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On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a "two-week ceasefire" by August 31 is currently reported at 51%, down 3% from the previous week.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the prediction event on Polymarket titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?”, the probability for August 14 is currently report
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The United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 12.5% on 60 economies
Svmuu News: The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) issued an announcement on the 23rd (local time), stating that pursuant to Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974,it would impose t
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Iran: Destroys U.S. Electronic Warfare Unit in Kuwait, Warns Britain Not to Participate in Attacks Against Iran
Svmuu News: On July 23 local time, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps issued Announcement No. 46, stating that during the 26th wave of strikes in “Operation Nasr 2,” it launched a joint strike agai
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The Iranian Revolutionary Guard attacked a U.S. base in Jordan, destroying multiple missile defense systems
Svmuu News: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed to have attacked a U.S. base in Jordan, destroying a radar unit of the U.S. “THAAD” missile defense system. At the same time, a “Patriot” syst
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Sources Say Iran Is Prepared to Counter a U.S. Ground Invasion
Svmuu News: On the 23rd, Russian sources cited an Iranian military official as saying that the Iranian military has simulated various scenarios of a U.S. military offensive and is prepared to respond
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Iran: If the U.S. attacks Iranian bridges or power plants, it will retaliate by targeting infrastructure in regions linked to the U.S.
Svmuu News: According to Iran’s Tasnim News Agency, a military source stated that if Washington were to attack bridges or power plants in Iran, Tehran would retaliate by targeting U.S.-related infrast
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Donald Trump Warning to Iran: For every ship attacked in the Strait, the U.S. will destroy a bridge or a power plant
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump: From this moment on, whenever the Islamic Republic of Iran fires upon ships in the Strait of Hormuz—whether with missiles, rockets, drones, or any other equipm
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Bulgaria has allowed the United States to deploy refueling aircraft in the country to support operations in the Middle East
Svmuu News: Bulgarian lawmakers have approved a U.S. request to deploy refueling aircraft and military personnel at an airport in the country to support combat operations in the Middle East. Under a m
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Iran's Tasnim News Agency: Iran's Revolutionary Guards say they have struck U.S. military assets in Jordan
Svmuu News: According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps claims to have struck U.S. military assets in Jordan. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Secretary of State Rubio: Open to Reaching a Diplomatic Solution with Iran
Svmuu News: U.S. Secretary of State Rubio: Open to Reaching a Diplomatic Solution with Iran. (Jin Shi)
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Iranian Interior Ministry Spokesperson: No Negotiations Are Currently Underway with the U.S., but an “Exchange of Information” with the U.S. Is Possible
Svmuu News: According to Iran's Mehr News Agency, a spokesperson for Iran's Ministry of the Interior stated that no negotiations are currently underway with the United States. However, an "exchange of
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Sources: Pakistan Seeks $10 Billion in Funding from the U.S. After Mediating Iran Talks
Svmuu News: According to sources familiar with the matter, Pakistan has requested $10 billion from the United States to stabilize its exchange rate. If approved, the fund would provide a lifeline to t
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Weekly vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped by nearly 50%, and Brent crude is nearing $92 per barrel
Svmuu News: As the conflict between the U.S. and Iran entered its tenth day, Brent crude briefly reached $91.63 per barrel on Tuesday before falling back to $91.26 per barrel at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time
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Analysis: Power Supply Bottlenecks Hinder the Construction of AI Data Centers in the U.S.
Svmuu News: The rapid development of artificial intelligence is fueling a growing trend in the construction of large data centers in the United States. However, the U.S. power transmission system is a
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The United States is preparing a new round of tariffs
Svmuu News: U.S. Trade Representative Greer said the United States is preparing a new round of tariffs. (WSJ)
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In the week ending July 4, U.S. ADP employment rose by 16,500, compared with a previous increase of 19,750.
