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Forecasting the market
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World Cup Schedule: South Africa vs. Canada kicks off in six hours; $2.12 million profit from a $140,000 bet on Canada to win
PPP highlights the upcoming schedule: South Africa vs. Canada is set to begin in six hours. Details: A $2.12 million profit account placed a $140,000 bet on Canada to win; A new account, which had los
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ForeGate, in collaboration with Owen, OKX, and others, released an in-tournament research report, demonstrating significant performance in predicting model responses to match results, calibrating points, and assessing potential matchups.
Svmuu News: According to official reports, the ForeGate Supercomputing Database, in collaboration with Michael Owen, OKX, WEEX, and OnebullEX, has officially released the “ForeGate 2026 World Cup Winn
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predict.fun's $840,000 World Cup Group Stage Promotion Rewards Are Now Available for Claiming
Svmuu News: According to an official announcement from predict.fun, rewards for the World Cup group stage event are now available for redemption, with this round’s prize pool totaling $840,000. The pl
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predict.fun: The probability that “Messi will win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” has risen to 53%, up 11% in the last 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” on predict.fun has now risen to 53%, up 11% over the past 24 hours, placing him in
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Coinbase CEO Responds to Criticism of App Push Notifications: Adults Have the Freedom to Manage Their Own Money, While Acknowledging the Need to Strengthen Disclosure and User Protection
Svmuu News: Zcash founder Zooko posted on X, stating that apps such as Binance and Coinbase have begun pushing gambling-style features—including sports betting and Bitcoin price predictions—to young,
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Weekly profit of $860,000; total purchase amount of $570,000; Croatia wins and Ghana does not win
According to PPP prediction market data, an address that made $860,000 in profits over the past week placed a total of $570,000 on bets that Croatia would win and Ghana would not win—$310,000 on Croat
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CZ: The crypto market may weaken in 2026 due to a combination of factors, including capital diversion to AI and cyclical convergence.
Svmuu News: In an interview, CZ stated that the significant decline in the crypto market during the first half of 2026 cannot be attributed to a single factor; the overall correction of approximately
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The top World Cup contrarian tipster lost yet again; some idiot who predicted Cape Verde would beat Saudi Arabia lost another $80,000.
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that a certain top-tier World Cup contrarian betting address has once again made an incorrect prediction. The address predicted that Cape Verde would
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A "smart money" investor bet $106,000 that France would win the World Cup
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in Polymarket’s “2026 World Cup Winner” prediction event, the probability of winning is 48% Smart money (address: 0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226ecc
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U.S. Senator Urges CFTC to Investigate Polymarket for Fraudulent Marketing
Svmuu News: On Thursday, Republican Senator John Curtis and Democratic Senator Adam Schiff sent a letter to Mike Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, urging the agency to
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A win secures qualification; predict.fun currently puts the probability of “Belgium defeating New Zealand” at 82%.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the predict.fun prediction event for “World Cup Group G, Matchday 3: Belgium vs. New Zealand,” the probability of a Belgium victory is currently r
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As of June 25, monthly stock trading volume on the Robinhood platform has significantly surpassed its previous record.
Svmuu News: Robinhood has released a condensed version of its monthly operating data for June, covering the period from June 1 to June 25. Stock trading volume reached $343 billion, breaking the previ
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The CFTC has launched an investigation into Polymarket, with multiple parties accusing it of using social media for misleading advertising
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently launched an investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, and the investigation is currently ongoing. Previous
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Zuckerberg: Instructs Meta to Explore Partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi
Svmuu News: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has urged his team to explore partnerships with prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi. Meanwhile, Meta is developing a prediction market-style app called Arena.
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Several U.S. lawmakers have called for an investigation into Polymarket over allegations of misleading advertising
Svmuu News: Several U.S. lawmakers have called for an investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, citing allegations that its advertising may contain misleading content. According to
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Coinbase CLO: Former U.S. Deputy Attorney General Submits “Masterpiece-Level” Supporting Documents in the Kalshi Case
Svmuu News Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal posted that Prelogar, a former U.S. Deputy Attorney General representing the Coalition for Prediction Markets, has filed an amicus curiae brief in s
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Polymarket's annualized revenue has surpassed $1 billion, and its daily trading volume has risen to $200 million
Svmuu News: According to market reports, the prediction market platform Polymarket has surpassed $1 billion in annualized revenue, with daily trading volume surging from $50 million to $200 million. (
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $178,000 bet that France will defeat Norway in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group I, Matchday 3: France vs. Norway,” smart money generated profits exceeding $14.
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"Smart Money" Bets on the World Cup: U.S. Fails to Beat Turkey, Profits Exceed $1.3 Million
According to the PPP prediction market tool, the result of the prediction event on Polymarket for the “World Cup Group D Final Match: USA vs. Turkey,” which began at 10:00 a.m. this morning, has been
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Battle for Honor: predict.fun currently puts the probability of “Turkey defeating the U.S.” at 29%
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group D: Turkey vs. USA” prediction event on predict.fun, Turkey’s probability of winning is currently reported at 28%; the
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A win secures qualification; predict.fun currently puts the probability of “Paraguay defeating Australia” at 37%.
According to PPP prediction market data, in the “Paraguay vs. Australia in Group D of the World Cup” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of a Paraguay victory is currently reported at 37%
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a16z crypto: Prediction market trading volume has set new records for three consecutive weeks, with weekly trading volume rising to $14.4 billion
Svmuu News: Data released by a16z crypto shows that trading volume in prediction markets has hit a record high for the third consecutive week. Last week, total market trading volume reached $14.4 bill
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $282,000 bet that Germany would not defeat Ecuador in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for “Germany vs. Ecuador in Matchday 3 of Group E of the 2026 World Cup,” smart money generated profits exceeding
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Kalshi is in talks to raise funding at a $40 billion valuation
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Kalshi is in talks to raise a new round of funding at a valuation of approximately $40 billion, with the deal potentially closing as early as the third quarter.
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
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Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
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Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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