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Robinhood Responds to Controversy Over "Donald Trump" Accounts: Not Intended to Encourage Speculation, but to Expand Financial Inclusion
Svmuu News: Critics argue that Robinhood’s support for “Donald Trump” accounts may encourage young and inexperienced investors to engage in gambling-like trading. Especially as new trading products—su
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France to Block Polymarket Website; 578,800 Visits Recorded Within the Country in June
Svmuu News: On July 17, the French regulatory authority ANJ announced that the Polymarket website would be blocked within France, following the agency’s November 2024 ban on financial transactions on
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France Blocks Access to the Polymarket Website
Svmuu News: The French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) announced on July 17 that it will block users in France from accessing the prediction market platform Polymarket, following a previous ban on t
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Some idiot bet $297,000 that Spain will beat Argentina in the World Cup final.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Final: Spain vs. Argentina,” over $1.386 million in “dumb money” was lost (0x2e25b222e2080c377fc1fb2b9
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Some idiot bet $100,000 on the League of Legends EWC quarterfinals, where T1 defeated HLE.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “League of Legends EWC Quarterfinals: T1 vs. HLE,” the account “suntori” (0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Contest has launched its final-stage standalone prize pool, with a total value of approximately 150,000 U
Svmuu News: According to official reports, the OKX World Cup Prediction Contest has launched separate prize pools for the third-place match and the final. A separate prize pool has been established fo
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Probability of the CLARITY Act Being Signed This Year on Polymarket Rises to 35%
Svmuu News: On July 17, Polymarket traders raised the probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law this year to 35%, rebounding from the low of 24% reached on July 13. The probability for
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Gate Prediction Market Highlights the 2026 World Cup Third-Place Match Between France and England and the Final Between Spain and Argentina
Svmuu News: The 2026 World Cup is heading into its final showdown, and the Gate prediction market is closely tracking the closing matches. France and England will kick off the third-place match on Jul
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1win Markets Adds Crypto Prediction Markets for HYPE, XRP, DOGE, and Others
Svmuu News: The crypto entertainment platform 1win has expanded its Markets product line with a new series of cryptocurrency prediction markets covering topics related to digital assets such as HYPE,
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A "smart money" investor has purchased over $60,000 worth of England shares, predicting the team will finish third in the 2026 World Cup.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Third-Place Match: France vs. England,” “smart money” that generated over $480,000 in profits (0x161
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. The U.S. CFTC is investigating Donald Trump staff members on suspicion of using insider information from a teleprompter to trade on predicted events; 2. Crypto.com has secured a $400 million invest
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Nine U.S. House representatives have introduced a bill requiring online gambling and prediction markets to implement facial age verification
Svmuu News: U.S. Representative Josh Gottheimer and eight co-sponsors have introduced a bipartisan bill requiring online sports betting platforms and prediction markets to verify users’ ages before th
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predict.fun Launches Maker Rebates for Up/Down Markets: Rebate Rates Are Higher Than Polymarket’s, and Rebates Are Credited in Real Time
Svmuu News: The prediction market platform predict.fun has announced that a Maker order rebate mechanism is now available for all Up/Down markets. Users who execute trades via limit orders will receiv
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The U.S. CFTC is investigating staff members suspected of using inside information from a speech at Donald Trump to engage in trading based on predicted events
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating a potential insider trading incident involving the prediction market platform Kalshi. An employee allegedly responsibl
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Bloomberg: Jump Trading's Market Forecasting Team Has Doubled in Size and Plans to Continue Hiring
Svmuu News: High-frequency trading giant Jump Trading Group is ramping up its presence in the prediction markets sector. As major events such as the World Cup have driven prediction market trading vol
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Prediction markets reached a nominal trading volume of $113.8 billion in Q2, setting a new record high
According to Svmuu, CoinGecko’s latest Crypto Industry Report shows that the market’s nominal trading volume is projected to reach $113.8 billion in the second quarter of 2026, setting a new single-qu
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Prediction market platform Pascal raises $9 million in Series A funding, led by USV
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Pascal announced the completion of a $9 million Series A funding round. The company plans to build a next-generation prediction market platform for professional
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ForeGate Launches EWC Esports Club World Cup Special Section
Svmuu News: ForeGate, the next-generation event prediction trading platform globally endorsed by legendary soccer star Michael Owen, has announced the official launch of its EWC (Esports World Cup) th
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predict.fun: The probability that “Messi will win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” has risen sharply to 65%, up 15% in the last 24 hours
According to PPP prediction market data, the probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” on predict.fun has risen sharply to 65%, up 15% over the past 24 hours; Mbappé has dropped to
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In this highly anticipated showdown, predict.fun currently puts the probability of “BLG defeating T1 in the League of Legends EWC” at 51%.
According to PPP’s prediction market tool, the probability of BLG winning in the “League of Legends EWC Group Stage: BLG vs. T1” prediction event on predict.fun is currently reported at 51%. The match
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Polymarket Launches New Market: “When Will the U.S. and Iran Agree to a Two-Week Ceasefire?”
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket has launched a market titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?” The current probability for July 18
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A "smart money" investor has bet over $90,000 that Argentina will not win the 2026 World Cup
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “Will Argentina Win the 2026 World Cup?”, smart money with a win probability exceeding 72% (0x701187150980c2421bc3c87a
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Polymarket’s probability estimates for “Deng Yu, Wang Hong, John Parden, and Jacob Chimmelman winning the Fields Medal” have all risen to over 98%.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probabilities of the following four events on Polymarket—“Deng Yu will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “Wang Hong will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “ Jo
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Bitcoin After breaking through the $64,000 resistance level, Myriad traders are betting it will first drop to $55,000
Svmuu News Bitcoin broke through the $64,000 resistance level on Tuesday, reaching an intraday high of $65,511 before closing at $64,858, down 0.18% for the day.Charts show that the downtrend channel
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Bernstein forecasts Bitcoin to reclaim $125K by late 2026, reaching $300K in 2029
Bernstein expects Bitcoin to reclaim $125,000 by late 2026 before reaching $300,000 in 2029 under its base case, with a bull case of $500,000.
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Kalshi traders see rising odds for Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal, with a 68% chance before Jan. 1, 2028, following Iran's claim of a revenue-sharing deal with Oman.
Kalshi traders see rising odds for Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal, with a 68% chance before Jan. 1, 2028, following Iran's claim of a revenue-sharing deal with Oman. Specifically, the od
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Ahead of NVIDIA's earnings report, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/nvidia-earnings-preview-what-expect-q4-2024-2024-02-20/">prediction market</a> traders are betting on the company to beat earnings expectations, with a 97% probability of success.
Traders on the online prediction market Polymarket believe there’s a 97% chance NVIDIA will beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations when it reports earnings after market clos
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
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Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
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Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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Gemini Exchange: The Path to Regulatory Compliance and Strategic Transformation
Founded in 2014 by the Winklevoss twins, the Gemini exchange is known for its strict regulatory compliance, holding a NYDFS trust charter and CFTC derivatives license. In 2025, Gemini filed for an IPO, and in 2026, it announced its "Gemini 2.0" strategy, shifting its focus to prediction markets and event contracts, while also adjusting its international market presence. Despite facing the Gemini Earn controversy and SEC charges, customer compensation has been completed. The platform is renowned for its security, but users have expressed negative feedback regarding its customer service and account issues.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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