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Interest rate hike
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Kalshi predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates 2.4 times this year, significantly higher than the 2.1 times predicted earlier this week.
Kalshi predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates 2.4 times this year, significantly higher than the 2.1 times predicted earlier this week, indicating a notable hawkish repricing of market
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Experts say U.S. government bond yields soaring to multi-year highs could push up auto loan rates.
The U.S. 30-year government bond yield rose to 5.446% on Thursday, reaching a new high since 2004; the 10-year government bond yield also jumped to 5.15%, its highest level since 2006. Experts stated
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Summer developments made it difficult for the Federal Reserve to maintain a "wait-and-see" stance on inflation, prompting last week's rate hike.
Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin explained that the Fed's decision last week to raise interest rates was due to several developments since the summer that made a "wait-and-see" stance on infl
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Federal Reserve's Paulson: Moderate Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson stated that further interest rate hikes may be necessary to ensure inflation returns to the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
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Federal Reserve's Paulson: "Modest" further rate hikes may be needed to curb inflation
Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said on Thursday that she and her colleagues may need to raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to target levels. In prepared remarks for a fintec
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Paulson from the Federal Reserve states that September's inflation reports were the driving force behind the recent rate hike.
Paulson from the Federal Reserve states that September's inflation reports were the driving force behind the recent rate hike.
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BCA Research: Fed Hikes Unlikely to Derail S&P 500, Maintains 8,100 Year-End Target
BCA Research stated that the S&P 500 has gained during every full Fed tightening cycle since 1980, with returns ranging from 4.4% to 28.4%. The firm expects just one or two more 25bp hikes, arguing mu
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Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin slides below $83,000
Traders are pricing in four quarter-point rate hikes by the Federal Reserve by June 2027, which would bring the federal funds rate to a 4.75% to 5% range. This comes as U.S. Treasury yields across the
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Allspring and BlueBay challenge rate-hike bets, sticking with short-dated bonds in Europe and the UK as they believe expectations for interest rate increases have gone too far.
Allspring and BlueBay challenge rate-hike bets, sticking with short-dated bonds in Europe and the UK as they believe expectations for interest rate increases have gone too far.
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New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
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Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%
Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%. Rising yields are straining public finances.
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Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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U.S. Treasury Market Faces "Perfect Storm": 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges 14 Basis Points to 5.113%, a New High Since 2007
The U.S. Treasury market experienced its worst single-day sell-off in nearly 18 months on Wednesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield surging approximately 14 basis points to close at 5.113%, breaking
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Analysts point out that a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve will result in US credit card borrowers paying an additional $2 billion in interest over the next 12 months, with young and low-income households being more significantly affected.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate at the conclusion of its September meeting and hinted at another potential rate hike this year. Analysts noted that this 25-basis-point increase
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Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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OECD does not believe the Bank of England needs to raise interest rates, citing the UK's 'different starting position' on monetary policy
The Paris-based group stated that the UK is 'starting from a different position' on monetary policy compared with other countries.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Euro Hits Two-Month Low Against Dollar as Options Traders Bet on Further Weakness After Fed Rate Hike
The euro fell to its lowest in nearly two months versus the dollar, as options traders stepped up bets on further weakness following the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate increase.
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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The U.S. Treasury announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will be raised to 5.51% for the next six months, marking the highest fixed rate since 2006.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will increase to 5.51% for the next six months, the highest fixed rate since 2006. The new rate will be effective from
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve's policy direction is clear, and a gradual approach is a good choice.
Richmond Fed President Barkin said in an interview with SiriusXM that the Federal Reserve signaled gradual rate hikes at its September meeting, which he believes is reasonable when the Fed is not sign
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Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Cent
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Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
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Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
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The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
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ECB Officials Expect 25 Basis Point Rate Hike on December 17, Followed by Pause in Tightening
ECB policymakers expect a 25-basis-point rate hike on December 17, which would lift the deposit rate from 2.50% to 2.75%, according to three sources cited by Reuters. The hike is considered nearly cer
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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