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Geopolitics
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U.S. mortgage rates have surged, with the 30-year fixed rate climbing to 6.74% amid the renewed escalation of the conflict in Iran.
U.S. mortgage rates surged on Wednesday. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 6.74%, up 15 basis points from yesterday; the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 6.16%, an increase of 16 basis poi
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Iranian Hackers Attempt Cyberattacks Against Critical U.S. Infrastructure, Including Water, Telecom, and Energy Systems, in Recent Weeks
Iranian hackers have attempted cyberattacks against a wide range of critical U.S. infrastructure in recent weeks, according to sources familiar with government and industry threat intelligence. Target
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Putin Responds to Zelenskyy's Remarks, Calls Them "State Terrorism" and Threatens to Intensify Attacks on Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday responded to Zelensky's remarks during the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Kyrgyzstan, stating that such threats amounted to a declaration of "s
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Global bond market sell-off intensifies, with the US 10-year government bond yield rising to a new high for 2023 on Wednesday, impacting Hong Kong and mainland Chinese stock markets.
Global bond market sell-off intensified, with the US 10-year government bond yield rising to a new high for 2023 on Wednesday. Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher, leadi
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US-Iran Conflict Intensifies, Rattling Markets
US-Iran Conflict Intensifies, Rattling Markets
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Steven Major, Macro Advisor at Tradition Dubai: Global bond market sell-off driven by interest rate expectations, U.S. Treasury market functioning normally.
Steven Major, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at HSBC, stated that the global bond sell-off is primarily driven by changes in interest rate expectations, rather than a dysfunction in the U.S. Tre
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China threatens boycott of South Korean art exhibition over Taiwan pavilion
China has reportedly threatened to boycott a leading South Korean art exhibition, the Gwangju Biennale, due to the inclusion of a Taiwan pavilion. In response, Gwangju city has apologized, while local
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The Dow closed down 0.8% on Tuesday at 52,766.88 points, falling below its 50-day moving average for the first time in five months.
The Dow closed below its critical 50-day moving average (at 52849.85 points on the day) on Tuesday, the first time in nearly five months. Market analysts warn that this is typically seen as a precurso
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Iranian fisherwoman recounts how US-Israel bombing shattered her life and livelihood on Hengam Island
Khadijeh Bandari, a fisherwoman from Hengam Island in southern Iran, shared her first-person testimony with Al Jazeera, detailing how the ongoing US-Israel war has disrupted her work, closed piers, ha
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Chinese President Xi Jinping held a low-profile meeting with Iranian President Pezeshkian during the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit, a move analysts believe was aimed at avoiding appearing too close to Iran ahead of the upcoming China-U.S. summit.
Chinese President Xi Jinping held a brief, low-key meeting with Iranian President Pezeshkian on Tuesday during the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Kyrgyzstan, according to Iranian state me
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BBC reports: Israel expands military presence in southern Lebanon, establishes 9 military bases
According to the BBC, the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) stated that Israeli forces are fortifying positions and continuing to demolish buildings in southern Lebanon. Israeli Defense
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Corn Futures Drop Most in Three Weeks as Profit-Taking Hits Grain Rally
Corn futures fell the most in almost three weeks with a wave of profit-taking pulling down US grains markets after a weekslong rally fueled by geopolitical and weather risks.
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U.S. diesel crack spreads surged past $106 on September 1, reaching a new all-time high. Donald Trump convened a meeting with refining giants and announced environmental waivers.
On September 1, U.S. diesel refining margins (crack spreads) surged past $106 per barrel, hitting an all-time high, with retail prices nearing $5.63 per gallon. On the same day, Donald Trump urgently
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Asian Stocks Slump, Oil Jumps to 5-Week High, US 10Y Yield Hits 3-Year Peak After Renewed US Airstrikes on Iran
Asian stocks fell broadly on Wednesday, with South Korea's KOSPI dropping over 3% and Japan's Nikkei 225 down 2.6%. Brent crude futures rose 1.3% to $95.91 a barrel, reaching a five-week high, after t
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Global economic concerns resurface, with copper prices falling below $14,200/ton for the second consecutive day.
Copper prices fell for a second day, along with other metals, after a surge in oil prices sparked concerns about the global economic outlook. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell below
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House Speaker Johnson says some Iranians' religion allows lying, defends war against Iran
U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson stated on Tuesday that lying is part of the religion for some Iranians, and defended Donald Trump's war against Iran. Johnson called Iranians untrustworthy and inconsis
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Donald Trump posted that he is winning the war with Iran, calling to "stick to the plan."
Donald Trump posted that he is winning the war with Iran, calling to "stick to the plan."
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On September 2nd, the ChiNext Index fell over 2%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped over 1%. Commodity futures generally rose, with crude oil and the Container Freight Index surging over 9%.
