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Forecasting the market
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predict.fun: The probability that “Messi will win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” has risen to 59%, up 25% in 24 hours
According to PPP prediction market data, the probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” on predict.fun has risen to 59%, overtaking Mbappé to take first place—a 25% increase over th
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The Czech Republic has classified Polymarket as an unauthorized online game and has ordered ISPs to block access to it within 15 days.
Svmuu News: On July 13, the Czech Ministry of Finance added Polymarket to its list of unauthorized online gaming platforms, designating it as an unlicensed gambling platform. Internet service provider
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CFTC Blocks Kalshi from Canceling Prediction Market Trades as Ordered by a Michigan Court
Svmuu News: Kalshi had originally planned to cancel prediction market transactions made by Michigan customers in accordance with a court order, but the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
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TxFlow L1 Launches Probly, a Prediction Market App Covering Over 7,000 Events
Svmuu News: TxFlow L1 has announced the launch of its second channel, Probly, which is the first prediction market application developed based on the TxFlow Improvement Protocol 3 (TIP3).At launch, Pr
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OpenAI's ChatGPT has integrated data from Kalshi's World Cup prediction market
Svmuu News: OpenAI’s ChatGPT has begun displaying World Cup match prediction data provided by the prediction market platform Kalshi in its search results. When users search for FIFA World Cup match in
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Kalshi Launches a Forward Tool for Pricing the Cost of AI Computing Power
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Kalshi has announced the launch of a forward curve tool for pricing the cost of AI computing power. Through weekly and monthly computing power cost event contrac
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France vs. Spain—the match kicks off in five hours!
PPP Highlights Upcoming Matches: · France vs. Spain, July 15 at 03:00 (UTC+8). The latest schedule is updated in real time; access popular matches with a single click and quickly track the current mov
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A "smart money" investor has placed a $487,000 bet that France will defeat Spain in the World Cup semifinals.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” a “smart money” account (address: 0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6b
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Prediction market trading volume exceeded $50 billion during the World Cup, with Kalshi attracting a large number of female users and first-time bettors
Svmuu News: During the 2026 World Cup, prediction market platforms Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood’s Rothera collectively set a record for monthly trading volume, exceeding $50 billion. Kalshi has a
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Profits Exceed $1.5 Million; Smart Money Buys In for $190,000; France Advances to the Semifinals
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” a “smart money” player (Address: 0x83720820a8aa6c3f20ad71850e7a1a17d16c5223
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Mbappé vs. Yamal: predict.fun currently puts the probability of “France defeating Spain” at 42%
According to PPP prediction market tools, in the “World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of a France victory is currently reported at 42%; the probabil
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Gondor will launch Polymarket margin accounts, allowing users to borrow against their entire portfolio of prediction market positions.
Svmuu News: Gondor, a DeFi project built on Polymarket, has announced the launch of Gondor v1, which is scheduled to go live in September of this year. The product will allow users to borrow against t
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Gondor v1 will allow users to borrow and leverage their entire Polymarket portfolio
Svmuu News: Gondor, a Polymarket-based DeFi startup, has announced the launch of Gondor v1, describing it as Polymarket’s first margin account product. This version is expected to go live in September
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Kalshi has launched Kalshi Pro, a professional trading terminal that supports multi-market trading and dedicated trading tools for perpetual contracts.
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Kalshi has officially launched the beta version of its professional trading terminal, Kalshi Pro. The product is designed for high-frequency and professional eve
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OKX Onchain Outcomes Integrates with the XTruth Oracle to Continuously Optimize Its On-Chain Settlement Mechanism
Svmuu News: According to official reports, OKX Onchain Outcomes has officially integrated with the XTruth oracle. By combining XTruth’s optimistic oracle architecture with its open dispute arbitration
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Smart Money Bets $390,000 on a French Win in Regular Time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup semifinal prediction event for France vs. Spain, the address RJW1—which had a total profit of $1.7 million—purchased $390,0
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predict.fun: England's odds of winning the World Cup have risen to 22%, surpassing Spain to rank second
According to PPP prediction market data, in the “2026 World Cup Champion” prediction event on predict.fun, England’s probability of winning has risen to 22%, moving it past Spain into second place. Fr
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Some idiot bet $550,000 on France advancing to the World Cup final
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” total losses exceeded $7.4 million. The account “mooseborzoi” (address
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Gate Prediction Market Launches Real-Time Price Movement Alerts to Help Users Efficiently Track Capital Flows
Svmuu News: The Gate Prediction Market has officially launched a real-time market anomaly alert feature. By monitoring large-volume buy and sell transactions in real time, this feature helps users qui
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Event “Pick the Champion” is now live; participants who correctly predict the champion will receive a 500-point airdrop in the next round.
Svmuu News: According to official reports, OKX’s World Cup prediction event has launched the “Pick the Champion” feature. Users can select the eventual champion for free from among the four semifinali
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Prediction markets are projected to reach an average funding round size of $118 million by 2026, ranking first in the crypto industry.
Svmuu News: Statistics show that in 2026, the sector with the highest average funding amount per round in the crypto industry was prediction markets, with an average of $118 million per round. Exchang
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BLG failed to win the League of Legends MSI Mid-Season Invitational championship, and the Polymarket bet on whether “BLG would achieve the ‘Golden Path’ (Grand Slam)” settled as “No.”
According to data from the PPP prediction market tool, the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship has officially concluded. In the final, BLG suffered a narrow 2–3 loss to
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket's revenue exceeded $11 million this week, setting a new record high
Svmuu reports that Polymarket's revenue this week has exceeded $11 million, setting a new record, with the protocol's cumulative revenue now surpassing $97 million.
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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Kalshi becomes the first prediction market to stream full order books via DoubleZero Edge.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced that it has become the first prediction market to distribute real-time, full order book data through its DoubleZero Edge service. This move will allow insti
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FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi one day after filing
The flight tracker previously claimed that Kalshi improperly used its data and trademark to run prediction markets on flight cancellations.
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CFTC orders prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State after the state filed a lawsuit seeking to block its services
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that it has used its "emergency powers" to order prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State. This follows
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US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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