Svmuu News: In the week ending July 4, U.S. ADP employment increased by 16,500, compared with a previous increase of 19,750. Over the four weeks ending July 4, 2026, private-sector employers added an
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent: The United States Supports Open-Source Models
Svmuu News: According to market reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the United States supports open-source models but does not support intellectual property theft.
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Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Iranian forces attacked a camp housing U.S. troops in the Rukban area of Jordan
Svmuu News: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that Iranian forces attacked a camp housing U.S. troops in the Rukban area of Jordan, resulting in the deaths of several U.S. service members.
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Sources: Iran Was the First to Propose a 10-Day Ceasefire Between the U.S. and Iran
Svmuu News: According to sources familiar with the negotiations, it was the Iranian side that first proposed the 10-day U.S.-Iran ceasefire being promoted by the mediators. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Official Says Donald Trump Decision on Whether to Expand Military Operations Against Iran Expected Within Days
Svmuu News: According to U.S. sources on the 20th, citing multiple senior U.S. officials, U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to decide within the next few days whether to expand military operatio
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Latest Assessment by U.S. Intelligence Agencies: Pessimistic Outlook on a New Round of Strikes Against Iran
Svmuu News: U.S. intelligence reporter John Hudson reports that U.S. intelligence assessments paint a pessimistic picture regarding a new round of military strikes against Iran: Current and former off
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Iran's Revolutionary Guard Launches Attack on U.S. Military Base in Kuwait
Svmuu News: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has launched an attack on U.S. military facilities at the Ahmed Jaber Air Base in Kuwait. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Military: The latest round of strikes against Iran has concluded
Svmuu News: U.S. Military: The latest round of strikes against Iran has concluded. (Jin Shi)
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Iran Says It Will Strike U.S. Military Targets in Bahrain and Kuwait in Three Phases
Svmuu News: Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that, during the 23rd wave of operations codenamed “Victory 2,” it launched fierce strikes against U.S. forces in the reg
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Global bonds fall, Japan's 10-year yield surpasses 3%
Investors are continuing to sell government debt, pushing Japan's 10-year yield above 3%, following a landmark rise in American borrowing costs.
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U.S. Department of Defense report: Iran war cost $33.4 billion by end of June, with hundreds of buildings and dozens of aircraft damaged.
The Iran war has cost approximately $33.4 billion as of June 29, according to a report submitted to Congress by the U.S. Department of Defense on Monday. Of this, Iranian attacks caused $184 million i
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Officials from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda will meet in Geneva on September 16-17 to discuss the implementation of the 2025 Washington Accord.
The talks are part of a meeting of the Joint Security Coordination Mechanism (JSCM) between the two countries, aimed at assessing the implementation progress of key security commitments. This follows
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Canadian Prime Minister Carney: A U.S.-Canada trade agreement is still possible, and the breakdown of negotiations in August clarified Canada's "red lines."
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated on Monday that despite the breakdown of US-Canada trade talks in August, this rupture helped clarify Canada's negotiation red lines, adding that the US "may
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CNBC reports: China expands controls over overseas deployment of tech talent, US tightens visas for Chinese students and journalists.
According to CNBC's "China Watch" newsletter, China officially began restricting citizens who violate technology export controls from leaving the country on Tuesday, aiming to plug loopholes in techno
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Chinese Official Calls AI 'Core Engine of New Technological Revolution'
A top Chinese official said AI is the “core engine of a new round of technological revolution” and the main battleground of its rivalry with the U.S.
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The U.S. is reportedly considering a "phased" agreement with Iran to end the conflict.
