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Inflation
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week.
U.S. inflation accelerated in August, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data showed that the overall CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August; c
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, above expectations of 0.2%.
U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, above expectations of 0.2%.
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US August CPI (YoY) was 3.4%, in line with expectations of 3.4%, and the previous value (revised) was 3.4%.
US August CPI YoY 3.4% (expected 3.4%, revised prior 3.4%, in line with expectations); CPI MoM 0.4% (expected 0.4%, revised prior 0.1%, in line with expectations); Core CPI YoY 2.4% (expected 2.4%, re
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Veteran Commodities Strategist Jeff Currie Sees 'Extremely High' Chance of $5 Gas by Midterms
Veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie said average US gasoline prices will almost certainly hit $5 a gallon before the midterm elections, citing a toxic combination of scarcity and currency debas
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US futures advanced as Oracle's better-than-expected results boosted tech sentiment and oil prices retreated, with investors awaiting consumer price data.
US futures advanced as Oracle's better-than-expected results boosted tech sentiment and oil prices retreated, with investors awaiting consumer price data.
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Former Goldman Sachs Head of Commodities, Jeff Currie, warns: Brent crude breaking above $107/barrel and diesel crack spreads surging to $110/barrel indicate that fuel shortages are triggering structural inflation.
Jeff Currie, former head of commodities at Goldman Sachs and now head of Real Macro, told CNBC on Thursday that the market is underestimating an inflation cycle driven by a long-term supply shortage o
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Crude oil prices climbed back above $100 a barrel this week, with US diesel surging past $6 a gallon for the first time.
Crude oil prices climbed back above $100 a barrel this week, with US diesel surging past $6 a gallon for the first time.
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Rising yields and oil prices leave Bitcoin vulnerable ahead of U.S. inflation report
Rising yields and oil prices leave Bitcoin vulnerable ahead of U.S. inflation report
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U.S. equity futures rebound 0.4% ahead of the August inflation report, while oil prices retreat to $105/barrel.
US equities and government bonds found respite, and oil prices pulled back, as traders awaited the August US inflation report to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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Oil prices nearing $100 exacerbate inflation concerns, while private credit borrowers face high interest rates and refinancing pressure.
Soaring energy costs are adding new pressure on private credit borrowers, who are already grappling with higher interest expenses and significant refinancing challenges, CNBC reported. Analysts note t
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Bank of America Strategist: Diesel Prices Are the Real Threat to the U.S. Economy, Surpassing $6 on Friday to Hit a New All-Time High
Bank of America Strategist: Diesel Prices Are the Real Threat to the U.S. Economy, Surpassing $6 on Friday to Hit a New All-Time High
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BNP Paribas Chief Economist Mateos y Lago Says US Economy Likely Needs Three Fed Rate Hikes
Isabelle Mateos y Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, stated that her firm believes "monetary policy is not restrictive enough" and that the US economy "probably" needs three rate hikes, potentially
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Bloomberg survey shows investors increasingly see 10-year Treasury yield at 5%-5.25% as the trigger for a 10% S&P 500 correction, with the yield currently above 4.96%.
Bloomberg survey shows investors increasingly see 10-year Treasury yield at 5%-5.25% as the trigger for a 10% S&P 500 correction, with the yield currently above 4.96%. More than two-thirds of responde
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US Treasury Yields Steady, 10-Year at 4.9424%, as Traders Await Inflation Data Amid Oil Price Pressure
US Treasury yields steadied on Friday, with the 10-year note yield flat at 4.9424% in early trade, after surging to multiyear highs during Thursday's session. The 30-year bond yield held at 5.3554%, a
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U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields retreated slightly, but investors remained on edge ahead of crucial inflation data later.
U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields retreated slightly, but investors remained on edge ahead of crucial inflation data later.
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Seoul shares dip 1.76% to 6,909.91 on September 11, driven by rising oil prices and inflation concerns
Seoul shares fell sharply on Friday, September 11, as surging oil prices heightened inflation concerns. The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) closed 124.01 points, or 1.76 percent, d
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French Central Bank Governor Warns: Proposal to Cancel 18% of National Debt Would Constitute Default, Is "Illegal, Dangerous, and Useless"
Emmanuel Moulin, the head of the French central bank, warned that French politician Jean-Luc Mélenchon's proposal to cancel 18% of French national debt would constitute a default, calling it "illegal,
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Nikkei: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to raise its policy interest rate to 1.25% at next week's policy meeting.
According to Nikkei, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to raise its key interest rate from the current 1% to 1.25% at its Policy Board meeting on September 17-18. This move aims to curb inflationary press
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"New Bond King" Gundlach warns: If the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates next week, long-term interest rates will "significantly spike."
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and CIO of DoubleLine Capital, expressed skepticism about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week during his latest webcast. He anticipates a significant rise in lon
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Wallstreetcn: US Treasury Yields Approach 5%, Rising Oil Prices and VIX Spike Signal a "Nightmare Scenario" Gradually Becoming Reality
Wallstreetcn analysis indicates that the US bond market is flashing continuous warnings, with the 10-year Treasury yield approaching the critical 5% mark. Rising oil prices are fueling inflation expec
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Soaring oil prices and inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in both equities and bonds across Asia: the Nikkei 225 index plunged 3%, the KOSPI index fell 2.7%, and Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.981%.
On Friday, Brent crude briefly climbed to nearly $110/barrel during U.S. trading hours, and WTI crude further rose to $103.05/barrel, both reaching their highest settlement prices since May 19 this ye
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UBS CEO warns against market complacency, expects stubborn inflation to force major central banks to continue hiking rates, potentially leading to "higher for longer" interest rates.
UBS Group CEO Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Thursday that financial markets have bred a dangerous complacency while geopolitical and economic risks continue to accumulate. He expects persistent inflatio
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Global Bond Selloff Sends 10-Year US Treasury Yields to Cusp of 5% Ahead of Key Inflation Data
The global bond selloff is pushing benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields toward the closely-watched 5% level. This comes ahead of upcoming US inflation data, which is expected to influence expectations
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Japan's core inflation rate for August was 1.7% year-on-year, below the expected 1.8% and the previous value of 1.8%.
Japan's core inflation rate for August was 1.7% year-on-year, below the expected 1.8% and the previous value of 1.8%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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Oracle's $18 billion AI loan is struggling to sell, with banks quoting prices down to 89-91 cents on the dollar, signaling emerging pressure in the AI financing chain.
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