Geopolitics
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OPEC's crude oil output declined in August, ending a two-month recovery, as conflict threatened Saudi export routes, a Bloomberg survey showed.
OPEC's crude oil output declined in August, ending a two-month recovery, as conflict threatened Saudi export routes, a Bloomberg survey showed.
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Saudi and Russian Foreign Ministers discuss political cooperation, Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, and regional confrontation at Moscow press conference
The discussion at the joint press conference covered key topics including political cooperation with Russia, Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, and the confrontation involving Washington, Tel Aviv, Tehra
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U.S. Defense Official: We Must Be Prepared for a Protracted Conflict in Ukraine
U.S. Defense Official: We Must Be Prepared for a Protracted Conflict in Ukraine
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Qatar's Foreign Ministry: Reopening Strait of Hormuz 'Unconditionally' Is a Top Priority, Diplomatic Efforts Underway Including Talks with China
Qatar's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ibrahim Al Hashmi stated on Tuesday that Doha is working towards diplomatic solutions to end the US-Iran war, emphasizing that “new ideas are being discussed” wit
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Iran's state media, citing army, says a U.S. drone was downed over Bandar Abbas; no U.S. confirmation
Iran's state media, citing army, says a U.S. drone was downed over Bandar Abbas; no U.S. confirmation
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U.S.-Iran conflict continues, Dow futures drop nearly 400 points in pre-market trading on Tuesday, Brent crude jumps again, nearing $100/barrel.
U.S.-Iran conflict continues, Dow futures drop nearly 400 points in pre-market trading on Tuesday, Brent crude jumps again, nearing $100/barrel.
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Israeli forces kill Palestinian man and withhold his body near Nablus amid West Bank raids
Israeli forces shot and killed a 29-year-old Palestinian man, Abdul Karim Muhammad Salem Khader, in the town of Aqraba, south of Nablus, on Tuesday, and subsequently withheld his body. The incident oc
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Report: The Trump administration will extend its resource strategy for Venezuela from oil to minerals such as gold, and is considering signing a related executive order.
According to Reuters, citing sources, the move is aimed at further solidifying U.S. control over Venezuela's natural resources and opening the door for U.S. capital to enter the country's mining secto
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With the Swedish general election approaching, the left-wing bloc is leading in the polls, and its policy stance on Israel and Palestine differs significantly from that of the incumbent right-wing government.
Sweden will hold a general election this Sunday, with the latest polls showing the left-wing bloc at 50.3% support, ahead of the incumbent right-wing government's 47.9%. The election results could cha
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Hormuz Crisis "Revives" Suez Canal: July Revenue Surges 42% to a Two-and-a-Half-Year High
Egypt's Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) announced on September 8 that Suez Canal revenues reached $505 million in July, a 42% year-on-year increase and the highest month
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Cone Denim to exit China production, shift focus to Mexico platform
The denim manufacturer cited global trade changes, evolving customer needs, cost pressures, supply chain considerations, and broader geopolitical circumstances for its decision to close the Jiaxing fa
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Brent crude oil climbs toward $100 as the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained
Brent crude oil climbs toward $100 as the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained
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Houthi attacks on multiple Saudi energy facilities disrupt operations, Brent crude rises 1.65% intraday, nearing $100 mark.
Yemen's Houthi rebels launched attacks on September 8 against multiple cities in southern Saudi Arabia, including Abha, Khamis Mushait, Najran, and Jizan. These attacks resulted in fires at several en
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Saudi Arabia announced that attacks have caused several energy facilities in its southern region to cease operations.
Saudi Arabia announced that attacks have caused several energy facilities in its southern region to cease operations.
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Old Mutual's Profit Drops for First Time Since 2022 as US-Iran War Fallout Curbs Investments
The decline at Africa’s biggest insurer by assets was due to risk-off sentiment from conflicts in the Middle East, which curbed investment returns.
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Israel's National Security Minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, unveiled the "Disengagement 710" plan, proposing to relocate approximately 2 million residents from Gaza through "voluntary migration" over seven years.
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir unveiled a seven-year plan called "Disengagement 710," aiming to relocate approximately 2 million residents from the Gaza Strip through what he terme
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A Saudi-led coalition spokesperson stated that Houthi attacks have injured 73 Saudi civilians.
Major General Turki Al-Maliki, spokesperson for the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen, stated on Tuesday that recent Houthi attacks on southern Saudi provinces have injured 73 civilians, including women an
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18 Maritime Authorities Say Global Shipping Rules Are Collapsing
Eighteen maritime authorities state that global shipping rules are collapsing due to wars and the growth of the shadow fleet, which is causing a 'structural shift' in global trade.
