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Inflation
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US major stock indexes rose over 1% during the trading session, with the Nasdaq Composite up 1.35%. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.75%. The Federal Reserve's Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
At midday Eastern Time on September 3, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,572 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.20% to 53,699 points, and the S&P 500 Index rose 1.01% to 7,744 p
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh publicly criticized his predecessor Jerome Powell for 65 consecutive months of inflation above target during his tenure; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to a one-year high of 4.79%.
Warsh, the current Chairman of the Federal Reserve, publicly criticized his predecessor, Jerome Powell, stating that inflation exceeded the target for 65 consecutive months during Powell's tenure, a s
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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US ISM Services PMI 55.4, expected 54.3, previous 54.1
ISM Services PMI: 55.4, expected 54.3, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 55.4, expected 54.2, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index: 72.6, prior 70.3 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index
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Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
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FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller: If August inflation data continues to move towards 2%, I would favor holding interest rates steady; if the data is too hot, I would consider a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that while there has been no fundamental change in his monetary policy stance since July, his inclination has shifted from concern and a bias towards
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Switzerland's August inflation rate rose to 0.8%, reversing several months of cooling, as the Middle East situation pushed up energy costs.
Switzerland's August inflation rate rose to 0.8%, reversing several months of cooling, as the Middle East situation pushed up energy costs.
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US Retail Diesel Prices Hit Four-Year High, Topping Iran War Peak and Approaching Record as Global Supply Strains Persist
US Retail Diesel Prices Hit Four-Year High, Topping Iran War Peak and Approaching Record as Global Supply Strains Persist
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Malaysia Extends Rate Pause, Drops ‘Appropriate’ Language
Malaysia's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, citing the economy's continued modest inflation and rapid growth. The bank also tweaked its monetary policy statement by removing a refere
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The Philippines is reconsidering its plan to issue a large five-year bond later this month due to high inflation and a weak peso.
The Philippines is reconsidering its plan to issue a large five-year bond later this month due to high inflation and a weak peso.
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fold Pressure
The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fol
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Vietnam's Trade Deficit Narrows to $113 Million, Inflation at 4.9%
Vietnam recorded a trade deficit for the ninth consecutive month, as factories continue to import machinery and materials to expand production, aiming to achieve the country's double-digit growth targ
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Natixis Investment Managers Raises Japan Stocks Allocation, Cuts US Equity Exposure
The firm's strategists told Bloomberg in a recent interview that the move is a bet that Japan’s economic growth momentum will endure as inflationary pressures push government bond yields higher.
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Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports plummeted to approximately 3 million barrels per day in August, marking a nine-year low, amid threats in both the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz.
Bloomberg reported on September 2 that tanker tracking data from Vortexa and Kpler showed Saudi Arabia's observable crude oil exports in August were approximately 3 million barrels per day, the lowest
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The Bank of Canada maintained its interest rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive time but warned that tariff wars pose an upside risk to inflation. 63% of analysts are betting on a rate hike in the first half of 2027.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) maintained its overnight rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive meeting on September 2. In its statement, the central bank noted that the evolution of the economy and infla
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White analyzed that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of T-bill financing is making its function akin to a "shadow central bank," which could undermine the Federal Reserve's independence and push up inflation.
Simon White points out that the U.S. Treasury's continued expansion of T-bill financing has pushed T-bills to 22.7% of outstanding U.S. debt, exceeding the Treasury's informal 20% cap. He believes thi
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Goldman Sachs remains overweight equities for next 12 months, underweighting credit
Goldman Sachs maintains its overweight position on equities for the next 12 months, while underweighting credit, citing increasing late-cycle risks. The bank expects solid earnings, resilient but slow
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Circle K Owner Alimentation Couche-Tard Reports Record Fuel Sales But Warns Inflation, Fuel Costs Curb Consumer Spending; Shares Drop Most in Over 5 Months
Circle K Owner Alimentation Couche-Tard Reports Record Fuel Sales But Warns Inflation, Fuel Costs Curb Consumer Spending; Shares Drop Most in Over 5 Months
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New York Fed President John Williams said he is more open to interest-rate hikes, questioning if current monetary policy is sufficient to bring inflation to target.
New York Fed President John Williams, a leading advocate of the central bank’s “hold and wait” strategy on interest rates, stated in a television appearance Wednesday that there is “no clear science”
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IMPAX Asset Management anticipates increased volatility in the U.S. Treasury market around the release of inflation and employment data.
IMPAX Asset Management anticipates increased volatility in the U.S. Treasury market around the release of inflation and employment data.
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S&P 500 Steadies After Three-Day Skid as Oil Prices Halt Advance
US stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, as the halt in oil price advances eased inflation concerns. Traders are now weighing the Federal Reserve’s potential path for interest-rate hikes.
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U.S. 10-year government bond yields hit a new high since November 2023, and oil prices approaching $95/barrel sparked market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike.
U.S. long-term government bond yields remained elevated on Wednesday, with the 10-year yield hitting its highest level since November 2023. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered around $95 per barrel, intensi
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Federal Reserve's No. 3 Official Williams: Inflation Slowing Gradually, Current Interest Rates at a "Good Level," Emphasizes Need for More Data
New York Fed President John Williams stated on Wednesday that inflation is slowly declining and current interest rate levels are in a "good place," emphasizing the need to accumulate more data before
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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