Washington may be considering a "phased" agreement with Tehran aimed at ending the US-Iran conflict, according to Iranian media ILNA, citing Pakistani sources. The source cautioned that Donald Trump's
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Trump: US producing and delivering weapons at fastest pace in history, including Patriots, THAAD, and Tomahawks
Former President Donald Trump stated that the United States is producing more advanced weapons than ever before, with daily deliveries to forces in the Middle East and beyond. He added that defense fa
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Iranian state-linked Tasnim News rejects Trump’s claim that Tehran wants a quick deal with Washington
Iranian state-linked Tasnim News rejected Trump’s claim that Tehran wants a quick deal with Washington. The outlet said Iran has repeatedly stated it does not seek negotiations with the U.S. governmen
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Trump says U.S. is open to engaging with Iran, will determine whether to choose to engage
Trump says U.S. is open to engaging with Iran, will determine whether to choose to engage
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Iran War fiscal pressure may lead Gulf states to prioritize domestic investments over US commitments, PIIE report says
A new analysis from the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) indicates that the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran is creating fiscal pressure for Saudi Arabia, Qatar
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GasBuddy Analyst: Americans have spent an additional $109.2 billion on gasoline and diesel since March, with the daily increase currently around $730 million.
According to Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, U.S. consumers and truckers have spent an estimated $109.2 billion more on gasoline and diesel since March 1 compared to the same
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Former CIA officer Scott Uehlinger states US may be 'forced to intervene' in Red Sea
Uehlinger's remarks come as the United States faces growing pressure to intervene after Houthi forces seized control of Yemen’s Red Sea coast, though the White House has so far declined requests for d
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Some companies that left China to avoid U.S. tariffs are now returning, citing difficulties in replicating China's factory ecosystem
A year after shifting production and sourcing out of China, some firms are finding it challenging to replicate the country's skilled labor, supplier networks, and reliable power elsewhere. U.S. retail
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Iran states US, not lack of mediation, is main obstacle to diplomacy
Iran states US, not lack of mediation, is main obstacle to diplomacy
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Canadian firms spent $9B on U.S. commercial real estate in the 12 months to June, shrugging off trade war concerns
The pace of U.S. asset purchases by Canadian firms accelerated in Q2, with 32% of capital raised for global acquisitions directed to the U.S. during the period, up from 19.3% a quarter earlier. Collie
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US Special Envoy Jared Kushner says Israel's failed Doha attack left it 'globally isolated' and helped force Gaza deal
Kushner added that the international outrage following the 'terrible' attack on Hamas leadership in Doha allowed US mediators to force Israel into a Gaza deal.
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Guyana's President: Oil Revenue Surges Due to Iran Conflict
Guyana's President, Mohamed Irfaan Ali, stated that the country's oil revenues have sharply increased in recent months due to the Iran conflict reshaping global markets. He emphasized that he does not
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U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright Warns Against Hormuz Deal Optimism, Iran to Propose Temporary Shipping Lane on Monday
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright warned traders against expecting a quick Strait of Hormuz breakthrough with Iran, noting that alternative routes are currently supplying about 10 million barrels a d
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Kremlin says Russia-Ukraine-US talks possible in October
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States could take place in October. This follows visits by U.S. negotiators to Kyiv and Moscow to pus
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Al Jazeera Analysis: Iran War Reveals BRICS' Limits in Translating Economic Weight into Geopolitical Sway
The analysis highlights that the BRICS bloc struggled to achieve a unified stance on the US-Israel war on Iran, failing to condemn the US directly in its summit declaration. This demonstrates the diff
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South Korea nears announcement of first US investment project, with briefing to lawmakers set for Sept. 17
South Korean Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan returned Sunday from three days of talks in New York, where he met US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and other officials to discuss prospective projects
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North Korea reportedly using foreign IT talent to infiltrate US companies
The DPRK is said to be employing IT workers from third countries to pass job interviews for positions in US companies, with these roles subsequently taken over by North Korean operatives.
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Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow: Houthi attacks pose a major setback to U.S. strategy of stabilizing regional oil flows, Iran's nuclear activities raise new concerns.
Ray Takeyh, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, stated on Bloomberg Television that renewed Houthi attacks represent a significant setback for the U.S. strategy to stabilize regional
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