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Inflation
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh explained the Fed's shift to interest rate hikes, citing a stronger economy and labor market, insufficient improvement in inflation, and a change in geopolitical risk assessment as key factors.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that three major developments have altered the Federal Reserve's outlook since July: a stronger economy and labor market, insufficient improvement in inflation, a
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Fed Chair Warsh: Seen little info to suggest inflation trends passing the test
Fed Chair Warsh: Seen little info to suggest inflation trends passing the test
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Fed Chair Warsh: Inflation is too high and has been for too long
Fed Chair Warsh: Inflation is too high and has been for too long
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Fed revises up headline PCE inflation to 3.7% for 2026, core PCE to 3.4%
The Federal Reserve revised up its projection for headline PCE inflation by a tenth to 3.7% for 2026, and core PCE inflation by a tenth to 3.4% for 2026. The Fed stated that the rate hike will support
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Bank of Canada warns of rate hike risk, citing elevated gas prices and 'too high' inflation; Governor Macklem struck hawkish tone
The Bank of Canada's governing council warned that it may need to hike interest rates, saying the longer gasoline prices remain elevated, the more likely that would pass through to other goods and ser
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Growth Estimate Surges to 5.1%, Up From 4.42%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate for Q3 growth jumped to 5.1% from 4.42%, largely driven by stronger consumer spending following today's retail sales data. Real consumption is now expected to contrib
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Wall Street's major banks widely expect Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech today to emphasize economic growth and inflation issues.
Against the backdrop of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike today, several major Wall Street banks, including Barclays, BMO, Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Nomu
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U.S. Median Household Income Hit Record $87,460 in 2025, Up 2.6% From 2024, But Uneven Gains and Soaring Inflation Erode Purchasing Power
U.S. median household income hit a record $87,460 in 2025, up 2.6% from $85,210 in 2024, according to Census Bureau data. However, the gains were uneven, with lower-income earners seeing minimal chang
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American Airlines CEO Says Fuel-Cost Surge May Require Q4 Capacity Cuts, Expecting $1 Billion in Extra Costs
American Airlines Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Robert Isom said the airline may need to cut more capacity in the fourth quarter as the aviation industry continues to contend with high fuel price
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Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle stated that the US economy is not overheating, inflation pressures are manageable, and the labor market is healthy.
Mericle believes the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates without committing to further action, but rising oil prices could complicate the Fed's policy path.
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Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards, who previously believed inflation was controllable, now thinks the Federal Reserve may pursue aggressive rate hikes due to the widening divergence between crude oil and refined energy prices.
Societe Generale global strategist Albert Edwards previously advocated for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at their current level of 3.5% to 3.75%. He stated that he is starting to feel
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Wall Street bull Ed Yardeni slashes S&P 500 year-end target to 7,900 from 8,400
Yardeni cited rising bond yields and increased downturn risks over the next 3–6 months as reasons for the cut. He also lowered his expected forward P/E multiple to 18.6 from 19.8. Despite the near-ter
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CNBC: Iran war adds $1,760 to US consumer bills per household; oil prices and US Treasury yields hit multi-year highs this Tuesday.
CNBC reported that the war between the U.S. and Iran has led to soaring oil prices and rising government bond yields, pushing up energy and borrowing costs for American households and forcing consumer
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Dollar General Expects Shopper Pressure to Persist Through H2 2026, Emphasizes Value and Delivery Growth
Dollar General anticipates its core customers will remain under pressure through the second half of 2026 due to sustained inflation and higher fuel prices, leading to more frequent store visits but fe
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UK August CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year, a new high since March, in line with expectations; the market expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday.
The UK's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.1% year-on-year in August, up from 2.9% in July and the highest level since March this year, the Office for National Statistics announced on September 16.
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Deutsche Bank Report: The global economy is undergoing a paradigm shift, with supply constraints driving inflation and traditional policy tools losing effectiveness.
In its latest report published on September 14, Deutsche Bank stated that the global economy has shifted from a demand-deficient model that dominated the past decade to a new era driven by supply cons
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Analyst: Federal Reserve Meeting May Challenge Chairman Warsh, Bitcoin Could Benefit
CoinDesk analysis suggests that with the market having almost fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike (bringing the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4%), Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's f
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UK inflation jumps to 3.1% as energy costs soar
UK inflation jumps to 3.1% as energy costs soar
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UK CPI YoY 3.1%, expected 3.1%, prior 2.9%, in line with expectations
CPI YoY: 3.1%, expected 3.1%, prior 2.9%, in line with expectations Core CPI YoY: 2.6%, expected 2.6%, prior 2.6%, in line with expectations Core Inflation MoM: 0.3%, expected 0.3%, prior 0.2%, in lin
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Pound and UK Stocks Stronger Ahead of Inflation Data
Pound and UK Stocks Stronger Ahead of Inflation Data
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Top economists in FT-Booth poll say Fed should defy Trump with rate rise to tame inflation
Top economists in FT-Booth poll say Fed should defy Trump with rate rise to tame inflation
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JPMorgan Strategist Rasid: Inflation Data and Rising Yields Point to Fed Rate Hike
JPMorgan Global Market Strategist Raisah Rasid stated that incoming economic data and rising Treasury yields indicate the Federal Reserve will hike rates. She advised investors to focus on the 12- to
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US CBO report: Iran war to increase inflation by 0.5% in Q1 2027, has cost $38B, and will take up to 5 years to replenish munitions
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a report on Tuesday, finding that the six-month war on Iran has cost $38 billion, with an expected increase of $3 billion per month. The conf
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Oaktree's Danielle Poli says markets may continue to see upward pressure on yields because investors do not yet believe inflation will be fully tamed.
Oaktree's Danielle Poli says markets may continue to see upward pressure on yields because investors do not yet believe inflation will be fully tamed.
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ECB President Christine Lagarde: October inflation rose to 4% mainly driven by energy, core inflation remains stable
In an interview with the Yomiuri Shimbun, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that headline inflation rose to 4% in October, driven primarily by an increase in energy inflation (t
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating expectations
The US November University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 51.0, beating the market expectation of 48.0. Specifically, the Current Economic Conditions Index came in at 51.0 (compared to 4
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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Bitcoin's rate-cut rally has stalled due to rising services inflation
Bitcoin's rate-cut relief rally has stalled due to surging service sector inflation. Although the October services prices index edged down to 73, its 12-month moving average reached 69.2, hitting the
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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