Interest rate hike
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UBS CEO warns against market complacency, expects stubborn inflation to force major central banks to continue hiking rates, potentially leading to "higher for longer" interest rates.
UBS Group CEO Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Thursday that financial markets have bred a dangerous complacency while geopolitical and economic risks continue to accumulate. He expects persistent inflatio
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Global Bond Selloff Sends 10-Year US Treasury Yields to Cusp of 5% Ahead of Key Inflation Data
The global bond selloff is pushing benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields toward the closely-watched 5% level. This comes ahead of upcoming US inflation data, which is expected to influence expectations
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Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
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US August CPI Report Preview: Market expects headline CPI to rise 0.4% month-over-month, core CPI to rise 0.2%, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision next week.
A preview of the US August CPI report indicates that the market generally expects headline CPI to rise by approximately 0.4% month-over-month, a significant acceleration from July's 0.1%; core CPI is
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Neoclouds CoreWeave (CRWV) and Nebius Group (NBIS) Report Q2 Earnings Amid Rising Rate Hike Odds, Showing Divergent Debt Exposures
CoreWeave reported Q2 revenue of $2.575 billion, up 112.3% year-over-year, with $51.6 billion in debt and Q2 interest expense of $640 million, which exceeded its $49 million operating loss. The compan
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JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
JPMorgan Asset Management's Stephanie Aliaga believes a rate hike will re-establish Fed credibility
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Reuters Poll: Most Strategists Expect US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to Rise to 5% Within Three Months
A Reuters poll of 31 bond strategists found that 17 of them expect the U.S. 10-year government bond yield could reach 5% within the next three months. The yield recently climbed to 4.86%, primarily dr
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Fed-funds futures now price in a 70% chance of a September hike, as Nick Timiraos shares August core CPI estimates with a median of 0.22%
Fed-funds futures have shifted to a 70% chance of a September rate hike this morning, reflecting market calculations. Meanwhile, Nick Timiraos, a prominent Fed reporter, shared August core CPI estimat
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US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
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Memory chip stocks fell in early trading on Thursday, with SK Hynix down 5%, and Micron and Western Digital both down 3%, as surging government bond yields and oil prices overshadowed JPMorgan Chase's overweight rating.
Macro factors are dominating the market, with the US 10-year government bond yield rising to 4.91% (nearing a three-year high) and WTI crude oil breaking above $100 per barrel. The market widely expec
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Financial markets are pricing in close to a 50% chance of another rate hike from the European Central Bank (ECB) in October, as Thursday's statement was perceived as hawkish.
Financial markets are now almost equally divided on whether the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates again next month, following what was perceived as a hawkish statement from the cen
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US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations
US Stocks Kick Off 4th Straight Session of Losses, Nasdaq Falls 1% as Rising Oil, Yields and ECB Rate Hike Fuel Fed Tightening Expectations. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% and the Dow Jones Industrial Avera
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma in its September decision, torn between raising rates and holding steady. Kevin Warsh's hawkish remarks and strong employment data support a rate hike, but cooling inflation and doubts about the reliability of employment data argue against it.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis indicates that as the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting approaches, the debate over interest rate hikes is intensifying. The federal funds futures market shows an a
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech was overinterpreted by the market; Friday's inflation report becomes key for rate hikes.
Markets have overreacted to Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with investors perceiving a higher likelihood of interest rate hikes and beginning to price in increases that Warsh ne
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Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
Fed September 25-bp Hike Odds Surge to 64% After ECB's 25-bp Rate Increase
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Bank of America analysts say a "credibility shock" hit Wall Street after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's latest interest rate decision.
Bank of America's economics team noted that the market's muted reaction to Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's July 29 press conference led to a "central bank inflation credibility shock." Warsh re
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Hatzius warns: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy strategy could lead to "unhelpful volatility" in the markets.
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's more opaque approach to policy guidance could be counterproductive. Hatzius believes that while forward gui
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US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY, exceeding expectations, with core PPI at 4.6% YoY, leading to a sharp increase in Federal Reserve rate hike expectations.
Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August rose by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of 5.3% and significantly
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Key Gauge of US Producer Prices Rises Less Than Forecast
A key measure of US producer prices in August was lower than forecast, offering limited guidance as Federal Reserve officials debate whether to raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. August wholesale costs rose 0.4% month-over-month, as the Iran conflict and rising oil prices pushed inflation higher again.
U.S. government data released on Thursday showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, primarily driven by an increase in gasoline prices. This follows two months o
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The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the deposit facility rate to 2.5%.
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the deposit facility rate to 2.5%.
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The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, with the deposit facility rate increasing to 2.50%, effective September 16.
The Governing Council of the European Central Bank has decided to raise the deposit facility rate, the main refinancing operations rate, and the marginal lending facility rate to 2.50%, 2.65%, and 2.9
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UBS's Reiman Expects Two Fed Rate Hikes This Year, Says US Economy Can Withstand Them
Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects two interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, stating that the US economy can withstand them. He attributes ris
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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