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Inflation
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US ISM Manufacturing PMI rises to 55.5 in October, beating expectations as price pressures ease
US ISM Manufacturing PMI rises to 55.5 in October, beating expectations as price pressures ease. The figure surpassed the 54.5 consensus and September's 54.5 reading. New Orders increased to 55.5 from
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Bank of France Governor Villeroy said inflation is significantly above our target.
Bank of France Governor Villeroy said inflation is significantly above our target.
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US oil firms profited over $130bn during Iran war, driving up household bills, NYT estimates
US oil firms profited over $130bn during Iran war, driving up household bills, NYT estimates. According to a New York Times estimate based on 51 large US oil and gas companies, these firms earned more
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Chilean Fixed Income Investors Flock to Inflation-Linked Notes as Nine-Month Iran War Pushes Oil to April Highs, Stoking Inflation Expectations
Chilean Fixed Income Investors Flock to Inflation-Linked Notes as Nine-Month Iran War Pushes Oil to April Highs, Stoking Inflation Expectations
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Indian bonds posted their biggest gain in six months on Monday, as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns and attracted buyers.
Indian bonds posted their biggest gain in six months on Monday, as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns and attracted buyers.
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Mentions of inflation in U.S. corporate earnings calls this reporting season are expected to see their largest increase since the 2022 price shock.
Mentions of inflation in U.S. corporate earnings calls this reporting season are expected to see their largest increase since the 2022 price shock.
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Al Jazeera Analysis: Iran War Becomes Key Issue in US Midterm Elections, Driving Up Fuel and Commodity Prices
Al Jazeera analysis indicates that the war in Iran has become a major campaign issue in the US midterm elections, influencing voters ahead of Tuesday's polls. The war has led to soaring fuel prices, w
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Petrol prices are set to hit a record high under Trump on the eve of US midterm elections, surpassing Biden-era levels as affordability issues dominate polls.
Petrol prices are set to hit a record high under Trump on the eve of US midterm elections, surpassing Biden-era levels as affordability issues dominate polls.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its CPI growth forecast for fiscal year 2027, expecting inflation to accelerate to a level significantly above 2%.
In its October "Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices" report, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) stated that it expects the year-on-year growth rate of the consumer price index (CPI), excluding fresh food, t
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Brandywine: Philippine Bonds Poised to Outperform Asia if Inflation Eases and Iran War Risks Subside
Brandywine Global Investment Management stated that Philippine bonds are poised to be among Asia's best-performing assets once inflationary pressures ease and the risk of war in Iran subsides.
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Gold rebounded from a one-year low as falling oil prices eased inflation pressures and bargain hunters entered the market.
Gold rebounded from a one-year low as falling oil prices eased inflation pressures and bargain hunters entered the market.
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Australia's far-right One Nation Party regains lead in polls, ruling party's support declines.
Amid high inflation and rising interest rates, Australia's far-right One Nation party has regained a lead in national opinion polls, while support for Prime Minister Albanese's center-left government
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Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed blames high inflation on the US-Israel war with Iran, calls for passage of the War Powers Resolution.
Michigan State Senate candidate El-Sayed, in Wednesday's debate, attributed rising living costs such as gasoline and food to the war between the United States and Israel against Iran. He called for th
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BlackRock Analysis: Market Fears of AI Crash Surpass Inflation Concerns, Leading to Decline in US Treasury Yields
Jeffrey Rosenberg, a senior portfolio manager at BlackRock, noted a significant shift in market trading logic over the past month, with the 80% correlation between oil and U.S. Treasury yields breakin
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US Midterm Candidates Tap Credit Card Rates as Rare Bipartisan Issue
With control of Congress hanging on razor-thin races, both Democrats and Republicans are seizing on voters’ frustrations with rising credit card debt to win over inflation-weary Americans.
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Democrats need to flip 4 seats to win US Senate control; Iran war, inflation, and Trump's unpopularity tighten key races
Democrats need a net gain of at least four seats in November’s midterm elections to take control of the United States Senate from Republicans, who currently hold a 53-47 majority. Al Jazeera analysis
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Germany and France deploy thousands of police, close metro stations ahead of Halloween weekend protests over rising prices
Germany and France are preparing for potential protests over the Halloween weekend, with authorities deploying thousands of police officers and closing metro stations. In Germany, approximately 150,00
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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Hershey's lowers its 2026 organic sales growth forecast to 3%, while US candy and gum prices rise 7.7% year-over-year.
CNBC, citing the latest Consumer Price Index data, reported that U.S. candy and chewing gum prices rose 7.7% year-over-year in September, while sugar and sweets categories increased by 5.5%. The repor
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Bloomberg: Macklem Says Carney's Fiscal Plan Has Not Added to Bank of Canada's Inflation Fight Difficulty
According to Bloomberg, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that Prime Minister Carney’s fiscal plan has not yet made it more difficult for the central bank to control inflation. Macklem told
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Former Republican Congressional Staffer Warns: War with Iran Could Cost Republicans Politically
Former Republican congressional staffer John Feehery said that President Donald Trump needs to end the war with Iran to allow the American public to "return to affordability," otherwise the Republican
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. 2026 midterm elections begin, control of both chambers hangs in the balance.
Voting for the U.S. 2026 midterm elections began on November 3, with control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate hanging in the balance. The Democratic Party aims to reclaim control of
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The Wall Street Journal: Health Insurance Is an Overlooked Inflation Issue Ahead of U.S. Midterm Elections
The Wall Street Journal reported that while food and energy prices garner significant attention, health insurance is another source of inflation that American voters are focused on ahead of the midter
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its benchmark interest rate to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation driven by AI investments and energy costs.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its benchmark interest rate to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation driven by AI investments and energy costs.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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Bank of Korea expects November inflation to remain in the upper 2% range.
According to The Korea Herald, Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Lee Ji-ho stated at a meeting reviewing inflation trends that the inflation rate in November is expected to remain in the upper 2% range, i
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Gold stabilized after posting its biggest two-month gain on Monday, boosted by hopes of peace talks between the US and Iran.
Gold stabilized after posting its biggest gain in two months on Monday, boosted by hopes for peace talks between the US and Iran. Market optimism about a breakthrough in negotiations sent oil prices t
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South Korea's CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, remaining in the 2% range for the second consecutive month.
South Korea's consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, slowing from 2.9% in September and 3.1% in August, according to data released by Statistics Korea on Tuesday. While agricult
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US I bond interest rates have risen to 5.51%, the highest level since November 2022.
The annual interest rate on U.S. Treasury-issued I bonds (inflation-protected savings bonds) has risen to 5.51%, the highest level since November 2022. The new rate applies to bonds purchased through
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Michigan Senate candidate Rogers states that Donald Trump will end the war in Iran, expecting prices to fall as a result.
Michigan State Senate candidate Mike Rogers said he would tell Republicans who are dissatisfied with Donald Trump's record on cost of living and the economy to wait for the war with Iran to end soon.
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FT Poll Shows Majority of US Voters Disapprove of Donald Trump's Handling of Inflation Ahead of Midterm Elections
FT Poll Shows Majority of US Voters Disapprove of Donald Trump's Handling of Inflation Ahead of Midterm Elections
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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The New York Times estimates: U.S. oil companies profited over $130 billion during the Iran War, while consumers paid an additional $150 billion.
The New York Times estimates that during the Iran War (April to September 2026), U.S. oil companies profited over $130 billion, while American consumers paid an additional $150 billion for gasoline an
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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