A-shares opened lower and continued to fall this morning, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.68%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.38%, and the ChiNext Index once falling over 2%, currently d
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US launches new strikes on Iran's southern coast near Strait of Hormuz; Iran retaliates by targeting US bases in Jordan, with Washington denying casualties
US launches new strikes on Iran's southern coast near Strait of Hormuz; Iran retaliates by targeting US bases in Jordan, with Washington denying casualties
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The Wall Street Journal: Bond Market Gives World Leaders a "Failing Grade"
The Wall Street Journal analysis points out that this week's G20 summit failed to propose solutions to end deficits, inflation, and geopolitical turmoil, factors that are stirring investor sentiment a
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Al Jazeera: US attacks Iranian port city of Sirik, killing at least 4, wedding party hit
Al Jazeera: US attacks Iranian port city of Sirik, killing at least 4, wedding party hit
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Oil prices surged due to the renewed conflict between the US and Iran, putting pressure on global bond markets: 10-year government bond yields in Germany, the UK, Japan, and the US all hit multi-year highs on Tuesday.
Renewed conflict between the US and Iran has driven Brent crude oil up by 4.5% in two days, with a year-to-date increase of 51%. Impacted by this, the 10-year government bond yields for Germany, the U
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Seoul stocks open sharply lower, with KOSPI falling 2.7% to 6,651.07, tracking Wall Street losses amid escalating US-Iran hostilities and rising oil prices.
Seoul stocks open sharply lower, with KOSPI falling 2.7% to 6,651.07, tracking Wall Street losses amid escalating US-Iran hostilities and rising oil prices.
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Oil prices rose for a third consecutive session, as escalating hostilities between the US and Iran intensified concerns about disruptions to energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices rose for a third consecutive session, as escalating hostilities between the US and Iran intensified concerns about disruptions to energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.
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Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
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Estonia Accuses Russia of State-Sponsored Terrorism via Hybrid Attacks
Estonia has accused Russia of state-sponsored terrorism through hybrid attacks, following investigations by European nations into the mastermind behind last week's cyberattacks targeting supermarket r
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Former US Secretary of State Pompeo downplays Trump's decision to cut military aid to Israel
Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo played down the Trump administration's decision to cut $4 billion in military aid to Israel, stating that the deep relationship between the U.S. and Israel w
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IRGC states that oil smuggling in the Strait of Hormuz has "completely ceased"
An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) official told Iran's state broadcaster IRIB that after destroying enemy navigation aids on rocks in the southern Strait of Hormuz, no violating vessels were
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept the proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for two days.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept Tehran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days, warning that any new attacks would spell "dire consequences.
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Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
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Trump stated that the US military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand the blockade of Iran on land and in the Caspian Sea
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand land and Caspian Sea blockades against Iran. U.S. Central Command stated that the 20-person u
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Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments
Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments. According to *Nikkei Asia*, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar's remarks regarding the "One China" policy have drawn
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Senior Advisor to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Iran is reverse-engineering captured US military equipment
Ali Balali, an adviser to the Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), stated that Iran is conducting reverse engineering on captured U.S. and hostile military equipment, and t
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Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
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Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
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US Secretary of State Rubio defends military action against Iran, stating that countering the "nuclear threat" is unpopular yet necessary
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida that he defended Donald Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, stating that the president recognized and addressed the real threat of a "n
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According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
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IRGC: Three Oil Tankers Catch Fire in Strait of Hormuz Since Early Hours of Nov 8
According to a live broadcast by Al Jazeera on November 8, the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran stated in a Telegram statement that day that since the early morning, three
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Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Dawn of Yemen" military operation across multiple locations, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or withdrawals.
The Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Yemeni Dawn" military operation across multiple regions, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or retreats. Colonel Majeed Al-Nazili, the militar
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According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor gas field in Iraqi Kurdistan, slashing power generation by about 2.8 gigawatts
Omid Ahmed, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Electricity in the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq, stated that a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq has resulted in a reduction of nea
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Iranian state media reports that the U.S. military launched "projectiles" at Qeshm Island
Citing Al Jazeera and Iranian state media reports, the U.S. military fired "projectiles" at Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday evening local time. The Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) p
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Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force is now fully operational, working in coordination with the maritime blockade to deter Iran.
Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Task Force Iron Gate" is now fully operational, working in coordination with a naval blockade to curb Iran; U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media th
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor natural gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan region
A drone attack hit the Khor Mor gas field—one of the largest natural gas fields in the region—located in the Sulaymaniyah Governorate of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. The party responsible for the attac
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Iraqi Kurdistan Region President Meets Iranian Delegation to Discuss Security Cooperation and Regional Stability
The President of the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq met with an Iranian delegation, with both sides discussing ways to improve security cooperation and mechanisms for maintaining regional stabi
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Houthis Claim Saudi-Led Coalition Carried Out 91 Airstrikes and Missile Attacks in Yemen Over Past 24 Hours
The Houthis stated that the Saudi-led coalition carried out 91 airstrikes and missile attacks in Yemen over the past 24 hours, affecting six Yemeni provinces and causing civilian casualties. The group
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According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
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