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Russia attacks Kyiv, ending three-day truce during US envoy's visit
Ukrainian officials reported that Russia launched an airstrike on Kyiv early Tuesday, damaging two residential buildings. This attack followed the end of a three-day pause in strikes between the Russi
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Goldman Sachs raised its Brent and WTI crude oil price forecasts by $5 each, expecting Middle East shipping disruptions to persist until 2027; adjusted its December 2026 Brent/WTI prices to $85/$80 per barrel, and its full-year 2027 prices to $80/$75 per barrel.
Goldman Sachs stated in its latest research report published on September 7 that despite raising its assumptions for the duration of shipping disruptions, the upward revision was relatively modest giv
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Wheat prices rise as Russia's focus on Ukraine war intensifies Black Sea grain shipment disruption concerns.
Wheat prices saw their biggest gain in over a week, as market indications suggested Russia remains committed to continuing its war in Ukraine, fueling concerns about prolonged disruptions to Black Sea
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IAEA warns over Iran nuclear access as Western powers push for UN Security Council referral
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) warned on Monday that it remains unable to verify Iran’s nuclear material more than a year after losing access to key facilities, urging Tehran to restore
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Qatar warns of an "industrial disaster" if the crisis continues, as Kpler data shows the average vessel transit through the Strait of Hormuz over the past 10 days has fallen to its lowest level since May.
Qatar has warned that a prolonged crisis in the Strait of Hormuz would lead to an "industrial disaster." Meanwhile, Kpler data shows that an average of 10 vessels per day transited the Strait of Hormu
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Myanmar military intensifies operations to retake China project areas
Myanmar's military has intensified operations to retake areas where China-backed projects are located, according to Nikkei Asia. Thousands of civilians have been displaced as fighting rages along the
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept the proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for two days.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept Tehran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days, warning that any new attacks would spell "dire consequences.
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Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
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Trump stated that the US military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand the blockade of Iran on land and in the Caspian Sea
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand land and Caspian Sea blockades against Iran. U.S. Central Command stated that the 20-person u
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Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments
Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments. According to *Nikkei Asia*, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar's remarks regarding the "One China" policy have drawn
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Senior Advisor to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Iran is reverse-engineering captured US military equipment
Ali Balali, an adviser to the Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), stated that Iran is conducting reverse engineering on captured U.S. and hostile military equipment, and t
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Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
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Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
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US Secretary of State Rubio defends military action against Iran, stating that countering the "nuclear threat" is unpopular yet necessary
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida that he defended Donald Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, stating that the president recognized and addressed the real threat of a "n
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According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
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IRGC: Three Oil Tankers Catch Fire in Strait of Hormuz Since Early Hours of Nov 8
According to a live broadcast by Al Jazeera on November 8, the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran stated in a Telegram statement that day that since the early morning, three
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Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Dawn of Yemen" military operation across multiple locations, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or withdrawals.
The Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Yemeni Dawn" military operation across multiple regions, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or retreats. Colonel Majeed Al-Nazili, the militar
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According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor gas field in Iraqi Kurdistan, slashing power generation by about 2.8 gigawatts
Omid Ahmed, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Electricity in the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq, stated that a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq has resulted in a reduction of nea
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Iranian state media reports that the U.S. military launched "projectiles" at Qeshm Island
Citing Al Jazeera and Iranian state media reports, the U.S. military fired "projectiles" at Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday evening local time. The Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) p
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Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force is now fully operational, working in coordination with the maritime blockade to deter Iran.
Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Task Force Iron Gate" is now fully operational, working in coordination with a naval blockade to curb Iran; U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media th
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor natural gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan region
A drone attack hit the Khor Mor gas field—one of the largest natural gas fields in the region—located in the Sulaymaniyah Governorate of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. The party responsible for the attac
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Iraqi Kurdistan Region President Meets Iranian Delegation to Discuss Security Cooperation and Regional Stability
The President of the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq met with an Iranian delegation, with both sides discussing ways to improve security cooperation and mechanisms for maintaining regional stabi
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Houthis Claim Saudi-Led Coalition Carried Out 91 Airstrikes and Missile Attacks in Yemen Over Past 24 Hours
The Houthis stated that the Saudi-led coalition carried out 91 airstrikes and missile attacks in Yemen over the past 24 hours, affecting six Yemeni provinces and causing civilian casualties. The group
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According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
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Saudi-led coalition says it destroyed a Houthi missile launcher in Sanaa, Yemen.
The Saudi-led coalition announced that it has destroyed a missile launcher belonging to the Houthis in Sana'a, Yemen. Coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki stated that the launcher had previously been u
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: US election results have led to the suspension of mediators' work
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: US election results have led to the suspension of mediators' work
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Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds: Conflict with Iran "is coming to an end"
In an interview with NBC News, Byron Donalds, the newly elected Republican Governor of Florida and a close ally of Donald Trump, stated that the conflict with Iran is "coming to an end" and that gasol
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations to end hostility with the United States have not yet made progress, and they are waiting for the situation to become clearer following the U.S. midterm elections.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations to end hostility with the United States have not yet made progress, and they are awaiting clarification of the situation following the
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
Geopolitics
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