tom Lee believes Ethereum reaching $6,000 requires two conditions: Bitcoin's price rising to $150,000 and the Ethereum to Bitcoin ratio increasing from 0.03 to 0.04. He points out that the passage of
-
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong retweeted that the "Parlay Bets" feature on Coinbase Predict is now live for NFL Week 1.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong retweeted that the "Parlay Bets" feature on Coinbase Predict is now live for NFL Week 1.
-
Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, making it harder for traders to profit, experts say
Experts note that the institutionalization of prediction markets is eroding the edge of skilled traders. According to an academic paper analyzing $13.76 billion in Polymarket trades, roughly 27% of do
-
Robinhood's Options Trading Business Surpasses Crypto in Revenue, Becoming a Key Growth Driver
Robinhood's event contracts (prediction market) business saw 4.7 billion trades in August, a year-over-year increase of approximately 15 times. Revenue from this business surged over 10 times to $156
-
A Cluster of Polymarket Accounts Won ~$22,000 on Companies Audited by KPMG, Per Bubblemaps Analysis
A mysterious Polymarket user earned approximately $22,000 through a series of nearly perfect bets on the quarterly earnings of 18 companies audited by KPMG, including Wells Fargo, Home Depot, and Door
-
EU Securities Regulator ESMA Warns: Growing Crypto Connections Could Amplify Risks to Traditional Finance
ESMA points out that the growing links between cryptocurrencies and traditional finance in areas such as tokenized stocks, DeFi exploits, and prediction markets could pose risks to the broader financi
-
DraftKings CEO Jason Robins says prediction markets present a huge opportunity for the business
DraftKings CEO Jason Robins says prediction markets present a huge opportunity for the business
-
Coinbase rebrands Base App to Coinbase Wallet, a "social experiment" that lasted just over a year.
The Block reported that Coinbase's move was due to its Base App failing to meet expectations as a "social experiment." The rebranded Coinbase Wallet now supports over 10 networks, including Robinhood
-
Polymarket, a crypto prediction market, has appointed Warren Jenson, former Amazon CFO, as its first Chief Financial Officer.
Polymarket announced the appointment of veteran executive Warren Jenson as its first Chief Financial Officer. Jenson previously served as CFO at Amazon and currently sits on the boards of companies su
-
Adobe reports Q3 earnings after market close, with prediction markets betting on CEO Narayen's key phrases
Polymarket traders give Adobe roughly a 92% chance of beating the market's $6.08 non-GAAP EPS benchmark. On Kalshi, traders are betting on specific words CEO Shantanu Narayen and his team will say on
-
Prediction market company Kalshi launches gold and silver perpetual contracts after CFTC approval.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) this week approved prediction market company Kalshi to list perpetual contracts linked to precious metals gold and silver, with the new market goin
-
Citadel Securities urges the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to take over the regulation of prediction market contracts linked to publicly traded companies.
Citadel Securities urges the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to take over the regulation of prediction market contracts linked to publicly traded companies.
-
Kalshi election data goes live on DoubleZero ahead of U.S. midterms
The expansion gives institutional and automated traders access to full-depth political prediction-market order books.
-
Coinbase Adopts ION's Real-Time Trading Tech to Bolster Kalshi Prediction Market Infrastructure
The XTP for Event Contracts solution will enable real-time execution and processing, automated 24/7 operations, and the onboarding of tens of thousands of accounts per day for its event-contract clear
-
Robinhood to Add Crypto.com's Yes-or-No Prediction Contracts and Take Minority Stakes in Crypto.com and its Prediction-Markets Business
Robinhood to Add Crypto.com's Yes-or-No Prediction Contracts and Take Minority Stakes in Crypto.com and its Prediction-Markets Business
-
Coinbase Reports Decline in Futures and Prediction Market Trading Performance
Coinbase Reports Decline in Futures and Prediction Market Trading Performance
-
UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
-
GUA Token: A Review of Price Volatility, Security Incidents, and Short Squeezes in an AI Prediction Market Project
GUA is the native token of SUPERFORTUNE, an AI-powered InfoFi platform that combines blockchain analytics with Eastern metaphysics for market predictions. In May 2026, the GUA token experienced a significant price surge, reaching an all-time high of $1.68, partly due to a short squeeze. However, the project subsequently suffered a major security incident (the airdrop contract was stolen), leading to a sharp price correction. It has since fallen close to its initial offering price, with low market liquidity.
-
Reviewing the World Cup's Impact on Crypto: Bitcoin's Historical Performance and 2026 prediction market Highlights
The impact of the World Cup on the cryptocurrency market has always been a focal point of industry attention. Historical data shows that during the past three World Cups, Bitcoin prices generally performed weakly, but this often coincided with broader market bear trends and major industry events (such as the FTX collapse). However, in the long run, Bitcoin's price at the start of each World Cup has been significantly higher than the previous one. Notably, during the 2026 World Cup, cryptocurrency prediction markets have shown unprecedented activity, with a surge in trading volume, becoming a major highlight of the event and attracting a large number of user participations.
-
Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
-
Gemini Exchange: The Path to Regulatory Compliance and Strategic Transformation
Founded in 2014 by the Winklevoss twins, the Gemini exchange is known for its strict regulatory compliance, holding a NYDFS trust charter and CFTC derivatives license. In 2025, Gemini filed for an IPO, and in 2026, it announced its "Gemini 2.0" strategy, shifting its focus to prediction markets and event contracts, while also adjusting its international market presence. Despite facing the Gemini Earn controversy and SEC charges, customer compensation has been completed. The platform is renowned for its security, but users have expressed negative feedback regarding its customer service and account issues.
-
SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
-
BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
-
DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
-
POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
-
Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
-
Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
-
THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
-
How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
-
What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
-
Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
prediction market
24H Trending
-
1
Can a Police Report Be Filed After Bitcoin Theft? Analysis of Individual Recovery Possibilities
-
2
DANA Coin: Ardana Project Token with Halted Development, Current Status and Investment Value Analysis
-
3
Ethereum (ETH) Buying Guide: Mainstream Exchanges and Acquisition Methods Explained
-
4
SHANG Token: Shanghai Inu Analysis and Future Development Outlook
-
5
CRI (Crypto International) Project Analysis and Market Status
-
6
US DOJ charges two Robinhood engineers with front-running crypto listings on Hyperliquid, allegedly profiting over $50,000 each
-
7
THALES Token: The Governance Token of Thales Protocol and Its Market Status
-
8
CINEMA Token Analysis: An Overview of Absolute Cinema and CinemaKoin Projects and Investment Considerations
-
9
Major Cryptocurrency Trading Platforms: An Overview of Apple App and PC Clients
-
10
SK hynix in talks with Intel over potential US memory production agreement
Markets Today
Recommended Reading
Hot Topics
Svmuu focuses on blockchain industry trends and cutting-edge cryptocurrency news, while also covering real-time market data and in-depth analysis of the Hong Kong, U.S., and foreign exchange markets. Here, you can not only access professional 24/7 news updates and accurate market data, but also utilize practical investment tools to help you capitalize on opportunities in both digital assets and traditional financial markets. Whether you are a blockchain enthusiast or an investor in Hong Kong, U.S., or foreign exchange markets, we provide efficient and timely information services to empower your investment decisions.
- User Agreement
- Privacy Policy
- Contact Us
- Business Partnerships
- Disclaimer
- Content Statement
- About Us
- Sitemap
Coming Soon!
