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Geopolitics
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UK households face energy 'risk premium' as Ofgem raises price cap 4% from Oct 1, government announces electricity bill tax cut; US attacks on Iran over weekend cited as cause
The UK energy regulator Ofgem announced a 4% increase in the energy price cap starting October 1, 2026, which will add approximately £60 ($80) annually to the average household's bill. This comes as w
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Asian Spot LNG Climbs to Five-Month High on Hormuz Strait Disruption Concerns
Asian Spot LNG Climbs to Five-Month High on Hormuz Strait Disruption Concerns
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Luxembourg Halts Approval of Israeli Bond Issuance, Clouding Its Prospects for Borrowing in EU Markets
Luxembourg's financial regulator, the CSSF, has decided not to renew the prospectus for Israeli bonds, which expired on Monday (August 31). This move casts uncertainty over Israel's annual borrowing o
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Two Oil Supertankers Hit by Projectiles in Hormuz, Marisks Says
Maritime security consultant Marisks reported that two oil supertankers were struck by unknown projectiles in quick succession while transiting the Persian Gulf’s Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.
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Global bond markets are experiencing their most aggressive sell-off in nearly two decades, with the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index yield rising to 3.72%, a new high since mid-2008.
On Tuesday (September 1), the US 10-year government bond yield briefly rose to 4.78%, its highest since January 2025; the Japanese 10-year government bond yield touched 3% for the first time in 30 yea
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Over 100 Indians Missing After Catastrophic Flash Flood Swept Nepal-China Border Point on August 26
The devastating Himalayan floods, which occurred on August 26, also swept away the Friendship Bridge linking Nepal and China, along with Nepal's immigration and customs facilities at Rasuwagadhi. Indi
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Key Russian Baltic Port of Ust-Luga on Fire After Overnight Drone Strikes
The fire at the Ust-Luga port follows an overnight drone strike, marking the latest attack in Ukraine’s intensifying campaign against Russian energy infrastructure.
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Israeli Forces Demolish West Bank Homes Amid Settler Attacks, as EU Weighs Ban on Settlement Goods
Israeli forces demolished more Palestinian homes in the occupied West Bank on Monday, while settlers attacked residents in the village of Burqa. This escalation of violence comes as Ireland pushes for
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The UN peacekeeping mission in Lebanon is set to expire at the end of 2026, and the EU is considering deploying a three-year military and civilian mission to fill part of the void.
The mandate of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) is set to expire on December 31, 2026. The European External Action Service (EEAS) has proposed a three-year military and civilian m
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South Korean Intelligence Agency: Trump-Kim Jong Un Summit Could Happen Anytime
South Korea's intelligence agency has indicated signs that the United States and North Korea may be moving towards resuming dialogue, and assessed that a summit between Donald Trump and North Korean l
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Iran War Disrupts Cooking Gas Supply to Asia and Africa, India Reroutes Supplies
The Iran war has transformed how cooking gas reaches millions across Asia and Africa. India has maintained the flow of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) by redrawing supply routes and boosting domestic ou
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Middle East Tensions Escalate with US-Iran Strikes, Brent Crude Surges Past $91, Asian Bond Markets Under Pressure
Brent crude surged above $91 a barrel in early Asian trading as the US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Rising oil p
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South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 1.24% on Tuesday to 6,735.21 points, dragged down by renewed military conflict between the US and Iran and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened down 0.52% on Tuesday, then extended its losses, falling 84.81 points, or 1.24%, to 6,735.21 as of 9:15 AM. This followed an overnight decline in U
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The Trump administration announced a historic oil deal with Venezuela, gaining majority control over the country's more than 65 billion barrels of oil reserves.
The White House announced that the agreement, implemented through the private oil company North American Blue Energy Partners (NABEP), grants the U.S. government a 35% equity stake in NABEP's parent c
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UK Shop Price Inflation Hits Two-Year High After Energy Spike
Prices in British shops rose at the fastest rate in more than two years last month, as the fallout from the Middle East conflict started to filter through to supermarket shelves.
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Poland has launched a "terror" investigation into a factory fire that supplied drone components to Ukraine, suspecting involvement of foreign intelligence agencies.
Poland's National Public Prosecutor's Office announced on Monday the launch of an investigation to determine "participation in the activities of foreign intelligence agencies against the Republic of P
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European Nations Shun Russian Finance Minister at G20 Meeting Hosted by US
Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov was excluded from the group photo, despite having a "productive" meeting with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
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Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin Reaffirm Strategic Alliance Amid Global Uncertainty
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin reaffirmed their strategic alliance on Monday during a meeting on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit
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Lebanese President Joseph Aoun requested Greece's help in implementing the framework agreement reached with Israel.
