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Forecasting the market
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Gate Launches the Esports Peak Trading Season—Predict Esports Match Outcomes and Share in 200,000 USDT
Svmuu News: According to official announcements, Gate is launching the “Esports Trading Season” from 4:00 PM on July 20 to 4:00 PM on August 10 (UTC+8), with a total prize pool of 200,000 USDT. During
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On Polymarket, the probability that “the U.S. government will ban open-source AI models in 2026” is currently reported at 16%.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability of “Yes” in the prediction event “Will the U.S. government ban open-source AI models in 2026?” on Polymarket is currently reported at 1
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With a single profit of $1.135 million, the Polymarket account "yamal19" bet on Spain to win the World Cup final
Svmuu News: The Polymarket account "yamal19" made a single profit of $1.135 million by betting on Spain to win the World Cup final against Argentina.
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A $1.23 million loss: gud.hl's bet on Argentina to win the 2026 World Cup failed
Svmuu News: Lookonchain posted on X that gud.hl bet $1.23 million when Argentina’s odds of winning the 2026 World Cup were just 10%. If the bet had been successful, the $1.23 million would have turned
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Making $1.35 million in just a few hours, a mysterious "whale" bet $1.95 million on Spain to win the 2026 World Cup
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain’s monitoring, a mysterious whale created a new wallet 10 hours ago and placed a $1.95 million bet on Spain to win the 2026 World Cup at odds of 59.1%. The whale wo
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With a trading volume of $328 million, Predict.fun’s World Cup winner market predicts Spain will win the title
Svmuu News: Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 early this morning Beijing time to win the USA-Canada-Mexico World Cup. After the match, U.S. President Donald Trump personally presented the World Cup Trophy
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Smart money is collectively betting on the total goals in the final to be over 2.5
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, smart money has collectively bet on the total goals in the final being greater than 2.5, with the top four positions generating total profits of $120,0
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On the 7th, “smart money” made a profit of $2.3 million by betting $550,000 on a Spanish match to win in regulation time.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, on the 7th, “smart money” with a profit of $2.3 million purchased $550,000 worth of bets on a Spanish match to win in regulation time; the total profit
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30 Betting Markets for the World Cup Final on predict.fun Are Now Live
Svmuu News: The predict.fun World Cup Finals have officially kicked off. For this round, 30 fan points markets have been launched for the Argentina vs. Spain match, covering multiple aspects such as m
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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The Battle for the Highest Honor: predict.fun currently puts the probability of “DK defeating KC in the League of Legends EWC Finals” at 68%
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability of DK defeating KC in the “League of Legends EWC Finals: KC vs. DK” prediction event on predict.fun is currently reported at 68%. Tonig
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The prediction platform Kalshi gained 3 million new users during the World Cup
Svmuu News: Market Report: Event prediction platform Kalshi gained 3 million new users during the World Cup. (Jin Shi)
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A "smart money" investor has placed a bet of $1.054 million on Spain to defeat Argentina in the World Cup final.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Final: Spain vs. Argentina,” smart money accounts (address: 0x5b4ec9c06b284ee52c41a761974d836
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England Takes Third Place at the World Cup; Gate Prediction Market Focuses on the Spain vs. Argentina Championship Match
Svmuu News: On July 19, England secured third place in the tournament with a 6-4 victory over France; meanwhile, Spain and Argentina will face off in the final on July 20 at 03:00 (UTC+8) in a showdow
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$1.9 million profit in one week; purchased a bet for $260,000 on a French regular-season match and won
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup France vs. England prediction event, the address “Allezpapa”—which made a profit of $1.9 million over the past week—holds $
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Robinhood Responds to Controversy Over "Donald Trump" Accounts: Not Intended to Encourage Speculation, but to Expand Financial Inclusion
Svmuu News: Critics argue that Robinhood’s support for “Donald Trump” accounts may encourage young and inexperienced investors to engage in gambling-like trading. Especially as new trading products—su
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France to Block Polymarket Website; 578,800 Visits Recorded Within the Country in June
Svmuu News: On July 17, the French regulatory authority ANJ announced that the Polymarket website would be blocked within France, following the agency’s November 2024 ban on financial transactions on
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France Blocks Access to the Polymarket Website
Svmuu News: The French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) announced on July 17 that it will block users in France from accessing the prediction market platform Polymarket, following a previous ban on t
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Some idiot bet $297,000 that Spain will beat Argentina in the World Cup final.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Final: Spain vs. Argentina,” over $1.386 million in “dumb money” was lost (0x2e25b222e2080c377fc1fb2b9
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Some idiot bet $100,000 on the League of Legends EWC quarterfinals, where T1 defeated HLE.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “League of Legends EWC Quarterfinals: T1 vs. HLE,” the account “suntori” (0xe9076a87c5ed90ef16e6fe6529c943baeca0cff6
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OKX’s World Cup Prediction Contest has launched its final-stage standalone prize pool, with a total value of approximately 150,000 U
Svmuu News: According to official reports, the OKX World Cup Prediction Contest has launched separate prize pools for the third-place match and the final. A separate prize pool has been established fo
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Probability of the CLARITY Act Being Signed This Year on Polymarket Rises to 35%
Svmuu News: On July 17, Polymarket traders raised the probability that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law this year to 35%, rebounding from the low of 24% reached on July 13. The probability for
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Gate Prediction Market Highlights the 2026 World Cup Third-Place Match Between France and England and the Final Between Spain and Argentina
Svmuu News: The 2026 World Cup is heading into its final showdown, and the Gate prediction market is closely tracking the closing matches. France and England will kick off the third-place match on Jul
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1win Markets Adds Crypto Prediction Markets for HYPE, XRP, DOGE, and Others
Svmuu News: The crypto entertainment platform 1win has expanded its Markets product line with a new series of cryptocurrency prediction markets covering topics related to digital assets such as HYPE,
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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Kalshi becomes the first prediction market to stream full order books via DoubleZero Edge.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced that it has become the first prediction market to distribute real-time, full order book data through its DoubleZero Edge service. This move will allow insti
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FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi one day after filing
The flight tracker previously claimed that Kalshi improperly used its data and trademark to run prediction markets on flight cancellations.
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CFTC orders prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State after the state filed a lawsuit seeking to block its services
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that it has used its "emergency powers" to order prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State. This follows
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US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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