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Inflation
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Cathie Wood: Inflation May Drop Significantly
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood posted on X, stating that during her roadshow in Asia and Europe, she noticed investors’ concerns about inflation. Investors were surprised by her view that inflation could dec
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Polymarket Launches New “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026.” Looking at the interest rate path, the ma
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Kazuo Ueda: As core inflation rises, interest rates will be raised further in the future
Svmuu News Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said Wednesday that Japan’s economic growth may slow but will continue to recover moderately.The risk that inflation could exceed 2% remains, and the
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: PCE Data Will Serve as a Policy Barometer for Federal Reserve; Be Wary of Downside Risks for Gold
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of CFDs at Bitget, pointed out during an online livestream titled “Analyzing the Logic Behind Gold’s Trends” that market focus this week will be on the U.S. May
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Analyst: Amid concerns over fiscal and central bank policies, the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds is expected to rise
Svmuu News: Tsuyoshi Ueno, an economist at the Nippon Life Research Institute, said that driven by concerns that the planned consumption tax cut could further worsen Japan’s fiscal situation, the yiel
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Inflation is well above the 2% target
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Inflation is well above the 2% target; persistently high prices are a burden, and recent history should not be seen as a prelude to inflation problems. (Jin
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Middle East Conflict Reshapes Federal Reserve Forecasts: Nearly Half of Policymakers Now Expect Rate Hikes; Inflation Forecasts Revised Up Across the Board
Svmuu News: Foreign media analysis indicates that nearly half of the policymakers at Federal Reserve no longer believe that, amid soaring oil prices following the war in Iran, simply keeping borrowing
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Opinion: Federal Reserves Are Most Reluctant to See a Surge in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields
Svmuu News: Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial, said investors are closely watching the first press conference by Federal Reserve’s new chairman, Wash, to gauge his views on inf
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Bitcoin Pricing Falls Below $65,000: Ahead of the Federal Reserve, Structural Concerns and Leverage Risks in Strategy Converge
Svmuu News Bitcoin continues to face pressure amid macroeconomic uncertainty and a wait-and-see attitude among institutional investors, with the price hovering around $64,500 and down approximately 2%
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Goldman Sachs: Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates again in January of next year
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Economist Akira Otani said that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to raise interest rates again in January 2027, but there is a high degree of uncertainty regarding the timing
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UBS Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed back to 2027; the central bank is expected to send a hawkish signal at this week's meeting
Svmuu News UBS Global Wealth Management has pushed back its expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to March and June 2027 and no longer anticipates any rate cuts this year. The firm said
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BlackRock: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Will Proceed with Caution on Further Interest Rate Hikes
Svmuu News BlackRock Ben Powell of the think tank stated that after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates to their highest level since 1995, the central bank is likely to proceed cautiously re
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Market Analysis: Warsh’s First Meeting May Bring “Bad News” for Donald Trump
Svmuu News: As Kevin Warsh was sworn in as chairman of the Federal Reserve, Donald Trump told the new chairman to “remain independent” and “don’t look to me, don’t look to anyone—just do your job and
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has paused its rate hikes amid an economic slowdown
Svmuu News: Given that the previous three rate hikes have begun to put pressure on the Australian economy, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its key interest rate unchanged for the first time t
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Hikvision raised hard drive prices on July 1; the cost of original manufacturer hard drives rose by more than 50% in the third quarter
Svmuu News: Hikvision has recently issued a price adjustment notice to its distributors, announcing that the prices of its hard drive products will be raised effective July 1 of this year. In addition
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Nomura Securities: Watch for any shift in Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s interest rate hike targets
Svmuu News: Nomura Research Institute wrote in a research report that Bank of Japan (BOJ) currently faces an environment where multiple factors are intertwined, making policy decisions particularly co
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UBS: Falling oil prices will ease Federal Reserve pressure for interest rate hikes
Svmuu News: Leslie Falconio, currently Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy for Global Wealth Management at UBS, stated that pressure on the Federal Reserveto raise interest rates this year is easing
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Economists: U.S.-Iran Deal Reduces Recession Risk, but Does Not Alter Outlook
Svmuu News: In a report, Ben May and Bridget Payne of Oxford Economics stated that while there may still be setbacks ahead, the U.S.-Iran agreement reduces the risk of a sustained decline in oil inven
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Morgan Stanley: Capital May Shift Away from Tech Stocks, Suggesting a Shift in the Structure of the U.S. Stock Market Rally
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley stated that the decline in oil prices will ease inflationary pressures and drive capital from highly valued tech stocks toward undervalued cyclical sectors, with U.S. stocks
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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AI theme continues its hot streak, with the Nasdaq 100 Index hitting a new high since June. Meta's partnership with Shopify propelled the latter's stock price up 7.1%.
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