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun on Monday met with Greek President Konstantinos Tasoulas in Athens, requesting Greece's assistance in implementing the US-brokered framework agreement between Lebanon an
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Iranian media report a Saudi oil tanker was stopped in the southern corridor of the Strait of Hormuz; no Saudi confirmation
Iranian media report a Saudi oil tanker was stopped in the southern corridor of the Strait of Hormuz; no Saudi confirmation
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Middle East oil producers boost oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz via ship-to-ship transfers, helping stabilize crude prices
Middle East oil producers are increasingly using ship-to-ship transfers to move crude out of the Persian Gulf, sidestepping Iranian threats and attacks. This maneuver has led to a recent increase in c
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Flaring Middle East Tensions Push Brent Crude Above $90 After US Strikes Iran-linked Targets
Middle East tensions escalated as the U.S. conducted an attack on Sunday, targeting missile launchers on an island in the Strait of Hormuz, marking the first such strike against Iran in about a month.
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Trump says Iran is not a big war for the US, adds the US has plenty of ammunition worldwide
Trump says Iran is not a big war for the US, adds the US has plenty of ammunition worldwide
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US Vice President Vance: Trump's video of bombing Hark Island aims to "send a message," not to announce military action.
U.S. Vice President Vance stated on Monday that Donald Trump's previous social media post, which showed a video of Iran's Kharg Island being bombed, was "sending a message to Iran" rather than announc
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Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
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Estonia Accuses Russia of State-Sponsored Terrorism via Hybrid Attacks
Estonia has accused Russia of state-sponsored terrorism through hybrid attacks, following investigations by European nations into the mastermind behind last week's cyberattacks targeting supermarket r
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Former US Secretary of State Pompeo downplays Trump's decision to cut military aid to Israel
Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo played down the Trump administration's decision to cut $4 billion in military aid to Israel, stating that the deep relationship between the U.S. and Israel w
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IRGC states that oil smuggling in the Strait of Hormuz has "completely ceased"
An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) official told Iran's state broadcaster IRIB that after destroying enemy navigation aids on rocks in the southern Strait of Hormuz, no violating vessels were
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept the proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for two days.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept Tehran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days, warning that any new attacks would spell "dire consequences.
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Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
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Trump stated that the US military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand the blockade of Iran on land and in the Caspian Sea
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand land and Caspian Sea blockades against Iran. U.S. Central Command stated that the 20-person u
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Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments
Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments. According to *Nikkei Asia*, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar's remarks regarding the "One China" policy have drawn
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Senior Advisor to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Iran is reverse-engineering captured US military equipment
Ali Balali, an adviser to the Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), stated that Iran is conducting reverse engineering on captured U.S. and hostile military equipment, and t
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Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
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Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
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US Secretary of State Rubio defends military action against Iran, stating that countering the "nuclear threat" is unpopular yet necessary
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida that he defended Donald Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, stating that the president recognized and addressed the real threat of a "n
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According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
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IRGC: Three Oil Tankers Catch Fire in Strait of Hormuz Since Early Hours of Nov 8
According to a live broadcast by Al Jazeera on November 8, the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran stated in a Telegram statement that day that since the early morning, three
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Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Dawn of Yemen" military operation across multiple locations, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or withdrawals.
The Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Yemeni Dawn" military operation across multiple regions, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or retreats. Colonel Majeed Al-Nazili, the militar
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According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor gas field in Iraqi Kurdistan, slashing power generation by about 2.8 gigawatts
Omid Ahmed, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Electricity in the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq, stated that a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq has resulted in a reduction of nea
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Iranian state media reports that the U.S. military launched "projectiles" at Qeshm Island
Citing Al Jazeera and Iranian state media reports, the U.S. military fired "projectiles" at Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday evening local time. The Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) p
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Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force is now fully operational, working in coordination with the maritime blockade to deter Iran.
Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Task Force Iron Gate" is now fully operational, working in coordination with a naval blockade to curb Iran; U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media th
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor natural gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan region
A drone attack hit the Khor Mor gas field—one of the largest natural gas fields in the region—located in the Sulaymaniyah Governorate of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. The party responsible for the attac
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Iraqi Kurdistan Region President Meets Iranian Delegation to Discuss Security Cooperation and Regional Stability
The President of the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq met with an Iranian delegation, with both sides discussing ways to improve security cooperation and mechanisms for maintaining regional stabi
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Houthis Claim Saudi-Led Coalition Carried Out 91 Airstrikes and Missile Attacks in Yemen Over Past 24 Hours
The Houthis stated that the Saudi-led coalition carried out 91 airstrikes and missile attacks in Yemen over the past 24 hours, affecting six Yemeni provinces and causing civilian casualties. The group
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According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
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