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Interest rate hike
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Goldman Sachs joins Wall Street consensus, expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates by 25 basis points at its September 16 meeting.
Goldman Sachs' Chief US Economist, David Mericle, stated in a September 11 research report that the firm has incorporated a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September into its baseli
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Nick Timiraos updates Fed hike forecasts: HSBC changes its call, and JPM now expects two hikes in its revised forecast.
Nick Timiraos updates Fed hike forecasts: HSBC changes its call, and JPM now expects two hikes in its revised forecast.
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Nick Timiraos quotes Goldman Sachs: The firm is reluctant to change its call, seeing no strong economic case for a rate hike and a less clear-cut Fed decision than market pricing implies.
Goldman Sachs believes some FOMC participants may agree there is no strong economic case for raising the funds rate. However, most FOMC participants are likely concerned about the potential market rea
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The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years
The Federal Reserve is poised to raise interest rates for the first time in years
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Former New York Fed President Dudley: He would be shocked if the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.
Former New York Fed President Dudley: He would be shocked if the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.
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Following the higher-than-expected US August core CPI, investment banks including TD Securities, JPMorgan Chase, MUFG, and Citi have adjusted their Federal Reserve interest rate hike predictions, with most institutions now expecting a 25 basis point hike in September.
Following a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the US core CPI for August (above the 0.2% expectation), Wall Street investment banks swiftly revised their forecasts for the Federal Reserve's interest r
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US September consumer confidence index falls to a new low of 47.8 in recent years, inflation expectations rise to 4.6%, with soaring gasoline prices and US-Iran conflict weighing.
Preliminary survey results released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed that the US consumer sentiment index for September fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, lower than all economists' forec
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Analysis: BOJ's hawkish remarks lead to rapid market repricing of rate hike expectations, JPY strengthens significantly
Financial markets have rapidly repriced the likelihood of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike next week, following hawkish comments from several BOJ policymakers over the past week, leading to a significa
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Odds of Fed Rate Hike for Sept. 16 FOMC Meeting Surge to Over 85%
CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a quarter-point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee's Sept. 16 meeting has risen to 85.6%. This marks a significant shift from Aug. 11, when the o
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US September consumer confidence index fell to 47.8, the second-lowest level in history, and inflation expectations rose to 4.6%.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in September, down 7.5% from August and 13.2% from a year ago, marking the second-lowest level since records began in 1952, according to the University of Michigan
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US stocks rose on Friday, ending a four-day losing streak, led by tech shares. Oil prices fell, offsetting the impact of persistent inflation, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week increased.
U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday, snapping a four-day losing streak. Technology stocks rose over 1%, with Oracle jumping 2% on strong AI cloud infrastructure revenue. NVIDIA and the "Magnificent Seven"
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White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett: Inflation has "significantly decelerated," adding that Donald Trump may comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that inflation has "decelerated significantly" over the past three months and emphasized that the Federal Reserve's independence should be respected.
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Dollar Wavers as Inflation Aids Fed Hike Bets While Oil Falls
The dollar oscillated Friday after a key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected pushing traders to add to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week.
U.S. inflation accelerated in August, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data showed that the overall CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August; c
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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U.S. equity futures rebound 0.4% ahead of the August inflation report, while oil prices retreat to $105/barrel.
US equities and government bonds found respite, and oil prices pulled back, as traders awaited the August US inflation report to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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BNP Paribas Chief Economist Mateos y Lago Says US Economy Likely Needs Three Fed Rate Hikes
Isabelle Mateos y Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, stated that her firm believes "monetary policy is not restrictive enough" and that the US economy "probably" needs three rate hikes, potentially
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Bundesbank Chief Nagel: Further ECB Rate Hikes 'Very Much Dependent' on Energy Costs
German central bank chief Joachim Nagel told CNBC on Friday that any potential move by the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike interest rates into restrictive territory would be "very much dependent o
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Hong Kong and mainland stocks end lower on Friday amid US rate hike jitters; Shanghai Enflame Technology surges 180% in debut
The Hang Seng Index lost 0.6% to 24,805, down 3.3% for the week. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.18% to 3,888. Sentiment was dampened by low trading volumes and rising expectations of further US i
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Wall Street expects U.S. Treasury yields to normalize in the 4%-5% range. Bloomberg economists estimate the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to be close to 4.7% and note that structural factors may limit Donald Trump's efforts to cut interest rates.
US Treasury yields are reaching their highest levels since 2008, with the market widely anticipating further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg economists analyze that structural
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Nikkei: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to raise its policy interest rate to 1.25% at next week's policy meeting.
According to Nikkei, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to raise its key interest rate from the current 1% to 1.25% at its Policy Board meeting on September 17-18. This move aims to curb inflationary press
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Bitcoin Falls Below $77,000, Zcash Leads Losses Amid Fed Rate Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped below $77,000, with Zcash leading the decline, as traders increased their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Ninety-five of the CoinDesk 100 fell over the past 24 hours, and bitcoin
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"New Bond King" Gundlach warns: If the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates next week, long-term interest rates will "significantly spike."
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and CIO of DoubleLine Capital, expressed skepticism about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week during his latest webcast. He anticipates a significant rise in lon
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Soaring oil prices and inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in both equities and bonds across Asia: the Nikkei 225 index plunged 3%, the KOSPI index fell 2.7%, and Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.981%.
On Friday, Brent crude briefly climbed to nearly $110/barrel during U.S. trading hours, and WTI crude further rose to $103.05/barrel, both reaching their highest settlement prices since May 19 this ye
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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