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Interest rate hike
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Fed minutes show most officials expect another rate hike by year-end, but an October move is unlikely given recent inflation data
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released minutes from its Sept. 15-16 policy meeting, revealing that most participants assessed another increase in the federal funds rate would likely be appropriate
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Fed Minutes Show Most Officials See Another Rate Hike by Year-End
The minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting revealed that all participants backed September’s 25 basis point rate hike. Most officials judged another increase would likely be appropriate by year-end.
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FOMC minutes in focus as October hike odds fall to 20%
The FOMC minutes will be scrutinized for how firmly officials backed further rate hikes after September’s unanimous 25bp increase. October hike odds have fallen to around 20% from 55% after softer inf
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Indian Rupee Nears Record Low as RBI's First Rate Hike in Four Years Fails to Impress Traders
India's rupee retreated even after the central bank hiked interest rates for the first time in four years, as traders were disappointed by the lack of more aggressive steps to tighten liquidity and su
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Japan's real wages rose 1.5% year-on-year in August, marking eight consecutive months of increases. Subsidies and tax cuts provided a floor, while a wave of bankruptcies and 76% interest rate hike expectations put the central bank in a dilemma.
Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare announced on Wednesday that real cash earnings in August rose by 1.5% year-on-year, marking the eighth consecutive month of increases and the longest str
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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, the first hike since 2023, to curb inflation.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday raised its benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, a one-year high, in line with economists' expectations in a Reuters poll. The move aims to curb
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HSBC lowers its average gold price forecast for 2026/2027, anticipating further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
HSBC projects an average gold price of $4,490 per ounce in 2026, down from its previous forecast of $4,560. It also lowered its 2027 average gold price forecast from $4,925 per ounce to $4,825. The ba
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RBI Meeting Focuses Beyond Interest Rates
While a rate hike is expected, traders are also closely watching for more liquidity-draining measures and commentary on the rupee from the Reserve Bank of India's meeting.
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Gold holds gains as rising oil supply, falling yields ease Fed hike pressure
Gold held gains, trading around $4,165 an ounce after rising 0.6% the day before. This comes as increasing oil supplies from the Middle East and a decline in bond yields eased pressure on the US Feder
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Privacy Coins Zcash and Monero Outperform Flat Crypto Market
Zcash is up 3% and Monero 2.14% over the last 24 hours, leading the largest coins. Bitcoin gained 0.59% and Ethereum 0.34%, as the broader crypto market remained largely flat. This market stagnation f
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BOJ Board Member Sato Backs Further Rate Hikes, Citing Weak Consumption Concerns
Japan's central bank board member Ayano Sato supports gradually raising interest rates, stating that tighter policy can contribute to sustainable economic growth. However, she declined to specify the
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American Century Investments: Market Pricing of Up to Four Fed Rate Hikes Is Overly Aggressive
American Century Investments: Market Pricing of Up to Four Fed Rate Hikes Is Overly Aggressive
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American Century's Charles Tan: Treasury Selloff Overdone, 5.25% 10Y Yield Attractive Entry
American Century's Charles Tan says the recent Treasury selloff may have gone too far, calling a 5.25% 10-year yield an attractive entry point for long-term investors. He argues the surge was driven l
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Fed's Warsh advocates economy focus, but deputies' actions slash Oct rate hike odds
According to Nick Timiraos, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh wants investors to focus on the economy rather than the Fed's signals. However, two of his deputies intervened last week, causing the p
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may signal this month that underlying inflation has largely met its target.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) may signal this month that underlying inflation has broadly reached its 2% target, according to sources cited by Reuters. This would significantly strengthen market pricing for
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Julius Baer expects Fed to deliver one final 25bp rate hike in December, followed by an extended pause
Julius Baer expects the Fed to deliver one final 25bp rate hike in December, followed by an extended pause. The bank points to a cooling U.S. labor market and sharply tighter financial conditions, dri
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US Treasury yields hitting 5% threaten Bitcoin's Q3 rally, while weak employment data eases expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October.
US Treasury yields hitting 5% threaten Bitcoin's Q3 rally, while weak employment data eases expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October.
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U.S. Dollar Index hits 18-month high, Bitcoin holds $86,000
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reached 102.5 on Monday, its highest level in nearly 18 months. This strength is underpinned by the Federal Reserve's September rate hike and further tightening expectation
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Bitcoin rises above $86,000 as traders price out October Fed hike after weak jobs report
Bitcoin climbed 1% to just over $86,000 early Monday, as a weaker-than-expected September U.S. jobs report led traders to abandon bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike in October. The report showed U.S.
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US equity futures held steady, as French fiscal pressures sparked contagion risks.
U.S. equity index futures were little changed after a sharp rally on Friday. Previously, weak jobs data lowered expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes, supporting risk assets, but fiscal pressure
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index opened down 0.04% on Monday, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike softened following cooler US employment data.
On Monday, the dollar fell and bond markets stabilized as investors pared bets on an aggressive Federal Reserve tightening cycle after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data. Trading was light in Asia du
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Bloomberg Markets: India's central bank faces inflation pressure, is withdrawing excess liquidity, and a rate hike is imminent.
Bloomberg Markets: India's central bank faces inflation pressure, is withdrawing excess liquidity, and a rate hike is imminent.
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Copper Rises for Second Session as US Employment Report Eases Fed Tightening Pressure
Copper Rises for Second Session as US Employment Report Eases Fed Tightening Pressure
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Emerging market assets rose as bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes cooled and oil prices fell.
Emerging market stocks and currencies rose after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data and a further drop in oil prices eased concerns about aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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The U.S. Treasury announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will be raised to 5.51% for the next six months, marking the highest fixed rate since 2006.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will increase to 5.51% for the next six months, the highest fixed rate since 2006. The new rate will be effective from
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve's policy direction is clear, and a gradual approach is a good choice.
Richmond Fed President Barkin said in an interview with SiriusXM that the Federal Reserve signaled gradual rate hikes at its September meeting, which he believes is reasonable when the Fed is not sign
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Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Cent
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Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
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Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
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The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
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ECB Officials Expect 25 Basis Point Rate Hike on December 17, Followed by Pause in Tightening
ECB policymakers expect a 25-basis-point rate hike on December 17, which would lift the deposit rate from 2.50% to 2.75%, according to three sources cited by Reuters. The hike is considered nearly cer
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ECB policymakers reportedly see a December rate hike followed by a pause, sources say.
ECB policymakers reportedly see a December rate hike followed by a pause, sources say.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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