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Inflation
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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Economist: Tokyo CPI Data Unlikely to Accelerate Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Takuya Hoshino, an economist at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Japan, said that consumer inflation in the Tokyo metropolitan area rose in June for the first time in eight months,
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Federal Reserve Williams: The current monetary policy stance will help bring inflation back to 2%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that the current monetary policy stance is well-positioned to bring inflation back to Federal Reserve the 2% target, while also acknowledging that risks rema
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Economist: U.S. Core PCE Won't Fall Easily
Svmuu News: Following a 4.1% year-over-year increase in the PCE index in May, some economists expect this may mark the peak of price increases. However, Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, said
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Anthony Pompliano: 9% inflation won’t become the norm; AGI is just around the corner
Svmuu News Bitcoin Anthony Pompliano, chairman of ProCap Financial, posted on X stating that,Mythos reportedly breached the U.S. National Security Agency’s (NSA) classified systems within hours, which
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell on the back of U.S. economic data, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.371%.
Svmuu News: As U.S. data sent mixed signals and oil prices fell below pre-war levels, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. The year-over-year increase in the May PCE index was in line with av
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Financial markets are betting on an interest rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike
Svmuu News: Driven by rising energy prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East, U.S. inflation continued to climb in May, with the annual PCE inflation rate surpassing the 4% threshold for
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U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data came in largely in line with expectations
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data largely met expectations, bolstering market hopes that the Federal Reserve would not adopt an over
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Spot gold has surged by nearly $30 in the short term and is currently trading at $4,010 per ounce.
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, following the release of U.S. PCE figures, spot gold surged by nearly $30 in a short period and is currently trading at $4,010 per ounce.
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The U.S. core PCE annual rate rose slightly to 3.4%, in line with market expectations.
Svmuu News: The U.S. core PCE price index for May came in at 3.4% year-over-year, in line with market expectations, marking its highest level since October 2023. The U.S. core PCE price index for May
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Bitcoin Panic in the derivatives market is mounting; core PCE may become a key catalyst for market movements
Svmuu News: Currently, Bitcoin risk appetite in the derivatives market has weakened significantly; investors are paying high premiums to hedge against downside risks, and overall market sentiment has
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Opinion: If U.S. PCE comes in stronger than expected, it could reverse the optimism sparked by Micron’s earnings report
Svmuu News: Ipek Ozkadskaya, senior market analyst at Ruixin Bank, said, “If the PCE data comes in stronger than expected, it could further encourage Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish stance and reve
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Analysis: A rebound in tech stocks has boosted risk sentiment, and the Bitcoin has rebounded slightly after hitting a recent low.
Svmuu News: Following Micron’s release of optimistic financial results and Qualcomm’s positive earnings outlook, sentiment in the tech sector has clearly improved, driving a rebound in market risk app
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board Member: If the risk of inflation exceeding expectations materializes, it may be necessary to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes.
Svmuu News Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board Member Naoki Tamura: (Commenting on the possibility of consecutive rate hikes) If the risk of inflation exceeding expectations materializes, we may need to
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Cathie Wood: Inflation May Drop Significantly
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood posted on X, stating that during her roadshow in Asia and Europe, she noticed investors’ concerns about inflation. Investors were surprised by her view that inflation could dec
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Polymarket Launches New “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026.” Looking at the interest rate path, the ma
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Kazuo Ueda: As core inflation rises, interest rates will be raised further in the future
Svmuu News Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said Wednesday that Japan’s economic growth may slow but will continue to recover moderately.The risk that inflation could exceed 2% remains, and the
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: PCE Data Will Serve as a Policy Barometer for Federal Reserve; Be Wary of Downside Risks for Gold
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of CFDs at Bitget, pointed out during an online livestream titled “Analyzing the Logic Behind Gold’s Trends” that market focus this week will be on the U.S. May
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Bank of America forecasts that Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026
Svmuu News: Due to resilient economic data and rising market expectations of a hawkish stance Federal Reserve under the leadership of new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, Bank of America expects
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Analyst: Amid concerns over fiscal and central bank policies, the yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds is expected to rise
Svmuu News: Tsuyoshi Ueno, an economist at the Nippon Life Research Institute, said that driven by concerns that the planned consumption tax cut could further worsen Japan’s fiscal situation, the yiel
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Standard Chartered: Expects Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this year, with the first actual rate cut coming in the second quarter of next year
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered believes that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year and begin cutting rates in earnest in the second quarter of next year. Stand
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Svmuu Noon News
1: Polymarket is accused of marketing to U.S. users through simulated trades and fake profit videos; 2: “New Stock Guru” Serenity: Donald Trump’s tariff strategy may backfire; cutting-edge supply chai
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Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and expects a total of 50 basis points in interest rate hikes in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank has raised its U.S. inflation forecast and comprehensively revised its policy outlook Federal Reserve. It now expects a total of 50 basis points in rate hikes by 2026 Federal
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Goldman Sachs: If inflation doesn’t cool off, Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates as early as September
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs Kaplan, vice chairman of the group and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said that if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inter
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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OpenAI is in preliminary discussions with investors for a new private funding round, potentially valuing the company at over $1.2 trillion.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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NVIDIA VP: Vera Rubin Platform Achieves 30x Throughput Increase on Agentic AI Workloads
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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NVIDIA VP: Agentic AI to Boost Computing Power Demand 100-fold, Altering Traditional Scheduling Models
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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Ed Sheeran calls Gaza situation 'catastrophic,' 'unjustifiable,' and 'disproportionate' as US tour resumes
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